The dynasty profile for New Orleans Saints WR Rashid Shaheed was straightforward as an undrafted deep threat out of Weber State, and it hasn’t changed through two professional seasons — he is a deep threat that is rarely used in other ways.
Shaheed averaged 17.8 yards per catch in his final collegiate season and holds an NFL average of 16.3 yards per reception, but he doesn’t have a 50-catch season at either level. Should we expect growth as he enters this age-25 season, or are we looking at a one-trick pony that will never hold consistent fantasy football value?
Rashid Shaheed’s Dynasty Outlook
Shaheed has performed well in the limited opportunities he has gotten with New Orleans. He has only dropped two of his 109 targets (618 routes run) and ranks among the league’s best when it comes to game-breaking plays:
Leaders in 45+ yard TD catches since 2022
1. Miami Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill: 8
2. Las Vegas Raiders WR Davante Adams: 6
3. New Orleans Saints WR Rashid Shaheed: 4
3. Buffalo Bills WR Stefon Diggs: 4
3. San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel: 4
3. Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase: 4
Appearing on that list is impressive at face value, and it only gets more special when you factor in the context of the offense he plays in. Over that stretch, the Saints aren’t a top-10 team in deep throws or deep passer rating. The quality of looks hasn’t boosted that number, and the quantity certainly hasn’t.
Target Ranks Since 2022
1. Raiders WR Adams: 355
2. Dolphins WR Hill: 341
5. Bills WR Diggs: 314
10. Bengals WR Chase: 279
42. 49ers WR Samuel: 183
105. Saints WR Shaheed: 109
Despite showing the potential to be a uniquely gifted receiver, the opportunity count simply hasn’t been there. On his NFL resume, Shaheed has 5+ receptions in 14.8% of his games and has yet to see 10 balls thrown his way in any contest.
Thinking about the reaction across the world wide web if Rashid Shaheed made this catch.#JAXvsNO | #PFN365 pic.twitter.com/SO4q8AznIA
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) October 20, 2023
Entering 2024, Shaheed is an exclusive-rights free agent, a contract structure that applies to a player with less than three years of service. If he is tendered by the Saints, he’ll call New Orleans home again in 2024. If not, he’s free to explore other opportunities.
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QB Derek Carr remains under contract for the foreseeable future with the Saints, and while he may not be the gunslinger that would theoretically allow Shaheed to reach his potential, over the past five seasons, he ranks ahead of Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes in passer rating, completion percentage, yards per attempt, and touchdown rate when throwing 15+ yards downfield.
Staying in New Orleans is Shaheed’s most likely scenario as we sit here today, but other suitors need to at least be factored in — a team like the Buffalo Bills is on the radar, as WR Gabe Davis appears to be on his way out of town.
Shaheed’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Shaheed land in the dynasty WR landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Shaheed lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
2) Justin Jefferson | MIN
3) Tyreek Hill | MIA
4) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
5) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
6) A.J. Brown | PHI
7) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
8) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
9) Chris Olave | NO
10) Tee Higgins | CIN
11) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
12) Puka Nacua | LAR
13) DJ Moore | CHI
14) Nico Collins | HOU
15) Rashee Rice | KC
16) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
17) Amari Cooper | CLE
18) Cooper Kupp | LAR
19) DeVonta Smith | PHI
20) DK Metcalf | SEA
21) Zay Flowers | BAL
22) Drake London | ATL
23) Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA
24) Davante Adams | LV
25) Mike Evans | TB
26) Tank Dell | HOU
27) Jayden Reed | GB
28) Deebo Samuel | SF
29) Calvin Ridley | JAX
30) Stefon Diggs | BUF
31) Jordan Addison | MIN
32) Keenan Allen | LAC
33) Terry McLaurin | WAS
34) George Pickens | PIT
35) Chris Godwin | TB
36) Josh Downs | IND
37) Gabe Davis | BUF
38) Michael Wilson | ARI
39) Jameson Williams | DET
40) Elijah Moore | CLE
41) Romeo Doubs | GB
42) Jerry Jeudy | DEN
43) Christian Kirk | JAX
44) Diontae Johnson | PIT
45) DeAndre Hopkins | TEN
46) Khalil Shakir | BUF
47) Joshua Palmer | LAC
48) Jahan Dotson | WAS
49) Courtland Sutton | DEN
50) Jakobi Meyers | LV
51) Treylon Burks | TEN
52) Christian Watson | GB
53) K.J. Osborn | MIN
54) Marquise Brown | ARI
55) Mike Williams | LAC
56) Tyler Lockett | SEA
57) Zay Jones | JAX
58) Jonathan Mingo | CAR
59) Quentin Johnston | LAC
60) Jalin Hyatt | NYG
61) Noah Brown | HOU
62) Tutu Atwell | LAR
63) Michael Thomas | NO
64) Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN
65) Kendrick Bourne | NE
66) Adam Thielen | CAR
67) Cedric Tillman | CLE
68) Rashid Shaheed | NO
69) Brandin Cooks | DAL
70) Trey Palmer | TB
71) Darius Slayton | NYG
72) Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG
73) Darnell Mooney | CHI
74) Kadarius Toney | KC
75) Rashod Bateman | BAL
76) John Metchie III | HOU
77) Rondale Moore | ARI
78) Skyy Moore | KC
79) Donovan Peoples-Jones | DET
80) Alec Pierce | IND
81) Mecole Hardman Jr. | KC
82) Allen Lazard | NYJ
83) Tyler Boyd | CIN
84) DJ Chark | CAR
85) Josh Reynolds | DET
86) Odell Beckham Jr. | BAL
87) Michael Gallup | DAL
88) Tyquan Thornton | NE
89) Curtis Samuel | WAS
90) Isaiah Hodgins | NYG
91) Robert Woods | HOU
92) Terrace Marshall Jr. | CAR
93) Hunter Renfrow | LV
94) Xavier Hutchinson | HOU
95) Kayshon Boutte | NE
96) Marquez Valdes-Scantling | KC
97) Greg Dortch | ARI
98) Parris Campbell | NYG
99) JuJu Smith-Schuster | NE
100) Chase Claypool | MIA
Should You Trade Shaheed in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Shaheed? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
Shaheed is a situational buy/sell candidate. His role as a field stretcher holds value in the right spot, but we need to acknowledge that the NFL is trending away from this archetype of receiver.
NFL averages
- 2015-17: 8.3 aDOT
- 2018-20: 8.1 aDOT
- 2021-23: 7.7 aDOT
And here’s where this becomes a risky proposition: Shaheed has no secondary path to helping us out. In his 27 career games, he has earned eight red-zone targets. Eight.
For reference, only 166 players have more over those two seasons, a list that includes Julio Jones, Ameer Abdullah, and Foster Moreau.
In the trade market, Shaheed is currently pigeonholed as an upside Flex option without weekly stability. That’s completely fair given what he has shown up to this point, but it doesn’t take into account his youth and potential for growth.
Am I optimistic that he will turn into a volume target earner in short order? I’m not, but the chances of development are non-zero, and that has me wanting to hold onto him instead of selling him at his current asking price.
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That said, if you’re a team ready to make a championship run and need stability in the back half of your roster, moving Shaheed in a deal for a Cincinnati Bengals WR Tyler Boyd-type is plenty reasonable.
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