The offenses for both the Las Vegas Raiders and Detroit Lions both have a lot of talent at the skill positions. But with so many player prop bets to choose from for tonight’s game, which ones should you be targeting? The PFN Betting Team gives their favorite Raiders vs. Lions player prop bets for Monday Night Football.
Top Las Vegas Raiders vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Bets To Target
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless noted otherwise.
Josh Jacobs Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 63.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
- Rush Attempts: 16.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Receiving Yards: 20.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +100
- First Touchdown Scorer: +850
Soppe: Playing from behind (Detroit is the third highest first quarter scoring team this season) works in the favor of the Raiders passing and so does the fact that, through seven weeks, opponents facing the Lions own the highest pass rate over expectation in the league.
That puts Josh Jacobs (2.9 yards per carry this season, under 66 rushing yards in all four of Vegas’ losses this season) in a tough spot.
His role as the featured back isn’t in question, but with defenses willing to crowd the line of scrimmage (Jacobs: league-high 7.2 defenders in the box on average) and the projected script of this game, his rushing floor is as low as it gets from a player with this level of volume.
Pick: Josh Jacobs under 67.5 rushing yards (-115 at Tipico)
Katz: I came into this article to add my prop bet for the night, and low and behold, Soppe beat me to it. There’s not much to add, as Soppe’s reasoning largely echoes mine.
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The Lions have been one of the best run defenses in the league. They allow 3.6 ypc and just 56 rushing yards per game. Combine that with Soppe’s info about Jacobs’ inefficiency this season, and everything points to Jacobs handling a bunch of carries and not going very far, forcing the Raiders to move the ball through the air.
Davante Adams Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 73.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Longest Reception: 24.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: +175
- First Touchdown Scorer: +1200
Blewis: The Raiders made a concerted effort to get Davante Adams the ball last week, as he had 12 targets but was only able to finish the day with 7 receptions for 57 yards. But that was with Brian Hoyer at starting quarterback, and this week, Adams will have his QB1 back in Jimmy Garoppolo.
With Jimmy G under center, Adams’ ceiling is much higher than with Hoyer or Aidan O’Connell. In a game in which they’re underdogs of more than a touchdown, I’m expecting a negative game script from the Raiders, and in the two losses with Garoppolo this season, Adams went for a combined 256 receiving yards and 3 TDs.
Pick: Davante Adams over 73.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Jared Goff Player Props
- Passing Yards: 270.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
- Pass Touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -180/Under +140)
- Pass Completions: 23.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
- Pass Attempts: 33.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
- Interceptions: 0.5 (Over +130/Under -180)
Blewis: The perception of Jared Goff being a much better quarterback at home than on the road is most certainly real, as the numbers definitely back that up. At home this season, he has a completion percentage of 73%, is averaging 8.35 yards per attempt, and has a QB rating of 133.3. On the road, those numbers dip to a 65% completion rate, 6.88 yards per attempt, and a 88.0 QB rating.
Having said all of that, I think Goff’s passing yards prop is priced a bit too high, and you can tell that number is going to drop based on the juice and the fact that it’s three yards lower at FanDuel. My expectation is that the Lions win this one handedly, and that they won’t need to rely on their passing game much in the second half.
Pick: Jared Goff under 270.5 receiving yards (-140 at DraftKings)
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Props
- Receiving Yards: 83.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Receptions: 7.5 (Over +114/Under -145)
- Longest Reception: 24.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -115
- First Touchdown Scorer: +550
Blewis: Amon-Ra St. Brown is 7th in red zone target share in the NFL this season, and all three of his touchdowns have come at home. His red zone target share of 36.8% is more than double the next closest player on the Lions in Sam LaPorta at 17.3%.
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The Lions will be without David Montgomery yet again, who we all know has been one of the most utilized weapons in the red zone this season. With Montgomery’s absence, and at home, there is a clear path towards St. Brown finding the end zone in this one.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+105 at FanDuel)
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props
- Rushing Yards: 64.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
- Receiving Yards: 26.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
- Receptions: 3.5 (Over -150/Under +120)
- Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -135
- First Touchdown Scorer: +450
Soppe: Dan Campbell told us we were getting a full dose of Jahmyr Gibbs last week and … we did! In a game they lost by 32, Gibbs touched the ball 20 times and averaged 6.2 yards per carry.
He’s an explosive runner in the exact opposite spot that Jacobs is – a heavy favorite that runs into a stacked box just 2% of the time behind a line that we have ranked as the second best offensive line moving forward. With game script projecting in our favor, the rookie could post the best rushing game of his young career.
Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs over 64.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
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