The last game of the NFL Week 8 slate will be the last leg of moneyline parlays and teasers everywhere, as this has all the makings of a get-right spot for the Detroit Lions coming off a 38-6 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. But is it worth laying such a large point spread, even at home against a bad Las Vegas Raiders team? The PFN betting team gives their Raiders vs. Lions predictions, favorite player prop bets, and more.
Raiders vs. Lions Odds
The point spread for Raiders vs. Lions is the fifth-highest of the week. The line got to as high as Lions -8.5 before it dropped a bit after it was reported that Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo will be making his return from injury.
The Lions might be heavy favorites tonight, but according to Action Network, Jared Goff is 19-8 ATS at home since 2020, which is the best of any QB in the NFL. This is the second time in the Goff era that the Lions are favored by more than a touchdown.
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.
- Spread
Lions -7 - Moneyline
Raiders +280, Lions -355 - Over/Under
47
Raiders vs. Lions Predictions
Bearman: The Lions were dealt a reality check last week in Baltimore, falling flat after a 5-1 start to the season. If there was a get-right spot, this would be it — a home Monday night game vs. the struggling Raiders.
Detroit gets to host MNF for the first time since 2018, and the crowd will be ready. As for Las Vegas, they may have been the most fraudulent 3-3 team we had seen in some time, not breaking 21 in any game and only beating three bad teams in the Packers, Patriots, and Broncos by a combined nine points.
MORE: NFL Week 8 Predictions, Picks Against the Spread
They got a reality check of their own last week in a blowout loss to the Bears. I think the Lions win this one easily, and I’ll lay the points even after teasing them with the Ravens.
Pick: Lions -7.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Blewis: In four wins against below .500 teams this season, the Lions have won by an average margin of 15 points per game. This might be a big number to lay for a favorite, but I still think there’s some value here. Even despite their blowout loss to the Ravens last week, the Lions are still fifth in DVOA. The Raiders, on the other hand? 30th.
I would’ve liked this number better for the Lions if Brian Hoyer or Aidan O’Connell was starting, but it’s not like Jimmy Garoppolo has been playing well by any means. In five games this season, he has thrown eight INTs and has a QBR of just 46.7.
Last week was almost the worst possible matchup for Jared Goff. We all know he is much less effective when he’s playing outdoors on the road, but he also had to go against an elite Ravens defense. A home game against a Raiders defense that is 25th in DVOA and 27th in EPA/play is the perfect bounce-back spot for him. The greatest (and only) strength of this Raiders defense is Maxx Crosby, but the Lions have maybe the best offensive line in the NFL after the Eagles.
I wouldn’t be afraid to take the Lions giving so many points here, especially if you can still find a number below eight.
Pick: Lions -7.5 (-115 at FanDuel)
Soppe: Playing from behind (Detroit is the third highest first quarter scoring team this season) works in the favor of the Raiders passing and so does the fact that, through seven weeks, opponents facing the Lions own the highest pass rate over expectation in the league.
That puts Josh Jacobs (2.9 yards per carry this season, under 66 rushing yards in all four of Vegas’ losses this season) in a tough spot.
MORE: NFL Survivor Picks Week 8
His role as the featured back isn’t in question, but with defenses willing to crowd the line of scrimmage (Jacobs: league-high 7.2 defenders in the box on average) and the projected script of this game, his rushing floor is as low as it gets from a player with this level of volume.
Pick: Josh Jacobs under 67.5 rushing yards (-115 at Tipico)
Soppe: Dan Campbell told us we were getting a full dose of Jahmyr Gibbs last week, and … we did! In a game they lost by 32, Gibbs touched the ball 20 times and averaged 6.2 yards per carry.
He’s an explosive runner in the exact opposite spot that Jacobs is — a heavy favorite that runs into a stacked box just 2% of the time behind a line that we have ranked as the second-best offensive line moving forward. With game script projecting in our favor, the rookie could post the best rushing game of his young career.
Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs over 64.5 rushing yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.