The NFL Week 18 betting lines are unique in that they have to take into account not only the talent on both teams but also the spot. With four teams already locked into their seed and plenty eliminated from contention, Week 18 betting is a different animal that requires thinking differently about the action.
As you begin to consider your Week 18 betting card, let’s take a look at some trends that apply to this slate to understand these matchups a bit better.
NFL Week 18 Odds and Betting Trends
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Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals Odds
- Spread
Bengals -4.5 - Moneyline
Browns +170, Bengals -205 - Total
40
The Browns have won six of the past seven games with the Bengals, winning them by an average of 13 points.
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The Bengals could be in a good spot — since 2021, the Browns are the seventh-best against the spread (ATS) team at home, but seventh worst when playing on the road.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Odds
- Spread
Lions -4 - Moneyline
Vikings +160, Lions -192 - Total
43.5
This is a matchup of two of the top three road ATS teams since the beginning of 2021 — this game is being played at Detroit (Minnesota ATS on the road: 13-7-4).
The Lions have won three of their past four games against the Vikings, and there have been at least 52 points scored in all four.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Odds
- Spread
Packers -3.5 - Moneyline
Bears +145, Packers -175 - Total
44
The Bears are just 18-28-3 ATS in the division since the beginning of 2021 (third worst).
The Packers have won nine straight against the Bears with the past seven all coming by multiple possessions.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Odds
- Spread
Jaguars -3.5 - Moneyline
Jaguars -180, Titans +150 - Total
40.5
The Jags are seeking a fourth straight win over the Titans, something they’ve never done (they did, however, beat the “Oilers” in four straight during the late ’90s).
The Titans are 7-2-1 ATS as a home underdog since the start of 2021, making them the third-best team in such spots (minimum five such games played).
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds
- Spread
Colts -1 - Moneyline
Texans -105, Colts -118 - Total
47
The road team is 3-0-1 outright in the past four games in this series, scoring an average of 28.5 points per game in the process.
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Since 2021, the Colts have been the fifth-worst ATS team in divisional games (6-11).
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds
- Spread
Raiders -2.5 - Moneyline
Broncos +120, Raiders -142 - Total
38
Denver owns the fourth-highest under rate in road games since the start of 2021 (15-8).
The Raiders have won six straight against the Broncos and have held them to 23 or fewer points in each of the past four.
Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins Odds
- Spread
Bills -3 - Moneyline
Bills -155, Dolphins +130 - Total
50
The Bills have won three straight and 10 of the past 11 games over the Dolphins. In those 11 games, they’ve averaged 35.5 ppg.
MORE: Buffalo Bills Playoff Scenarios and Chances
Unders are 11-5 in Miami since the beginning of last season.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Odds
- Spread
Patriots -2 - Moneyline
Jets +110, Patriots -130 - Total
33.5
The Jets are the second-worst team ATS in divisional games since the beginning of 2021 (19-30-1).
The Patriots have won 15 straight against the Jets and haven’t lost in regulation to their divisional rival since Jan. 16, 2011 (Jerricho Cotchery was the leading receiver in that game with 96 yards for the Jets).
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints Odds
- Spread
Saints -4 - Moneyline
Falcons +160, Saints -192 - Total
41.5
Unders are a league-best 12-5 since the beginning of last season when the Falcons are an underdog.
The Saints are a league-worst 3-10-1 ATS following a win since the beginning of last season (Week 17: 23-13 win over the Buccaneers).
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants Odds
- Spread
Eagles -6 - Moneyline
Eagles -250, Giants +205 - Total
45.5
The Eagles have won five straight and 13 of 15 outright over the Giants with their past three wins in New York all coming by at least 17 points.
Under tickets have cashed at a 65.1% rate since 2021 when the Giants are an underdog (fifth highest).
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals Odds
- Spread
Seahawks -3.5 - Moneyline
Seahawks -185, Cardinals +154 - Total
47.5
The Seahawks have won four straight over the Cardinals. A fifth-straight outright win would give them the longest win streak in this series since the Cardinals have called Arizona home.
Since the beginning of last season, overs are 10-4-1 when the Cardinals play at home, making them the most profitable team in that spot over that stretch in the league.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds
- Spread
Chargers -1.5 - Moneyline
Chiefs +102, Chargers -122 - Total
35.5
At least one team has scored 27+ points in six straight games in this series with the road team winning four of those contests.
Unders are 11-6 since the start of 2021 when the Chargers play a divisional opponent (fifth-highest hit rate).
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Odds
- Spread
49ers -3.5 - Moneyline
Rams +150, 49ers -180 - Total
42.5
The Rams’ cover rate since 2021 is 10.1 percentage points higher when an underdog than when favored.
The 49ers have won nine straight regular-season games over the Rams (they’ve outscored the Rams 55-19 in the last two meetings that they hosted).
Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Odds
- Spread
Cowboys -13.5 - Moneyline
Cowboys -900, Commanders +600 - Total
48.5
Overs are 15-8 since the beginning of last season following a Cowboys win (fourth-highest hit rate).
The Commanders have held the Cowboys to a total of 36 in the past three games between these two played in Washington.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds
- Spread
Steelers -3.5 - Moneyline
Steelers -185, Ravens +154 - Total
38
The Steelers have won six of their past seven against the Ravens (all seven of those games have been one-score games).
Overs are 9-5 since 2021 when the Ravens are catching points (second-highest hit rate among teams with at least 10 games played as an underdog over that stretch, only the Vikings connect more regularly).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers Odds
- Spread
Buccaneers -5.5 - Moneyline
Buccaneers -238, Panthers +195 - Total
37.5
Unders are 14-5 since the beginning of last season when the Buccaneers are favored (fourth-highest hit rate).
The home team has won four straight meetings in this series (the Panthers won 21-3 the last time these two played in Carolina).
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