Don’t expect many points in tonight’s New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers game, but at least somebody has to get into the end zone, right? Maybe, maybe not — I mean, zero touchdowns were scored in the Patriots’ 6-0 loss last week. But with such a low total for Patriots vs. Steelers, what are the best touchdown scorer bets?
Patriots vs. Steelers Touchdown Scorer Bets
Ezekiel Elliott (+230 at FanDuel)
Katz: I know. I know. There might not be a single touchdown scored in this abomination of a football game. But you’re telling me a starting running back almost guaranteed to see a 70+% snap share and 20+ touches, plus goal-line looks, is +230 to score? And he’s a known prolific touchdown scorer to boot?
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The hate has gone too far. There are many different ways the Patriots can find themselves inside the 5-yard line. Ezekiel Elliott is very likely to score if that happens.
George Pickens (+340 at FanDuel)
Soppe: Both of these defenses own a top-10 red-zone defense and a top-10 (10 highest) opponent aDOT. There aren’t going to be many touchdowns scored in this game, but given the ability of both of these defenses to buckle down in the scoring area, could it be a long pass that results in a score?
If you remove a weird game against the Titans (Week 9), Pickens’ aDOT is 26.6% higher than that of Diontae Johnson since Week 5, something that combines well with the long TD theory, as does the fact that Mitchell Trubisky’s aDOT is 31.8% higher than that of Kenny Pickett in his limited work this season.
Pickens is averaging 16.2 yards per catch over the past month, further embracing his big play profile. Let’s make some money — Pickens pulls down a 20+ yard touchdown, cashing the anytime TD bet, his longest reception bet, and is more than halfway to cashing over tickets on his yardage prop!
Mitchell Trubisky (+550 at FanDuel)
Blewis: You can’t claim many strengths as a quarterback for Mitchell Trubisky, but if you had to pick one, it would be his mobility.
If they get into the red zone (at any point), they could easily utilize Trubisky as a runner, and we know how Bill Belichick has struggled with mobile quarterbacks over the years.
It’s hard to find a touchdown prop I like in this one, so it makes total sense to go with a long shot in a game with a tofal at around 30 points.
Neither Team To Score a Touchdown (+1500 at DraftKings)
Bearman: If the shoe fits. I tried this back in Week 10’s Jets vs. Raiders t,hriller and a late touchdown ruined a fun 100-1 ticklet’sso lets try it again.
I’ve already taken the under in this game, so it only makes sense to take a flier on no touchdowns being scored.
The books aren’t stupid, so they dropped the odds for no touchdown in this game to 15-1, but it beats trying to figure out who might actually score.
I also like the under on 2.5 total touchdowns at +110.
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