As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of WR Tyreek Hill.
Tyreek Hill’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
Hill is good at football. How’s that for some hard-hitting analysis? Despite the trade which sent Hill to Miami, he certainly did not drop off statistically despite playing with three different QBs.
Hill was third in targets in 2022 (170) and finished second in both receptions (119) and yards (1,710), behind only Justin Jefferson. While many wondered if the move from Patrick Mahomes to Tua Tagovailoa would lead to a drop in his value, Hill set career highs in all three categories.
He had a 94% route participation and finished third in target share among all WRs (31.84%), fourth in air-yard share (40.73%), second in air yards (2,107), and was No. 1 in YPRR among WRs with 25+ targets (3.2).
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It should be no surprise that success showed up in fantasy. Hill was the WR2 overall and WR3 in points per game (21.1 PPR), behind only Jefferson (22.6) and Cooper Kupp (22.4). However, Hill was carried by his boom games rather than overall consistency like Jefferson or Kupp.
In 2022, Hill was a WR1 in only 41% of his games (seven), a WR2 in 35%, and a WR3+ in 24%. But that’s who he is, as Hill’s average going back to 2018 is 40% as a WR1 and 40% as a WR3+.
Tyreek Hill’s Fantasy Ranking
Entering his age-29 season, we’re entering the back half of Hill’s career and toward the age cliff where players begin to drop off on a per-opportunity basis. However, Hill is an outlier and has been throughout his career. He is who people try to compare to every draft cycle. I’d feel comfortable saying we should see at least two more years of high-level play where Hill’s success is at the mercy of the offense and not his own skills declining.
When it comes to his dynasty value, Hill is the WR9 in PPR formats, as he remains an outlier from a skill standpoint. For Superflex leagues, where quarterbacks see an increase in value due to positional scarcity, Hill is the No. 23 overall player.
I prefer high-upside veterans that are 28+ years old on competing rosters rather than rebuilds, but he can help speed up the rebuilding process as younger players mature, such as Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chris Olave, or Garrett Wilson, each of whom is already considered a WR1 in dynasty.
Hill is worth multiple first-round picks, depending on the position, or a top-four pick in Superflex drafts. I would not want to overpay for him, but I’d squeeze out all the value you could if wanting to move him. He’s not a player to take an 80% return to move him off your roster.