New York Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson’s dynasty value is hanging on by a thread right now after a lackluster start to his career. If he can’t post a fantasy-relevant season in 2024, dynasty managers may start to cut bait.
How should fantasy football managers value Robinson going forward?
Wan’Dale Robinson’s Dynasty Outlook
It’s been a rough start to Robinson’s career. He barely played during the first half of his rookie season. Then, when he finally had his breakout game, he tore his ACL.
Trading is essential to building a successful dynasty fantasy football team. How should fantasy managers handle A.J. Brown, Rashee Rice, and Wan'Dale Robinson? https://t.co/d7kkeAA11u
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Robinson finished his rookie season with just 227 receiving yards. The list of wide receivers to be drafted in the first three rounds and fail to reach 500 receiving yards as a rookie is not filled with many relevant names.
Would Robinson likely have reached the threshold had he not gotten hurt? Probably. But historically, that just doesn’t matter.
Since 2011, there have been 97 wide receivers drafted in the first three rounds who did not amass 500 receiving yards in their first NFL season. Six of them had a quality fantasy season in their first three years. That’s a 6.2% hit rate.
When you lower the threshold to 250 yards, Los Angeles Chargers WR Mike Williams and Washington Commanders WR Curtis Samuel are the only names that stand out.
Robinson is fighting an uphill battle against historical precedents, and his sophomore season didn’t exactly do a ton to inspire confidence.
Last season, Robinson saw a respectable 18.6% target share. However, on a low-volume passing offense with bottom-rate quarterback play, Robinson only managed 60 receptions for 525 yards. He had brief moments as a startable fantasy asset, but ultimately averaged just 8.9 fantasy points per game.
So far, I’ve painted quite a pessimistic picture of Robinson. With that said, I do like him as a player and think he has a shot at being one of the outliers.
Robinson’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Robinson land in the dynasty WR landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Jason Katz’s latest rankings, featuring where Robinson lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Justin Jefferson | MIN
2) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
3) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
4) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
5) Puka Nacua | LAR
6) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
7) Tyreek Hill | MIA
8) A.J. Brown | PHI
9) Chris Olave | NO
10) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
11) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
12) DK Metcalf | SEA
13) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
14) DeVonta Smith | PHI
15) Drake London | ATL
16) Jordan Addison | MIN
17) DJ Moore | CHI
18) Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA
19) Tank Dell | HOU
20) Nico Collins | HOU
21) Rashee Rice | KC
22) Tee Higgins | CIN
23) Zay Flowers | BAL
24) Deebo Samuel | SF
25) Jayden Reed | GB
26) Amari Cooper | CLE
27) Mike Evans | TB
28) Davante Adams | LV
29) Christian Kirk | JAX
30) Cooper Kupp | LAR
31) George Pickens | PIT
32) Diontae Johnson | PIT
33) Terry McLaurin | WAS
34) Chris Godwin | TB
35) Keenan Allen | LAC
36) Calvin Ridley | JAX
37) Stefon Diggs | BUF
38) Josh Downs | IND
39) Dontayvion Wicks | GB
40) DeAndre Hopkins | TEN
41) Marquise Brown | ARI
42) Courtland Sutton | DEN
43) Jakobi Meyers | LV
44) Michael Wilson | ARI
45) Mike Williams | LAC
46) DeMario Douglas | NE
47) Christian Watson | GB
48) Rashid Shaheed | NO
49) Jameson Williams | DET
50) Tyler Lockett | SEA
51) Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG
52) Jahan Dotson | WAS
53) Jerry Jeudy | DEN
54) Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN
55) Khalil Shakir | BUF
56) Gabe Davis | BUF
57) Elijah Moore | CLE
58) Brandin Cooks | DAL
59) Zay Jones | JAX
60) Joshua Palmer | LAC
Should You Trade Robinson in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Robinson? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trades to make in seconds!
Robinson is still young. He will be healthier in 2024, being another year removed from his ACL tear.
He’s never going to be a high aDOT (average depth of target) guy. His 5.3 aDOT was 97th in the league last year, but he can be the type who has weeks where he gobbles up underneath targets and posts respectable PPR numbers. My concern is I don’t envision that ever being consistent enough to trust weekly in fantasy lineups.
Robinson should continue to improve., but he’s trapped in a really bad offensive situation with no turnaround in sight. I don’t see greatness in his future. If Robinson puts together even a single WR3 season, that would be a win for him.
MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart
The trade market is unlikely to be strong for Robinson. If you could somehow get a rookie second-rounder, you should accept that immediately, but that’s probably a pipe dream. The best course of action is to just hold and hope he has enough flashes to pull off a useful trade or give you confidence he can at least emerge as a spot starter.