New York Jets rookie running back Breece Hall is fighting for the starting job in 2022. Will Hall produce enough to be on your fantasy football roster, and what is his current ADP in fantasy drafts?
Breece Hall ADP | Is he worth his current price in fantasy drafts?
Hall’s current ADP is 39th overall as the 20th running back selected in fantasy drafts. This means he’s being taken in the third round of standard leagues. Other players drafted in his range include Cam Akers and Josh Jacobs.
Comparatively, Hall checks in at 39th overall and the 20th running back on PFN’s 2022 RB fantasy football rankings. It’s safe to say that we believe Hall’s ADP is justified. It’s rare to see both ADP and rankings align so perfectly.
What makes Hall such a strong rookie prospect? Even if he shares carries with Michael Carter as he’s expected to, the Jets have a rebuilt offensive line that bodes well for any back to find success. They also have the receiving options that should force defenses to respect the passing game, even if quarterback Zach Wilson was terrible last year.
Some form of improvement must be coming for the unit in 2022. Offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur should develop as a play-caller in his second season. Wilson can’t be worse than he was in the first month of the year.
Even with setbacks and a struggling group around them, Carter and Tevin Coleman averaged 4.3 and 4.2 yards per carry, respectively. Hall is more physical and has a better burst than both, which should help his efficiency even if all other factors are the same.
Hall’s projected fantasy value in 2022
With Coleman released and Hall in a 1A/1B situation with Carter, for now, there’s room for both to be productive. The big questions are how much the ball carriers split the available carries, and can Wilson get them into the red zone enough for Hall to be a starting-caliber back?
If Wilson sees a wave of improvement and surges, Hall and Carter could replicate the backfield success of Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon if they split carries evenly. For as much as fantasy managers don’t want to spend a premium pick on a player who produces the same as someone going 60 picks later, there’s more certainty with Hall if things go awry.
Carter wasn’t an efficient back in key situations last year because he lacks the contact balance and play strength to be a reliable force in short-yardage situations. He averaged only 2.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns on 25 rushes in the red zone. It’s not an egregiously low number compared to his peers, but Hall should earn more of those touches since he can compensate when defenses key onto him.
The receiving upside of Hall is strong but also remains to be seen if either player gets pigeonholed. Carter is a good pass catcher himself, but Ty Johnson was primarily the receiving back in 2021. If Hall can split carries and win the receiving job, he’ll be in line to be a solid Flex option or potential RB2 on Zero RB teams.