As we close in toward the new season, the ever-changing NFL landscape has player fantasy values constantly on the move, with key events like free agency and the 2023 NFL Draft still to come. Whether you’re used to the dynasty platform or are still learning the rules, let’s dive into the latest dynasty fantasy football value of RB Raheem Mostert.
Raheem Mostert’s Dynasty Outlook and Value
While it was an up-and-down season, Mostert was probably better than we think or will give him credit for. After signing a one-year deal prior to the 2022 season, Mostert was in a favorable environment to succeed under newly appointed head coach Mike McDaniel, as Mostert played under McDaniel when he was the offensive coordinator in San Francisco.
Averaging 4.9 yards per carry, Mostert made the most of his chances, which were necessary since Miami rushed only 390 times last season, the second-fewest in the NFL.
Mostert finished the season with 891 rushing yards (21st) on 181 carries with three touchdowns setting new career highs in yards and attempts. Mostert also added 31 receptions for 202 yards and two scores through the air. However, those came in different situations.
Mostert stood relatively unopposed for volume in the first eight weeks. He accounted for 66% of the RB attempts, 40% of the RB targets, saw a 7% target rate, and had 11 red-zone attempts.
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Over this stretch, he averaged 13.1 rushes, 2.44 targets, 78.33 total yards, 0.22 TDs, and 10.72 PPR/game with double-digit outings in 50% of his contests. But before the trade deadline passed, Miami brought in a former teammate of his: Jeff Wilson Jr.
Together, the duo split the role, as you would expect, but Mostert was the better RB to roster for fantasy overall. While he did drop in opportunities (15.54 to 11.86), his points per game only dropped less than 0.25 to 10.54 PPR, good enough for 33rd amongst RBs. However, those numbers are slightly carried by three great games in Weeks 10 (18.7 PPR), 15 (16.6 PPR), and 17 (23.1 PPR).
Sure, the upside was there for Mostert, but managers at times felt it challenging to trust Mostert as he was an RB3 or worse in 62% of his games and scored 11 or fewer PPR points in just as many contests.
Mostert was able to stay healthy, which was/is a big deal as injuries have plagued his career, so hitting the open market after a productive and healthy year is critical.
With that said, I don’t expect an active market. Mostert is older and entering his age-31 season. Typically, we see the age apex hitting around 28, and I doubt Mostert will ever see the same level of volume he was afforded last season.
Raheem Mostert’s Fantasy Ranking
Given this is a loaded free agency class, both for high-end starters and a handful of reliable, upside No. 2s, plus a loaded draft, Mostert carries very little dynasty value moving forward. His best shot was from the coach who traded for him and who knew how to use him in his scheme.
This, along with his age (30), is why you see Mostert down in rankings. Currently, Mostert sits as the RB56 in PPR formats and is No. 180 overall in Superflex dynasty rankings, where QBs see an increase in value due to positional scarcity.
At best, Mostert will receive another one-year deal and would likely need an injury ahead of him to get back into the double-digit opportunity range. If you can get anything for Mostert equivalent to maybe a late 2023 third or early fourth-round pick, I’d take it in a heartbeat.
Odds are, given his production and age, Mostert’s time in the spotlight is over for dynasty, and he will consistently fight to hold his roster spot against the incoming rookies and younger players. Can Mostert still provide some value? Sure, but it will likely require both the right matchup and an injury on the depth chart.
That would give managers a small window to either use him as a Flex or move him, but as a depth piece, even if you can’t get a return for Mostert, he could help you a couple of weeks a year, making him worth at least holding onto at the moment.