The 2022 fantasy football season is truly underway as drafts fire off across the nation, meaning now is the time to dive into Jacksonville Jaguars WR Marvin Jones Jr.’s ADP to determine whether or not fantasy managers are receiving a value in their fantasy football drafts. Is there enough volume to go around following new additions to the team, and can Jones maintain his WR1 spot on the depth chart in 2022?
Marvin Jones Jr. ADP | Is he worth his current price in fantasy drafts?
As we draw closer to the prime draft season for fantasy football, Jones currently has an ADP of 198, coming off the board as the WR70. For a comparison, Jones is going 99 picks later than Christian Kirk as the WR41. As of now, Jones is currently the WR55 In PFN’s 2022 fantasy football WR redraft rankings, but be sure to check back as rankings will fluctuate between now and the start of the season.
Going in the 17th round on average, Jones is one of the last wide receivers being selected. Some sites do show him a bit higher, but regardless, Jones is being viewed as little more than a depth piece to a fantasy roster based on his ADP.
Given the lack of draft capital needed to invest in Jones, he’s a solid pick for 2022 at cost. Barring an injury, he’ll have a difficult time underperforming his draft day price. In the rounds where managers are banking on pure upside, Jones is a proven wide receiver who is likely going too late due to the Jaguars’ potential struggles. Jacksonville’s woes didn’t stop Jones from having a productive season last year with this same team despite all the turmoil.
Marvin Jones Jr.’s projected fantasy value in 2022
Jones was one of my favorite signings ast offseason as he had been a solid complementary receiver over his career and brought needed stability to the position for Trevor Lawrence in his rookie season.
Jones was sneaky good last year, yet his ADP at the moment doesn’t reflect this. The WR34 of 2021 recorded 17 red-zone targets, good enough for the fourth most. He also saw a ton of volume, recording 120 targets, catching 73 passes for 132 yards with four touchdowns. The only real downside was in Jones’ efficiency, averaging 9.9 points per game, which ranked him 51st.
Combined with the previous two years in Detroit as their No. 2 behind Kenny Golladay, Jones has put together a solid résumé. His per-game average would have him on pace for over 950 yards and eight touchdowns over a 17-game season. That’s not a fluke.
Where things become a bit more complicated for Jones is this is now a rather crowded receiver room. For one, the Jaguars made one of the more surprising free agent acquisitions in Kirk. It was not so much Kirk was signed, but for how much Jacksonville dished out, giving him a four-year, $72 million deal that could be worth up to $84 million with $37 million fully guaranteed.
Money talks, and Kirk is projected to be the No. 1 option for Lawrence, especially if they keep him in the slot, which was a key contributor to his breakout season last year.
With that said, the player who could hamper Marvin Jones this year for fantasy is Zay Jones. Similar to Marvin, Zay also has the ability to stretch the field. Serving as Lawrence’s deeper target, Marvin Jones needs to hold onto this role. Reports coming from camp are Lawrence has been looking toward Zay Jones fairly routinely.
If Lawrence does turn to Zay rather than Marvin when needing an explosive play up the boundary, then all of a sudden, Zay is a massive value as the WR104, where he typically goes undrafted.
Unfortunately, it’s unlikely managers will find enough weekly upside to slot either in their starting lineup unless we see a significant improvement in Lawrence under Doug Pederson.