If you’re playing a Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants DFS lineup for this Sunday Week 5 clash, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations.
The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside.
Recommended Packers vs. Giants DFS Lineup
Today, we’re playing DraftKings “Showdown Captain Mode,” which includes one player who earns 1.5 times his scoring output, plus five Flex players. The following NFL betting recommendations are based on proprietary PFN predictive analytics pulled from decades of NFL historical data.
Using this data, I’ve built dozens of models showing actionable probabilities of better-than-expected and worse-than-expected outcomes. Criteria such as age, durability, shifting personnel, schedule, and other factors help shape these final assessments.
Packers DFS Considerations
London’s second game of the season features an overrated 3-1 team and a properly valued 3-1 team. Beginning with the latter, Aaron Jones has shown yet again why he’s one of the sport’s top running backs, while A.J. Dillon continues to serve as the 1B in this backfield. Who knows how this distribution will continue throughout the season but for now, Jones clearly has the upper hand.
And yet . . . if this game is at least a minor blowout (I believe it will be), then we might see Dillon’s best game of the year, featuring a lot more run in the second half as Green Bay winds down the clock. If we include both RBs in our DFS lineup, it could be a boon against a defense averaging a hefty 5.1 yards per carry.
Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers remains great. His work-in-progress receiving corps is progressing. Gradually. Spending big on Rodgers might preclude us from investing in any of his top receivers, especially if we also take Jones and Dillon. So we’ll have to weigh the advantages of stacking Rodgers with Romeo Doubs and/or Allen Lazard.
Giants DFS Considerations
Our construction for this lineup hinges on one factor above all others: should we include Saquon Barkley? The former all-world RB finally looks like an all-world RB again after two seasons mostly lost to injuries and sub-par play.
If somehow he weren’t on this team — if the Giants’ starting RB was merely pedestrian by NFL starter standards — then this franchise easily could be winless and headed toward an 0-17 season.
The Packers are yielding an uncomfortable 5.0 yards per carry on defense. However, unlike their opponents, they can stack the box against New York and force the Giants to win this game through the air.
That’s not a recipe for success for these Giants, whose best 2021 receivers are nowhere to be found. And truth be told, their 2021 receivers didn’t exactly light up the Americas or Europe (or any other continent).
So if we start Barkley, it probably would prevent us from starting Rodgers or Jones. Either way, this potentially top-heavy lineup might require a cheap Giants receiver — a TD-dependent option, understanding that pricey New York receivers bring far more risk due to their comparably low floors.
Recommended DFS Lineup
This lineup hits our $60,000 cap almost exactly, and it begins with Jones ($11,200 normally, $16,800 as Captain) in our Captain slot. We’ll pair him with Dillon ($8,000), as the Packers should enjoy a positive game script on Sunday, generating even more runs than usual for this run-friendly offense.
We’ll add Rodgers ($11,400) and one of his top four receivers, Robert Tonyan ($5,400). These two have great chemistry, as demonstrated during Tonyan’s breakout 2020 campaign when he was a red-zone favorite.
The challenge here is that Doubs ($8,800) and Lazard ($9,000) are expensive. We’d need to dump Rodgers to add one of them or drop Dillon and downgrade someone like Tonyan.
That leaves us with $8,400 for two slots. Assuming Green Bay puts the clamps on Barkley, let’s go with the Packers D/ST ($5,600) in a contest where they realistically could force a couple of turnovers and pick up 3+ sacks.
And for our compulsory Giants slot, I’m picking Daniel Bellinger ($2,400). In a sea of receiver injuries and underperformers, the rookie TE brings surprising upside, reeling in eight of nine targets with a rising snap share. That’s my kind of dart throw.