Are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers already facing a crisis? Each is sitting at 3-4, and the prospect of losing another game would be disastrous. We’re breaking down the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds in the aftermath of Week 7 and heading into Week 8.
NFL Super Bowl Odds Heading Into Week 8
We’re here to make sure you’re locking in the best payoffs for all of your NFL betting picks. Each franchise has a varying record, but as you can see below, they don’t all offer the same betting odds. Our friends atDraftKings Sportsbook are my go-to, thanks to their favorable odds and betting options.
For example, a $100 bet on the team with the best Super Bowl odds — the Buffalo Bills at +300 — would pay a $300 profit if they manage to win Super Bowl LVII. Let’s take a look at the latest 2023 NFL Super Bowl odds and break down the teams whose odds present the best value.
Las Vegas Raiders (+4000)
Are we about to see a Raiders run that rivals the Dolphins’ seven-game win streak from 2021? The Raiders sat 0-3 after a devastating loss to Tennessee one month ago. But with two wins, a close loss to Kansas City, and a bye week coming since then, the Raiders are trending upward. And their schedule over the next month is very favorable.
Las Vegas has turned into the team we thought they’d become. Josh Jacobs has become one of the best backs in the league in 2022, producing 105.5 yards per game and a 5.7 average per carry. Head coach Josh McDaniels changed the outlook of the Raiders’ season in Week 4 when he started feeding Jacobs like the workhorse he is.
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Since then, Jacobs has had three straight games of at least 143 rushing yards and a score. That includes three rushing touchdowns against the Texans. With the Saints, Jaguars, Colts, and Broncos coming up next, expect Jacobs to still be the focal point of the unit.
In turn, the offense has become more balanced than the pass-heavy unit we saw early on. Derek Carr is back to his usual efficiency, and Davante Adams is enjoying a very good season. Watch out for this Raiders team over the next month.
Green Bay Packers (+3000)
Stick a fork in Aaron Rodgers and this Packers team. They’re one loss away from being all but out of the NFC North race as the Minnesota Vikings sit 5-1 in the NFL standings and have the head-to-head advantage. The NFC Wild Card exists, but the margin for error is fading with each passing loss on their résumé.
Losing to the Taylor Heinicke-led Commanders is a disastrous outcome and marked the Packers’ third-straight loss. Green Bay scored only seven offensive points after reaching the end zone at the 6:39 mark in the first quarter. Washington ranked 19th in points allowed and 16th in passing and rushing defense.
The lack of explosiveness has caused the Packers’ offense to be one of the most boring in the NFL. There’s not even a consistent identity. AJ Dillon has been silent throughout the season, and Romeo Doubs is either WR1 or has a limited role. The 2022 season has been ruined by the front office and coaching staff’s incompetence.
With an offense ranking 31st in scoring rate per drive and three straight games under 95 yards on the ground, things are about to get tougher than easier over the next few weeks. Going to Buffalo and Philadelphia are massive tests, and even home against Dallas and Tennessee could bring more losses.
Baltimore Ravens (+1800)
After blowing three double-digit leads that led to losses against Miami, Buffalo, and the New York Giants, Baltimore desperately needed to beat Cleveland. Sitting at 3-3 and again in a position to lose on a final drive despite leading by 10 points in the third quarter, the Ravens escaped with a 23-20 win. In turn, the loss will instead send the Browns into a tough tailspin that all but ends their playoff hopes.
Baltimore played to their classic Ravens strategy in this ugly back-and-forth. Lamar Jackson attempted only 19 dropbacks and had 16 pass attempts. Instead, Jackson, Gus Edwards, and Kenyan Drake led a run-heavy effort that wore the lacking Browns defense down throughout the game.
Edwards’ return was a true spark for a unit that was severely in need of a capable playmaker besides Jackson and Mark Andrews. There are still plenty of questions needing to be answered by this passing game when the time comes for the offense to show their development, but there’s nothing wrong with winning with their comfortable formula when the passing game isn’t clicking.
The Ravens continue to hang around as an outside contender but a dangerous one. Upcoming games at the Buccaneers and Saints before their bye week can solidify their place in the AFC playoff chase if they can secure wins.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1500)
It’s shocking the Buccaneers still have such good odds of winning the 2023 NFL Super Bowl. This offense certifiably stinks right now, and it’s largely due to Tom Brady playing like a 45-year-old. It’s not as simple as that, of course, as the offensive line is worse than last year, but Brady has suffered a massive drop-off this season.
Indianapolis recently benched Matt Ryan for a similar decline, but the difference is Tampa Bay will endure the struggles in Brady’s final season since the staff isn’t fighting for their jobs as the Colts are. Brady has been a checkdown magnet, as he plays with more fear and less explosiveness than we’ve arguably ever seen. It’s reminiscent of his disappointing final campaign in New England.
The Bucs’ defense is still playing well, but there’s no path to a Super Bowl if Brady continues to be outplayed by PJ Walker. Either Brady needs to turn back the clock to his 2021 form, or the running game must suddenly find efficiency and explosiveness. Neither seems likely.
The biggest saving grace for this team’s playoff hopes is the weakness of the NFC South. It’s possible Tampa Bay can win the division with a .500 record.