The Tennessee Titans hoped to return to the NFL playoffs behind first-year head coach Brian Callahan and second-year quarterback Will Levis. However, the Titans have struggled for much of 2024, with Levis’ development stalling out due to injuries and a spate of turnovers.
Using Pro Football Network’s Playoff Predictor, let’s take a look at the latest odds for the Titans to make the playoffs.
Can the Tennessee Titans Make the Playoffs?
After all the action in Week 11, the Tennessee Titans are 2-8 and now have a 1.8% chance to make the playoffs.
They have a 0.0% chance for the 1 seed, a 0.0% chance for the second seed, a 0.0% chance for the third seed, a 1.3% chance for the fourth seed, a 0.0% chance for the fifth seed, a 0.1% chance for the sixth seed, and a 0.4% chance for the seventh seed.
Can the Titans Win the AFC South?
Here’s what the AFC South race looks like after all the Sunday action in Week 11:
- The Houston Texans have an 81.4% chance to win the AFC South.
- The Indianapolis Colts have a 16.9% chance to win the AFC South.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 0.4% chance to win the AFC South.
- The Tennessee Titans have a 1.3% chance to win the AFC South.
Current AFC South Standings
- Houston Texans (7-4)
- Indianapolis Colts (5-6)
- Tennessee Titans (2-8)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9)
Titans’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 11
Can the Titans win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Tennessee has a 0.0% chance to win it all.
Titans’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 12: at Houston Texans
- Week 13: at Washington Commanders
- Week 14: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Week 15: vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Week 16: at Indianapolis Colts
- Week 17: at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Week 18: vs. Houston Texans
What PFN Predicted for the Titans vs. Vikings Matchup
On paper, the matchup between the Titans’ offense and Minnesota Vikings’ defense may be the biggest mismatch of Week 11.
Tennessee’s turnover problems have doomed the team for much of the season. The Titans rank 30th in turnovers per drive while the Vikings rank first in takeaways per drive. That spells trouble, as Tennessee has very little hope of being competitive in this game with a negative turnover margin.
The issue is that Levis appears poorly equipped to handle Brian Flores’ defense. Levis has the second-worst EPA per dropback (-0.53) when blitzed this season, ahead of only Deshaun Watson. The Vikings have dialed back their blitzing from 2023’s outlier levels but still have the second-highest blitz rate (38.2%) behind the Denver Broncos.
On the other side of the ball, the Titans’ defense continues to perform reasonably well. Tennessee ranks second in yards per drive allowed and ninth in success rate despite being put in consistently poor positions by its offense.
The question is whether the Titans can exploit one of the few quarterbacks who is just as turnover-prone as their own. Sam Darnold leads the league with 13 turnovers and is coming off a three-interception game last week against Jacksonville.
Sam Darnold when blitzed — 146.7 passer rating (1st)
Sam Darnold when NOT blitzed — 85.6 passer rating (23rd)
The Jaguars went to school on this last week. The Jags blitzed Sam Darnold *once*.
How will Kevin O'Connell adjust?
— Phil Mackey 🎙 (@PhilMackey) November 14, 2024
The Titans turned over New England Patriots rookie Drake Maye three times in Week 9 but have three takeaways in their other eight games combined. The Titans will need to mimic the Jags’ game script and force multiple Vikings turnovers to remain competitive.
PFN Prediction: Vikings 23, Titans 10