The NFL Week 17 betting lines feature a few big numbers and a ton of tight games as teams look to position themselves and/or qualify for the postseason. Add in winter weather on the East Coast and health concerns — these are the weeks where hard work is rewarded in a major way.
As you begin to consider your Week 17 betting card, let’s take a look at some trends that apply to this slate to understand these matchups a bit better.
NFL Week 17 Odds and Betting Trends
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New York Jets vs. Cleveland Browns Odds
- Spread
Browns -7.5 - Moneyline
Jets +260, Browns -325 - Total
36
Unders are 11-4 since the beginning of last season when the Jets are getting more than a field goal.
Unders are 6-1-1 this season when the Browns played at home (tied for the highest hit rate in the NFL).
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds
- Spread
Cowboys -6.5 - Moneyline
Lions +225, Cowboys -278 - Total
53.5
Overs are 7-2 since the beginning of last season when the Lions played a top-10 passing offense.
The Cowboys are the best ATS home team since the beginning of last season, covering 12 of 16 games.
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Odds
- Spread
Bills -12 - Moneyline
Patriots +470, Bills -650 - Total
40.5
The Patriots are a league-worst 1-8 ATS when getting more than three points in a game since the start of 2022.
The Bills have won four of their past five games against the Patriots with an average of 52.8 points being scored in those games.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears Odds
- Spread
Bears -3 - Moneyline
Falcons +130, Bears -155 - Total
39
Since the beginning of last season, unders are 12-4 when the Falcons are catching points, the highest hit rate in the NFL.
MORE: Free NFL Playoff Predictor Tool
The Bears are fresh off of a win at home against the Cardinals and that made Week 16 a success — but Week 17? Chicago has failed to cover four of five games following a home victory since the beginning of last season, tied for the worst rate in the league.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts Odds
- Spread
Colts -3 - Moneyline
Raiders +130, Colts -155 - Total
44
The Colts give up the fifth-most rushing yards per game, and the Raiders are 7-2 ATS against bottom-10 run defenses since the beginning of last season (second best).
The Colts are a perfect 5-0 outright this season when favored.
Los Angeles Rams vs. New York Giants Odds
- Spread
Rams -6.5 - Moneyline
Rams -285, Giants +230 - Total
42
The Rams are the fourth-best ATS road team this season (5-2).
No team has a higher under rate since the beginning of 2021 when playing at home than the Giants (76.2%).
Arizona Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds
- Spread
Eagles -9.5 - Moneyline
Cardinals +390, Eagles -520 - Total
47.5
Overs are a league-best 9-3 since the beginning of last season when the Cardinals played a top-10 offense.
Overs are a league-best 12-4 when the Eagles play in front of their home fans since the beginning of last season.
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds
- Spread
Buccaneers -3 - Moneyline
Saints +130, Buccaneers -155 - Total
42.5
The Bucs have proven to be a stout run defense and vulnerable pass defense through 16 weeks. Well, the Saints have seen all seven games this season against bottom-10 pass defenses come in under the projected total this season.
No team has a worse ATS record at home since 2022 than the Buccaneers (4-10).
San Francisco 49ers vs. Washington Commanders Odds
- Spread
49ers -13.5 - Moneyline
49ers -900, Commanders +600 - Total
48.5
Unders are 8-3 since the start of last season when the 49ers opposed a bottom-10 run defense.
The Commanders are just 4-9-2 ATS at home since the beginning of last season, underachieving based on spreads by an average of 6.7 points.
Carolina Panthers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds
- Spread
Jaguars -6.5 - Moneyline
Panthers +220, Jaguars -270 - Total
37.5
The Panthers are the worst ATS road team since the beginning of 2021 (8-16-1), but interestingly enough, they’ve been better than you’d think ATS against the division since the beginning of last season (7-3-1). That won’t factor in on Sunday, but is something to watch for next week.
The Jaguars are just 9-14 ATS at home since the beginning of 2021 (39.1%).
Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds
- Spread
Ravens -3 - Moneyline
Dolphins +130, Ravens -155 - Total
47
Overs are 14-9 since 2021 when the Dolphins play on the road, the second-highest hit rate in the league over that stretch (only the Chiefs have a higher over rate).
The Ravens are 8-2 ATS since the beginning of last season when facing a top-10 offense.
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Odds
- Spread
Texans -3.5 - Moneyline
Titans +154, Texans -185 - Total
42.5
Four straight games in this series have been decided by a single possession. Over those four games, the Titans have outscored the Texans 75-73.
The Texans have seen under tickets in 10 of their past 12 games against bottom-10 pass offenses.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Seattle Seahawks Odds
- Spread
Seahawks -3.5 - Moneyline
Steelers +145, Seahawks -175 - Total
41.5
Unders are a league-best 5-1 this season when the Steelers play on the road.
The Seahawks are 4-0 outright against bottom-10 pass offenses this season.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Odds
- Spread
Broncos -5.5 - Moneyline
Chargers +205, Broncos -250 - Total
38.5
The Chargers are 0-7 outright since the beginning of last season when getting more than a field goal.
The Broncos won the first meeting in Week 14, snapping a seven-game win streak by the home team in this series. The Bolts last won in Denver on Dec. 30, 2018.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds
- Spread
Chiefs -7.5 - Moneyline
Bengals +295, Chiefs -375 - Total
45.5
If you consider the slumping Chiefs a top-10 passing game, it’s worth noting that the Bengals are 6-1 outright since the beginning of last season against top-10 passing offenses.
Unders are 5-1-1 when the Chiefs play at home this season (third highest).
Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds
- Spread
Vikings -1.5 - Moneyline
Packers +105, Vikings -125 - Total
45.5
Overs are a perfect 6-0 this season following a Packers win this season.
The Vikings are looking to sweep the season series with the Packers, something they haven’t done since the 2017 season, a team led by Case Keenum.
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