When it comes to betting on NFL games, knowing which teams are consistently involved in the highest and lowest-scoring games each week can give you an edge. Now that we have nine weeks of data, we are starting to see some trends occurring in terms of game totals for the 32 NFL teams.
Let’s examine the current standings for NFL game overs and under for each of the 32 teams.
Team Over/Under NFL Standings Entering Week 10
1) Indianapolis Colts | 6-3
T2) San Francisco 49ers | 5-3
T2) Dallas Cowboys | 5-3
4) Chicago Bears | 6-4
T5) Philadelphia Eagles | 5-4
T5) Miami Dolphins | 5-4
T5) Arizona Cardinals | 5-4
T8) Cleveland Browns | 4-4
T8) Detroit Lions | 4-4
T8) Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-4
T8) Denver Broncos | 4-4
12) Washington Commanders | 4-5
T13) Cincinnati Bengals | 4-3-1
T13) Green Bay Packers | 4-4
T13) Seattle Seahawks | 4-3-1
T13) Houston Texans | 4-4
T13) New York Jets | 4-3-1
MORE: Week 10 Odds and Trends
T18) Baltimore Ravens | 3-6
T18) Atlanta Falcons | 3-6
T18) Carolina Panthers | 3-6
T18) Los Angeles Rams | 3-6
T18) New England Patriots | 3-6
T18) Buffalo Bills | 3-6
T24) Los Angeles Chargers | 2-6
T24) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-6
T24) Tennessee Titans | 2-6
T27) Minnesota Vikings | 2-7
T27) Kansas City Chiefs | 2-7
T27) Las Vegas Raiders | 2-7
T27) New Orleans Saints | 2-6-1
31) Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-7
32) New York Giants | 1-8
Which Teams Are Involved in Higher and Lower Scoring Games Than Expected?
The Colts have been involved in most games that have been higher scoring than expected (6-3). Meanwhile, the Giants have been involved in the most games where the under has hit (1-8).
Indianapolis has seen the over hit in six of their games — including three of the last four. On average, games involving the Colts have gone over by 9.3 points per game. However, their most recent game saw the under hit, as their opponents (Carolina Panthers) only scored 13 points.
MORE: Unders Are Hitting at a Historic Rate
The interesting element with Indianapolis’ record in terms of game totals is that the outcome is almost entirely dependent on the opposition. In seven of their nine games, Indianapolis has scored between 20 and 27 points. Just twice have they gone over that 27-point mark, and they’ve yet to score under 20 points in a game.
This week, the Colts face a New England Patriots team that has seen the over hit just three times, in large part due to their 31st-ranked scoring offense. The Colts held the 26th-ranked Panthers to just 13 points last week, and there’s every chance they could stifle the Patriots’ offense this week.
At the bottom of the standings are the Giants, who have been involved in just one game this year where the over hit. That was back in a Week 2 shootout with the Cardinals. That was also the only time this year the Giants managed to score more than 16 points.
This week, New York faces a rematch of their most embarrassing loss of the year, a 40-point demolition by the Dallas Cowboys. With Tommy DeVito under center due to injuries to Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor, we’re likely going to be relying on the Cowboys’ offense to get us close to the 38.5-game total currently available on this matchup.
Dallas has been involved in some high-scoring games this year. Five of their eight games have seen the over hit — including three of their last four contests. The games where the under came into play were twice caused by the inefficient offense provided by the opponents (Giants in Week 1 and Patriots in Week 4).
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