Whether you’re setting your fantasy football lineups in Week 18 or you need just a bit more information before getting in on the NFL betting action at your favorite sportsbook, we’ve got you covered here at Pro Football Network with the most important stats, notes, and insights for every NFL matchup this week.
We all know how time-consuming gathering all the information can be, which is why we’re doing the research for you so you don’t have to.
All stats are from TruMedia unless otherwise stated.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Team: The Panthers have lost at least a dozen games in three of the past four seasons, doubling the number of such seasons they had in franchise history prior (the extended regular season plays into that, but a loss next week would give this team back-to-back four-win seasons, and they only had three such seasons prior).
QB: Bryce Young has thrown multiple touchdown passes without an interception in consecutive games—he had one such game on his NFL resume prior.
Offense: Carolina has consecutive games without committing a turnover, doubling their season total in the process.
Defense: In Weeks 1-15, opponents averaged 34.6 yards per drive against the Panthers – on Sunday, the Buccaneers averaged 61.8.
Fantasy: The Adam Thielen experience has been a unique one over the past two seasons, as it has featured two hot streaks (11 games) and below-average production otherwise (16 games):
- Hot Streaks: 21.4 PPG, 25.5% over expectation
- Otherwise: 8.4 PPG, 9.9% below expectation
Betting: Over tickets have cashed in five of Carolina’s past six games.
Atlanta Falcons
Team: The Falcons scored 24 points and lost on Sunday night, snapping an eight-game winning streak when they’ve scored at least 22 points.
QB: Atlanta has thrown an interception in seven straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL and the team’s longest streak since opening the 2003 season with eight straight.
Offense: Bijan Robinson has four games this season with multiple rushing TDs, tied for the most in a season in Falcons history (1973 Eddie Ray, 1984 Gerald Riggs, and 2008 Michael Turner).
Defense: Sunday was the seventh time this season in which the Falcons allowed points on at least half of their opponents’ drives.
Fantasy: It’s a small sample, but there has been an increase in the running room for Bijan Robinson under Michael Penix Jr.:
- Desmond Ridder under center: 2.71 yards per carry before contact
- Kirk Cousins under center: 2.99 yards per carry before contact
- Penix under center: 3.13 yards per carry before contact
Betting: Atlanta’s 36-30 win in Week 5 against Tampa Bay (36-30) soared over the 44-point total – their past four home games have all gone under the closing total.
Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys
Washington Commanders
Team: Washington won last week after trailing by double digits at halftime, improving their mark in such spots since 2002 to 5-87.
QB: Jayden Daniels posted the fourth regular season game all-time with at least 225 passing and 125 rushing yards, joining:
- 2019 Lamar Jackson
- 2018 Josh Allen
- 2010 Michael Vick
Offense: Staying on the field sounds simple, but it’s proven predictive this season – Washington is now 8-0 when reaching their average number of plays per drive (otherwise: 3-5).
Defense: The offense gets a lot of attention, but this defense is allowing a league-high 3.73 points per fourth-quarter drive this season (pacing to be the highest by a team since the 2021 Raiders).
Fantasy: Zach Ertz didn’t turn 34 until Week 11, yet his five touchdowns this season as a 34-year-old are tied for the most by a player this season (Adam Thielen also has five, but he’s been 34 all season).
Betting: A cover this weekend would give the Commanders two in road divisional games for just the second time in eight seasons (also: 2020).
Dallas Cowboys
Team: Since Week 6, Dallas has been outscored 122-22 in their three toughest matchups according to the PFN+ Power Rankings (both Eagle games and a home date with the Lions).
QB: Cooper Rush’s aDOT entering Week 17 was 6.7 yards. On Sunday, with CeeDee Lamb shelved, his rate spiked to 9.4.
Offense: Dallas has cashed in all six of its goal-to-go drives over the past seven games. The problem has been getting in such spots (six trips).
Defense: “Defense wins championships”, but for the Cowboys, it dictates every regular season result – they’ve won their top-7 point-per-drive efforts of the season while losing their other nine games.
Fantasy: That’s now six straight games with over 100 rushing yards or at least three catches for Rico Dowdle.
Betting: An ATS loss this week would wrap up a 2-7 ATS season at home for Dallas, their third-lowest home cover rate of the millennium (2012 and 2015 being the exceptions).
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
Team: The Chiefs now have multiple six-game win streaks this season, and five of the past seven teams to pull that off have won their conference at the very least (two Super Bowl champions).
QB: Patrick Mahomes has some lofty standards – he’s completing a career-high 65.7% of his red zone passes this season
Offense: Kansas City has gone six straight games without a turnover (they had one turnover-free game through the first 11 weeks).
Defense: The Chiefs have allowed a touchdown on just two of seven red zone trips over their past three games.
Fantasy: Xavier Worthy averaged 2.5 catches per game through his first six this season and 3.0 over his next six. In his past four games: 5-6-7-8 catches.
Betting: Kansas City had a stretch last season where they went 0-3-1 ATS before finishing the regular season with a pair of covers and winning the Super Bowl. Earlier this season, they failed to cover seven straight, but now have covered three in a row as they get ready to chase a three-peat.
Denver Broncos
Team: Over the past decade, Denver is 0-8 against Kansas City in winter games (games played on or after December 1). They’ve been outscored 216-138 across those games (-9.8 PPG).
QB: Bo Nix has completed 15 of his 19 passes in the final two minutes of regulation this season (78.9%).
Offense: This offense was put in a tough spot against the Bengals on Saturday. Their 24.6-yard line average starting field position was their second-lowest mark of the season.
Defense: Saturday was just the third time this season in which a team picked up at least half of their third downs against Denver – the Broncos are 0-3 in those games.
Fantasy: After reaching 70 yards receiving in six straight games, Courtland Sutton hasn’t cleared 55 in three straight, but he’s bailed you out with a score in two of those games.
Betting: Denver is 11-3 ATS (78.6%) in their last 14 games played on extended rest.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
Team: Since the start of 2022, Minnesota has played two more games and won two more wins than any other team in games decided by a single score.
QB: Sam Darnold has 12 multi-pass touchdown games this season; only Joe Burrow has more (13).
Offense: Sunday was the third time this season that Minnesota has averaged over 40 yards per drive (they are 8-0 when averaging 32+ yards per drive).
Defense: Green Bay picked up 57.1% of their third downs against Minnesota last weekend, the highest rate the Vikings have allowed this season.
Fantasy: Jordan Addison ranks sixth among receivers with at least 75 targets this season in production over expectation (+28.9%, just ahead of Ladd McConkey and Ja’Marr Chase).
Betting: Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in their past six road divisional games.
Detroit Lions
Team: The Lions currently have a +200 point differential. Nine teams in the 2000s finished a regular season with such a mark—none of them won the Super Bowl.
QB: Jared Goff stands alone at the top of the NFL in terms of games with at least three touchdown passes and zero interceptions (six; Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow are the only others with more than three).
Goff to St. Brown! @Lions lead on MNF
📺: #DETvsSF on ESPN/ABC
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus and ESPN+ pic.twitter.com/99aXbZtshB— NFL (@NFL) December 31, 2024
Offense: Jahmyr Gibbs is now one touchdown away from tying the franchise record (Jamaal Williams and Barry Sanders currently hold the mark with 17).
Defense: Detroit allowed 55.4 yards per drive on Monday night, their worst defensive showing of the season.
Fantasy: Sam LaPorta has three straight games with 100 yards or a touchdown catch — he had three such games all season prior to this run.
Betting: After a run where they covered eight straight home divisional games, the Lions are just 1-3-1 in their past five such spots.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Chicago Bears
Team: After Thursday night’s loss, the Bears have a league-high nine games this season in which their offense has not been on the field with a lead for a single snap.
QB: Caleb Williams’ average QB+ this season is 71.04, an underwhelming grade in the scope of the NFL, but not that bad when put up against the average QB+ grades of the three quarterbacks taken first overall prior to him in their introduction to the league.
- 2020 Joe Burrow: 73.33
- 2021 Trevor Lawrence: 71.58
- 2023 Bryce Young: 68.30
Offense: Week 17 was the third time this season that Chicago averaged more yards per run than yards per pass.
Defense: The Bears held the Seahawks to a field goal on their lone red zone trip last week, improving their defensive red zone touchdown rate to 46.7%, the best mark by this franchise since 2011 (44.6%).
Fantasy: D’Andre Swift has the lead role in this backfield without much competition, but because of game script, he’s reached 15 carries just once in his past seven games.
Betting: Chicago is 0-3 ATS on extended rest this season, and all three have come on the road (cumulative score differential compared to the spread: -35 points).
Green Bay Packers
Team: The Packers have lost to just two teams since Week 2, and yet, they will finish third in the NFC North this season.
QB: Over his past six games, Jordan Love has five touchdown passes and zero interceptions against the blitz (this season prior: five touchdowns against five interceptions).
Offense: On Sunday, the Packers averaged a season-low 27.4 yards per drive (they are 3-3 this season when averaging under 32 yards per drive).
Defense: Green Bay’s four worst defensive efforts on third down this season have come on the road, three of which came in the division. They are going to be on the road this postseason, and there will likely be NFC North teams in their way at some point.
Fantasy: Josh Jacobs has a rushing score in seven straight games, tying Paul Hornung’s franchise record.
Betting: Green Bay has covered each of their past three home games and their total cover margin in those contests has been 51.5 points (overall score: 102-27).
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
Team: The Texans are 4-6 over their past 10 games after winning 12 of 16 regular season games prior.
QB: C.J. Stroud threw 116 deep passes as a rookie, averaging 14.5 yards per attempt with nine touchdowns and zero interceptions in the process. This season, on 122 such passes, Stroud is averaging 11.0 yards per pass with five touchdowns and seven interceptions.
Offense: On Wednesday, the Texans averaged under 20 yards per drive for the fourth time this season – they did it once in 2023.
Defense: Week 17 was the fifth time this season that Houston failed to prevent a touchdown on a single red zone trip.
Fantasy: John Metchie III was the player who saw his stock rise the most in the first game following Tank Dell’s injury – he matched a season-high snap share (72.2%) and earned a 25.8% target share in the loss to the Ravens.
Betting: The Texans are 3-1 ATS against the AFC East this season and 3-8-1 ATS against the rest of the NFL.
Tennessee Titans
Team: Tennessee’s last home win in regulation was Week 18 last season (28-20 win over the Jaguars).
QB: Mason Rudolph has completed four passes against the blitz over the past three weeks – three have resulted in touchdowns.
Offense: The Titans are seven-of-20 on fourth downs this season (35%; they haven’t finished a season under 50% since 2019).
Defense: Tennessee fell to 0-7 on Sunday in weeks in which they did not force a turnover.
Fantasy: The on-field target share distribution with Mason Rudolph under center is about as split as it can be and that’s a pain for fantasy managers:
- Calvin Ridley: 23.6%
- Josh Whyle: 25%
- Chig Okonkwo: 23.4%
- Tyjae Spears: 23.4%
Betting: Tennessee is 0-7 ATS at home this season (failing to cover by an average of 6.2 points per game) and have covered just one of their past 11 in front of their fans.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Team: The Jaguars went on bye after their 46-point loss in Detroit. Since then, they’ve played five straight one-score games (2-3 in those contests).
QB: On 19 play-action throws over the past three weeks, Mac Jones has two touchdowns and zero interceptions (other 88 throws: three touchdowns and two interceptions)
Offense: Jacksonville has converted all three of their red zone trips into touchdowns over their past two games (they were five-of-11 over their previous four games).
Defense: The Jags allowed the Titans to gain 41.1 yards per drive on Sunday, the third-highest mark they’ve allowed this season.
Fantasy: Since 2020, three times has a rookie receiver posted consecutive games with 85 receiving yards and a touchdown catch:
- Amon-Ra St. Brown (2021)
- Brian Thomas Jr. (Weeks 15-17)
- Brian Thomas Jr. (Weeks 4-5)
BTJ is the only receiver in NFL history with two such streaks as a rookie. If he can post a fourth straight game in Week 18, he’ll join Randy Moss (1998), St. Brown (2021), and Odell Beckham Jr. (2014) as the only players to accomplish that feat.
Betting: Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS in their past seven road divisional games (2-0 this season despite scoring 30 points and allowing 30 points).
Indianapolis Colts
Team: Should Colts fans like Sunday’s result? It locked in a losing season—Indianapolis has improved its win total by at least four games following each of its past six losing campaigns.
QB: Joe Flacco has 56 fewer pass attempts than Anthony Richardson this season – he has three more touchdown tosses and 13 more completions.
Offense: Indianapolis has averaged 2.75+ points per drive in consecutive games, matching their total of such games through the first 15 weeks.
Defense: The Colts have held the Packers, Lions, Bills, and Vikings all under 2.5 points per drive – the Patriots, Texans, Jaguars, and Giants (3.17 on Sunday) have all cleared that rate against Indianapolis this season.
Fantasy: Jonathan Taylor has at least 29 carries, 125 rushing yards, and a pair of rushing scores in consecutive games – he is the eighth player ever to hit all of those benchmarks in two straight games, the first since Julius Jones did it for the Cowboys in 2004.
Betting: The Colts are 3-1 ATS in their past four home divisional games, not bad for a team that had covered just two of their previous 11 such games.
Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
Team: Saturday in New England was only the third time since 2019 that the Chargers have earned at least a B grade in both Offense+ and Defense+ in the same game. The others:
- 2022 Week 17 vs. the Rams (31-10 win)
- 2019 Week 4 vs. the Dolphins (30-10 win).
QB: On Saturday, Justin Herbert officially became the NFL’s top passer through five career seasons (he opened the win over the Patriots by completing 17 of his first 21 passes for 162 yards and a pair of scores and a pair of teammate drops).
Offense: In Week 16, the Chargers scored a season-high 3.1 yards per drive, a rate they topped on Saturday against the Patriots (4.0).
Defense: Los Angeles is 10-1 this season when holding the opposition to a sub-50% third down conversion rate (Week 17 at Patriots: 20%).
Fantasy: Justin Herbert has thrown multiple touchdown passes in three straight games for the first time this season and snapped a 411-day drought since his last game with 3+ TD passes on Saturday.
Betting: Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in their past six games as a road favorite (4-1 this season).
Las Vegas Raiders
Team: Over the past two seasons, the Raiders are 5-2 after December 13 and 7-19 prior.
QB: Aidan O’Connell turned 12 third-down pass attempts into 131 yards and his first third-down score of the season on Sunday.
Offense: Vegas converted a season-high 10 third downs on Sunday in New Orleans (they hadn’t had more than four conversions in a game since Week 12).
Defense: The Raiders allowed under one point per drive on Sunday against the Saints, their first such performance this season.
Fantasy: Brock Bowers is eight catches away from tying the all-time tight end record for receptions in a single season (116 by Zach Ertz in 2018) and is 104 yards away from posting a top-10 yardage season all-time at the position.
Betting: The Raiders closed last season with four straight covers and can repeat that level of winter success this season should they cover the number this weekend.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
Team: Seattle has lost five of six games from Weeks 4-9 – they are 8-2 otherwise this season.
QB: Geno Smith’s average depth of throw on Thursday night was 3.2 yards, the second shortest in a winning effort of his career (minimum 20 attempts).
Offense: The Seahawks have punted on over 45% of their offensive drives five times this season, all five since the beginning of November (three in the past four weeks).
Defense: In their past six games, the Seahawks have held their opponents to a 32.9% conversion rate on third downs (seven games prior: 46.6%).
Fantasy: DK Metcalf doesn’t have a catch gaining more than 30 yards since Week 7 and doesn’t have a 100-yard game since September.
Betting: The Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their past eight games played on extended rest.
Los Angeles Rams
Team: The Rams will enter 2025 with the longest active December winning streak, eight straight victories.
QB: Matthew Stafford is completing a career-high 53.5% of his deep passes, those his yards per completed pass on those throws (24.3) is tracking to be a career low (he was over 26 yards in each of the previous 10 seasons).
Offense: Saturday was the Rams’ sixth game this season without committing a turnover this season (6-0 in those games, 4-6 otherwise).
Defense: Over their past three games, Los Angeles has allowed just two red zone touchdowns (and four scores) on seven opponent trips inside their 20-yard line.
Fantasy: Puka Nacua notched his 10th career game with 115+ receiving yards on Saturday, making him the fifth receiver to hit that benchmark in his first two seasons. He can join Justin Jefferson and Odell Beckham as the only players to record 11 such games in the regular season finale.
Betting: Unders are 7-1 in Los Angeles last eight games played on extended rest.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills
Team: With a week to spare, the Bills set their franchise record for touchdowns scored in a regular season.
QB: Josh Allen completed 77.8% of his third down passes against the Jets on Sunday, a good sign after struggling in such spots over his three games prior (45%).
Offense: Buffalo has cashed in all of their red zone trips into touchdowns in four of their past five games (three-for-three against the Jets on Sunday).
Defense: The Bills allowed just 1.4 points per drive on Sunday. They are 12-1 this season when allowing no more than 3.0 points per drive (season average: 2.05).
Fantasy: James Cook entered 2024 with four rushing touchdowns – he now has three separate three-game stretches this season in which he’s run for four scores.
Betting: Unders are 6-2 in Buffalo’s past road divisional games.
New England Patriots
Team: The Patriots have lost 11 regular season games by 17+ points since Tom Brady left town after 11 such games in the 16 seasons prior.
QB: Drake Maye’s rookie season hasn’t had much in the way of results, but there have been enough glimpses of promise for this fanbase to be excited about the future – he has a higher average QB+ in games 7-10 of his career (76.6) than Justin Herbert did (75.0).
Offense: The Patriots have turned the ball over in eight straight games – they’ve had a streak like that in three straight seasons (from 2014-201, they had two such streaks).
Defense: Over their past four games, New England has allowed opponents to pick up 53.7% of third downs. That’s a high rate as it is, so when you consider that teams are six-of-six on fourth down over that stretch, this is a struggling unit (over this stretch, 24% of third down stops by New England have been erased by a fourth down conversion).
Fantasy: Rhamondre Stevenson had three games in the first month of this season with 80+ rushing yards AND a score – he has three games with EITHER since.
Betting: New England hasn’t covered a long rest spot since Week 14 of 2022 (0-4-1 ATS over that stretch).
Miami Dolphins at New York Jets
Miami Dolphins
Team: Miami has won six of eight after opening the season with six losses in their first eight.
QB: Tyler Huntley averaged 8.7 yards per pass and had one touchdown on 26 attempts against the Browns on Sunday – in his first 66 passes this season, he averaged 5.7 yards per pass and had one touchdown.
Offense: Miami has not turned the ball over in four of their past five games (3-1 record in those four games).
Defense: The Dolphins improved to 5-0 this season when allowing a score on no more than 30% of opponent drives.
Fantasy: De’Von Achane managers are signing up to be Tua Tagovailoa fans when they draft him. This season:
- Tagovailoa: 18.6% production over expectation, 1.2 points per touch, 24.1% on-field target.
- Tyler Huntley: 23.1% production under expectation, 0.5 points per touch, 11.5% on-field target.
Betting: Miami Has covered six of their past seven road divisional games (their last 3-0 ATS season in terms of road divisional games was 2019).
New York Jets
Team: The Jets lost by 26 to the Bills on Sunday and were fortunate that the final score was that close. The blowout came on the heels of their previous four losses, which were by a total of 22 points.
QB: Aaron Rodgers has had more downs than ups this season, but he has completed 17-of-21 play-action passes over the past two weeks (81%).
Offense: New York averaged 1.4 points per drive on Sunday and fell to 0-8 this season when they failed to clear 2.0 points per drive.
Defense: The defense hasn’t traveled this season—the Jets have allowed 3+ points per drive in five games this year, and they’ve all been on the road (Sunday at Buffalo: 3.5).
Fantasy: The only players with more targets than Davante Adams (102) since he debuted for the Jets are Ja’Marr Chase (119) and Malik Nabers (110).
Betting: Under tickets have cashed in five of New York’s past seven home divisional games.
New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
Team: Not only did the Giants cash ‘over’ betting tickets by themselves last week against the Colts with 45 points, but they easily cleared their December point total entering the game (32 points across three games).
QB: Players since 2020 with a 300 pass yard, four pass TD, one rush TD game:
- Josh Allen (3)
- Patrick Mahomes (1)
- Tom Brady (1)
- Justin Herbert (1)
- Dak Prescott (1)
- … Drew Lock (1)
Offense: Lock posted the fourth-best QB+ game of the season and earned the first ‘A’ grade for a Giant quarterback in our database that dates back to 2019.
Defense: Opponents have picked up 24-of-38 third downs (63.2%) against New York over the past three weeks.
Fantasy: Malik Nabers is four receptions away from breaking Steve Smith’s franchise record (107 in 2009), and with 135 receiving yards, he can join Odell Beckham Jr., Victor Cruz, Homer Jones, and Del Shofner as the only Giants to average 85 receiving yards for a season.
Betting: The Giants have seen eight of their past 11 road divisional games go over the total (most recent: 27-20 loss to Dallas with a 39-point total).
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Eagles lost a shootout with the Commanders in Week 16, but that hasn’t been their path to success – that’s the only game over the past two months in which they’ve allowed more than 20 points.
QB: Without Jalen Hurts, the Eagles completed 13-of-19 passes with three scores (all three to their star receivers) and zero interceptions.
Offense: Philadelphia has scored at least three offensive touchdowns in 11 straight games, a streak that started after failing to reach three scores in Weeks 2-3-4.
Defense: The Eagles rebounded from their second-worst points-per-drive defensive showing of the season (Washington: 2.77) with their third-best against the Cowboys (0.70). Philadelphia’s top-three games in this regard for the season have all come in divisional games.
Fantasy: Saquon Barkley needs 101 rushing yards to set the single-season record – he’s done that in a half of action five times this season (including the second half in Week 7 against these Giants).
Betting: The Eagles were 2-3 ATS to open this season but have covered eight of 11 games since.
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers
Team: The 49ers have lost six of their past seven games — they lost five games during the entire 2023 regular season.
QB: In Weeks 1-16, we didn’t have a single game where a QB threw for 350 yards and three touchdowns while also rushing for a score — Joe Burrow and Brock Purdy both did it in Week 17.
Offense: The 49ers lost on Monday night despite scoring 34 points — they were 25-1 when scoring 34+ points in a regular season game over the past decade prior to this setback.
Defense: San Francisco is 6-1 this season when they allow 2.0 or fewer points per drive (0-9 otherwise).
Fantasy: Entering Monday night, twice did a receiver have multiple rush attempts, 40 receiving yards, and a touchdown catch in the first half of a game this season — Ricky Pearsall and Jameson Williams both did it in Week 17.
Betting: Since the beginning of 2021, the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in road divisional games and overs are 9-2 across those spots.
Arizona Cardinals
Team: Since 2022, the best point differential for a team with double-digit losses in a season is -15. The 7-9 Cardinals have been outscored by two points this year.
QB: Kyler Murray is averaging a career-low 5.9 yards per blitzed pass attempt this season. His career rate is 7.1, highlighted by an 8.9 average a season ago.
Offense: Saturday was the ninth time this season in which Arizona had at least as many FGM as offensive TDs scored (they’ve done it in three straight).
Defense: The Cardinals have allowed a touchdown on just 50.9% of opponent red zone trips this season, pacing for their best season since 2014.
Fantasy: On Saturday, Trey McBride recorded his third game with 12+ catches in a game this season – he’s the first tight end ever to do that and just the 11th player to do so. A fourth game would tie him atop the all-time list for such games in a single season with Cris Carter (1995) and CeeDee Lamb (2023).
Betting: Arizona is just 1-5 ATS in their past six games played on extended rest.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Team: Over the past 20 seasons, teams that have won at least four December games have made the playoffs 85.4% of the time.
QB: Joe Burrow has nine games this season, earning a ‘B’ or better in our QB+ metric – he had eight such games over the two seasons prior.
Joe Burrow extends his all time NFL-record streak of consecutive games with 250+ passing yards and 3+ passing TDs to 8️⃣ games, and he did so on the game-winning TD pass to beat Denver in OT.
This is also Burrow's 5th career game passing for 400+ yards, 3+ TDs, and 0 INT. That's… pic.twitter.com/z3fgbLh7Wt
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) December 29, 2024
Offense: The Bengals have converted just eight of 13 (61.5%) goal-to-go drives into touchdowns over their past three games (first 14 weeks: 82.8%).
Defense: Cincinnati has stopped its opponent on at least two-thirds of third downs in three of its past four games, something it did just three times through the first 13 weeks.
Fantasy: On top of all of the passing numbers, Burrow has a 15+ yard rush in consecutive games for the first time since October 2022.
Betting: Four straight games, and seven of their past eight, played on extended rest by the Bengals have either seen them cover and the under hit OR them fail to cover and the over cash.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Team: The Steelers have multiple losing streaks this regular season, something two Super Bowl Champions have done in the 2000s:
- 2010 Packers: Lost a Week 15 road game and gave up 27+ points
- 2015 Broncos: Lost a Week 15 road game and gave up 27+ points
- 2024 Steelers: Lost a Week 15 road game and gave up 27+ points
QB: In George Pickens’ return, Russell Wilson couldn’t find a rhythm downfield. He went just one-of-six on deep throws (his lowest such completion percentage of the season) and threw an interception (his first such pick since Week 10).
Offense: From Weeks 6-14, Pittsburgh won seven of the eight right games and averaged 2.26 points per drive. They have been 0-3 since and have scored just 1.29 points per drive.
Defense: The Steelers lost on Christmas Day despite holding the Chiefs to just a 30% success rate on third downs (prior to that game, they were 6-1 this season when holding their opponent to a 30% conversion rate).
Fantasy: Jaylen Warren’s usage is trending up, and he’s cleared PPR fantasy expectations by over 5% in five of his past seven games.
Betting: Pittsburgh’s ATS results have mirrored their real-life results—they’ve covered all 10 of their wins and failed to cover all 6 of their losses.
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New Orleans Saints
Team: The Saints have held the ball for under 23 minutes in consecutive games, totaling 10 points on 106 offensive plays over that stretch
QB: Spencer Rattler has completed 56% of his passes just once this season and has two more multi-interception games than he has multi-TD games.
Offense: The Saints converted just one-of-10 third downs on Sunday, their lowest rate of the season (four games under 30% this season),
Defense: The Saints have allowed a score on the majority of opponent drives four times this season, two coming over the past two weeks.
Fantasy: Foster Moreau and Juwan Johnson chewed up 44.1% of New Orleans’ targets and 45% of their receptions.
Betting: New Orleans has covered six straight road divisional games in which they’ve closed as an underdog.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Team: Since the beginning of November, Tampa Bay is 5-3, a record that could have swung even more in their favor (one overtime loss and the other two coming by no more than three points).
QB: Baker Mayfield’s average QB+ is 78.6 this season. That ranks favorably to 2020 Tom Brady (77.9) as he led the Bucs to a Super Bowl win.
Baker Mayfield's average QB+ is 78.6 this season. That ranks favorably to 2020 Tom Brady (77.9) as he led the Bucs to a Super Bowl win. 👀
Here's the game by game breakdown: pic.twitter.com/CNhpYsMAxL
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) December 29, 2024
Offense: On Sunday, Bucky Irving became the second player this season with a 30+ yard catch and a 30+ yard run in multiple games, joining Saquon Barkley.
Defense: For the first time this season, Tampa Bay has failed to force a turnover in consecutive games.
Fantasy: Jalen McMillan has a touchdown catch in four straight games, the longest streak by a rookie since Lee Evans (2004).
Betting: The Bucs are 6-2 ATS over their past eight games and have seen over tickets cash in each of their past three.
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
Team: The Browns have won two straight games and three of their past four against the Ravens (they were 3-10 in the previous 13 meetings).
QB: Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown 115 passes this season and has zero touchdowns to show for it (six interceptions). He is 0-of-9 with three interceptions when throwing 20+ yards downfield.
Offense: The Browns are averaging 27.2% fewer points per drive this season than they did a year ago.
Defense: Sunday was the fourth time this season in which the Browns allowed under 20 yards per drive – they’ve managed to lose all four of those games.
Fantasy: Jerry Jeudy joined Josh Gordon (2013) and Kellen Winslow (2007) as the only Browns to earn 18 targets in a game (he was also the third Brown to catch 12 passes in a game, interestingly enough, the first to do both).
Betting: Cleveland is just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 road divisional games.
Baltimore Ravens
Team: The 2007 Giants and the 2001 Patriots are the only teams since 2000 to win their conference despite losing the first two games of the season (the Ravens lost to the Chiefs and Raiders to open up the season). Both of those teams went on to win the Super Bowl.
QB: Lamar Jackson’s average QB+ this season (82.9) is well above what he posted a season ago (77.1).
Offense: The Ravens have picked up over 43 yards per drive in three straight games (they had two such performances through the first 14 weeks of this season).
Defense: After allowing opponents to pick up 46.7% of their third downs through 10 weeks, Baltimore has held strong with a 29.1% conversion rate since.
Fantasy: Mark Andrews has scored on 16.4% of his targets this season, a massive serge from his rate over the two years prior (6.3%).
Betting: Wednesday was the first time the Ravens have covered a game that went under the total since their Week 4 win over the Bills.