Can Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence go from fantasy dud to fantasy stud? Will Lawrence become a starter on your fantasy football roster, and what is his current ADP in fantasy drafts?
Trevor Lawrence ADP | Is he worth his current price in fantasy drafts?
Lawrence’s current ADP is 141st overall and the 18th quarterback selected in fantasy drafts. This means he’s being taken in the 11th round of standard leagues. Other players drafted in his range include Matt Ryan, Ryan Tannehill, and Tua Tagovailoa.
For as poorly as Lawrence’s statistics were in 2021, the Jaguars were a disaster around him. Their decision to add several key free agents and hire head coach Doug Pederson can fix many of their massive issues. Expect Jacksonville to have a more modern, free-flowing offense that puts Lawrence in a position to succeed much more often.
The tape often showed a good young player progressing mentally despite the trainwreck around him. This preseason has continued that growth. It’s likely we’ll see a much more efficient year from Lawrence in Year 2.
Currently drafted as a low-end backup, Lawrence is a solid upside swing for teams needing a little variance from their QB2. He’s an explosive passer who creates chunk plays. This playstyle is great now that he has more weapons around him.
Superflex teams that don’t land a star second passer should absolutely benefit from waiting on the position to add Lawrence rounds after his peers are being taken.
Lawrence’s projected fantasy value in 2022
What’s the ceiling for Lawrence in 2022? To end up as a QB1, he’d need to rival Kirk Cousins’ 2021 numbers of 4,221 yards, 33 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Cousins ended up as QB11 last year. Any lower would pit him amongst the replaceable candidates.
It’s hard to envision Lawrence getting much higher since he’s not as much of a dual-threat as his peers or as efficient as a pocket passer as the NFL’s elite … yet. Especially with Lamar Jackson and Russell Wilson primed for bounce-back seasons, it’s much more likely Lawrence takes a jump from QB22 to QB15 than inside the top 10 fantasy passers.
That’s not a bad jump for someone who completed 59.6% of their attempts for 3,641 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 17 picks in their first season.