Taking a look at the lay of the Pac-12, this Oregon State vs. Washington prediction ultimately indicates how close those teams battling for the top of the conference are. With weather expected to affect this game, which side has the biggest advantage?
Oregon State vs. Washington Betting Preview
- Spread
Washington (-4.5) - Moneyline
Washington (-180); Oregon (+155) - Over/Under
54.5 points - Game time
10:30 p.m. ET - Location
Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA - Predicted weather at kickoff
56 degrees, showers, 14-18 mph winds - How to watch
fuboTV, ESPN 2
Top DFS Picks and Fantasy Plays
- QB Michael Penix Jr., Washington ($12,000)
- QB Ben Gulbranson, Oregon State ($8,200)
- RB Cameron Davis, Washington ($9,500)
- RB Wayne Taulapapa, Washington ($8,700)
- RB Damien Martinez, Oregon State ($7,800)
- RB Deshaun Fenwick, Oregon State ($7,300)
- RB Jam Griffin, Oregon State ($6,500)
- RB Will Nixon, Washington ($5,600)
- WR Rome Odunze, Washington ($10,200)
- WR Jalen McMillan, Washington ($8,800)
- WR Ja’Lynn Polk, Washington ($7,600)
- WR Tre’Shaun Harrison, Oregon State ($7,500)
- WR Silas Bolden, Oregon State ($6,800)
- WR Anthony Gould, Oregon State ($6,100)
- WR Tyjon Lindsey, Oregon State ($5,500)
- WR Giles Jackson, Washington ($5,400)
- TE Devin Culp, Washington ($5,300)
- TE Jack Velling, Oregon State ($5,100)
- TE Jack Westover, Washington ($5,000)
Your Friday night DFS lineup will rely on the quarterbacks in this contest, as Michael Penix Jr. and Ben Gulbranson represent the best QB play across the three-game slate. Gulbranson has the most favorable matchup of all, so making him your Superflex is a good option.
Washington’s secondary has allowed the most passing touchdowns (20) among all Pac-12 defenses, and Gulbranson has gotten more comfortable in each game. He’s thrown five touchdowns in his three starts to just one interception.
Even against the Oregon State secondary, Penix is your play at the other QB position. The wind should subside after kickoff as well, so don’t let the weather scare you too much, but it is a factor in this game.
With the weather in mind, Cameron Davis and Damien Martinez are certainly in play for your DFS lineups as well. Martinez has been the hot hand recently despite sharing carries with Deshaun Fenwick. He’s rushed for over 100 yards in back-to-back games and has three touchdowns.
Davis is touchdown-dependent, having scored multiple touchdowns on the ground in two of his last three but six total in the past three games. He isn’t quite used as much out of the backfield to warrant his top-billing here, so start him if you feel comfortable with his groundwork. Otherwise, there are other options.
On the receiving end, Rome Odunze is a no-brainer, but he does draw a tough assignment in Rejzohn Wright. Side with Silas Bolden from Oregon State, as he’s been Gulbranson’s preferred target, hauling in two of his five passing scores over the past three games.
Prediction for Oregon State vs. Washington
It’s a battle of strength vs. strength in this matchup as the top pass defense in the conference takes on the top passing offense. Can Penix do enough against the Beavers’ secondary to warrant his place atop the Pac-12 rankings? Or does the Oregon State secondary clamp down, limiting their success in general?
These are the questions that certainly will be answered on Friday night, but make no mistake about it: the weather will affect this game to start.
With gusty winds and showers expected, the air may be taken out of the ball in this one. That favors the Oregon State rushing attack that averages 4.95 yards per carry and has 21 rushing touchdowns this year. But, not so fast, as Washington’s run defense is actually the best at limiting touchdowns on the ground.
Another strength vs. strength. So where’s the advantage?
MORE: Early College Football Picks, Predictions for Week 10
It’s Oregon State’s run defense against what could be said is a mediocre run game for the Huskies. Washington averages just 128.5 yards on the ground per game, mainly because they throw it all over the field. That doesn’t mean they haven’t run it enough to get a good read on their ground game this season.
On 259 rush attempts, the Huskies are averaging just 3.97 yards per attempt, the eighth-lowest figure in the Pac-12. Oregon State’s defense is allowing just 120.2 yards per game this year on the ground.
Expect Oregon State’s linebacking corps to keep this game close, and the secondary that leads the Pac-12 in completion percentage against (55.4%), touchdowns allowed (8), and defensive passing efficiency (113.45) to be able to do just enough to win it.
Prediction: Oregon State 27, Washington 24