If you’re looking for Week 6 XFL Arlington Renegades vs. San Antonio Brahmas odds, picks, and predictions for this important Sunday matchup, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.
Renegades vs. Brahmas Week 6 Odds and Betting Lines
The following odds and betting lines for the Renegades vs. Brahmas are as of the evening of Thursday, March 23, and come from DraftKings Sportsbook. Clearly, they’re subject to change. That said, barring an unforeseen injury to a significant starter, we should assume that these lines will remain largely intact.
- Point Spread: Renegades (-3)
- Moneyline: Renegades (-165), Brahmas (+140)
- Over/Under: 33 (-110)
Renegades vs. Brahmas Picks and Predictions
Full disclosure as always: After going 13-3 on a combined point spread and moneyline of XFL picks in Weeks 3 and 4, I settled into a middling 2-2 performance in Week 5. Fortunately, my struggles with over/unders reversed course, as I finished 3-1.
This rematch between the Renegades and Brahmas is fascinating for many of the reasons football often isn’t fascinating. Arlington is one win away from nearly locking down a postseason berth with four games to play. San Antonio, meanwhile, is one win away from nipping at Arlington’s heels.
That’s exciting, but this game is largely about which defense will step up most. Hence, the incredibly low over/under.
Yet, we don’t need an over/under to explain each team’s offensive challenges. The Renegades have a game-manager QB who’s averaging the fewest yards per pass attempt of any other XFL starter. Kyle Sloter’s 1:4 TD:INT ratio is the worst in the league — including among those who’ve been benched. He doesn’t run particularly well, either. Essentially, he’s not elevating this offense.
Still, let’s not put the blame entirely or even mostly on Sloter. This squad is eighth in rushing yards per game on less than 2.9 yards per carry. Find me a quarterback who can thrive under these conditions.
Meanwhile, in the receiving game, it’s Sal Cannella or bust as always. He’s caught 26 passes for 213 scoreless yards. Entirely respectable, all things considered, plus no one else on the team has more than 14 catches.
This is, by definition, a stagnant offense. The Renegades have a winning record despite scoring the league’s fewest points. How? Because they won all three games by a combined five points. Timely defense versus bottom-tier offenses. That’s been Arlington’s key to success.
For the Brahmas, it’s a similar story. Jack Coan continued to struggle at the helm of this offense, and Reid Sinnett looked better in relief last weekend. But “better” is relative. He struggled.
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The good news is that one of San Antonio’s top draft picks, WR Cole Turner, is expected to return this weekend. So is fellow wideout Landen Akers. Perhaps they’ll help jumpstart this struggling offense.
There’s no easier path to victory because the Brahmas’ running game remains anemic at best. Longtime readers know I’ve been stating the same thing pretty much every week since Week 1.
“Kalen Ballage isn’t the answer.” “Jacques Patrick isn’t much better.” Et cetera.
Kudos to both guys for capitalizing on increased involvement in the passing game last weekend. Yet, they’re only nominally more productive than Arlington’s backfield, and as the lead back, Ballage’s 2.7 yards per carry won’t keep the chains moving too often.
In my humble opinion, the point spread should be more than three points. For all their flaws, the Renegades have a pretty stable team at the moment. We know what to expect. The Brahmas are getting some key additions, but their QB situation is arguably more tenuous. And the shift to Arlington’s home field has to count for something.
I expect another defensive battle, with the Renegades continuing to operate conservatively and trusting their defense to do the rest. San Antonio could surprise, but more likely, Sinnett and/or Coan will find it tough to push through Arlington’s defense, and the Brahmas’ backfield could have its worst game ever versus a defense yielding the fewest rushing yards per game.
- Recommended Point-Spread Bet: Renegades (-3)
- Recommended Moneyline Bet: Renegades (-165)
- Over/Under: Under 33 (-110)