Fantasy football is more than just the weekly head-to-head games we’ve all grown to love. On Underdog, fantasy managers can put their player-projection skills to the test by predicting player stat lines. Here are my top Underdog Pick’em plays for the Monday Night Football Pick’em contest.
Top Underdog Pick’ems for Monday Night Football
Underdog Pick’ems allows fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. You can make two picks that pay out 3x even money or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts.
The levels are 3x, 6x, 10x, and 20x, progressing with each additional pick’em you add to your entry. Let’s take a look at this week’s NFL pick’ems.
Joe Mixon Lower Than 95.5 Rush + Receiving Yards
I really like Joe Mixon. Always have. But he’s been very inefficient this season, averaging just four yards per touch.
Over the past two weeks, the Cincinnati Bengals have been scoring points at will by letting Joe Burrow air it out, and I expect that to continue.
Of course, Mixon can catch passes. He’s been very involved in the passing game, catching at least three passes in every game this season. However, this projection is very high. Only in Week 1 has Mixon surpassed 95.5 total yards this season.
The matchup against the Cleveland Browns is a favorable one, but I’m content playing the probabilities here. Mixon goes lower more often than not.
Tee Higgins Lower Than 15.05 Fantasy Points
I’ve got a weird feeling about this game. Joe Burrow has been so hot. Yet, I just get the sense this game is going to be competitive. This number suggests Burrow will pepper Tee Higgins with targets and that he will find the end zone. Simply put, I don’t see how Higgins surpasses 15 fantasy points without scoring, and I’m willing to bank on him not reaching paydirt tonight.
MORE: Top Browns vs. Bengals DFS Lineup
The Browns allow the 17th-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers. This is not necessarily a tough matchup, but it’s not a favorable one, either. Tyler Boyd will remain heavily involved, and I expect an increase in targets for Hayden Hurst in the absence of Ja’Marr Chase. Higgins can have a really strong game, yet stay below 15 fantasy points.
Kareem Hunt Lower Than 53.5 Rush + Receiving Yards and Lower Than 9 Rushing Attempts
I’m combining these two Kareem Hunt props because they are correlated in rationale. The Browns seem to be moving away from Hunt. It could be because he’s on the verge of getting traded, which could happen tomorrow. But whatever the reason, Hunt’s usage has declined considerably over the past two weeks.
Over the first five weeks of the season, Hunt saw double-digit carries and had at least two receptions in each of them. In his past two games, Hunt has a total of nine carries and one reception.
Hunt’s snap share remains in the 40-45% range. However, he’s not seeing the ball. Just 11.8% of the receiving yards allowed by the Bengals have gone to running backs. Unless Nick Chubb gets hurt, I think we see the continued reduction of Hunt’s role.