The NFL preseason can be a fickle thing. But hey, it’s football, and we are America!
The date was Sept. 3, 2015. They were complicated times for all of us. As a nation, we were only halfway through Game of Thrones, blissfully unaware of how the series would end but engaged in confrontational weekly debates.
On the sporting scene, man, was it weird. Earlier that summer, Andre Iguodala was named the NBA Finals MVP over Steph Curry, and Philip Rivers only had seven children. Can you imagine living in that world?
On that date, Tom Brady’s four-game Deflategate suspension was overturned, and we all had officially earned our degree in the impact of atmospheric conditions on the PSI of a football. I can’t tell you how many times I’ve used my knowledge gained from that ordeal in the eight years since.
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Betting Trends Riding Baltimore Ravens’ Streak
That bizarro day in the history of American culture wrapped with the Atlanta Falcons stopping the Bryn Renner-led Baltimore Ravens on a late two-point conversion to win a seemingly nondescript preseason NFL game.
The Ravens haven’t dropped a preseason game since. Not one. Over that time, we’ve had more presidents (three) than Baltimore has preseason losses. We’ve had more names for that bird app (two) and more Chicago Cubs World Series titles than Ravens preseason losses. For God’s sake, we’ve had more Peacocks in the Elite Eight of March Madness over that stretch than Baltimore has preseason losses.
Are you in on the @Ravens this season?
More importantly, are you in on their preseason dominance? 23 straight W's and counting (the previous record was 19)
SCHEDULE
Aug 12 vs PHI (-6, 35.5)
Aug 21 at WAS
Aug 26 at TB#RavensFlock https://t.co/Js1bSEVAXI— Kyle Soppe (@KyleSoppePFN) August 8, 2023
That’s 23 straight games. In those 23 games, Baltimore has outscored the opposition by 280 points, and there have been an average of 34.9 points per game (average point differential: +12.2). They’ve covered six points in 15 of those games and have gone over 35.5 points 13 times.
The Ravens are six-point favorites on Saturday with an over/under of 35 points. Want to bet on the game? Use the widget below to place your wager.
[tallysight url=”https://tallysight.com/new/widget/tile/nfl/org:pro-football-network/event:2023-24-preseason-week-1/topic:philadelphia-eagles-baltimore-ravens/variant:1/sportsbook:draftkings?id=e5ba6198-1d81-4a7e-a56d-06395f774451″]I’m just laying out and speaking facts. Here are a few more in the two preseasons coming out of the canceled 2020 preseason.
- Road teams: 18.8 PPG (17.5 PPG in 2022)
- Home teams: 19.1 PPG (22 PPG in 2022)
- Preseason Week 1, home team avg. point differential: +1.8
- Preseason Week 2, home team avg. point differential: +3.4
- Preseason Week 3, home team avg. point differential: +6.1
- Avg. home team win point differential: 10.8 points
- Avg. road team win point differential: 9.7 points
When it comes to taking or laying points, here’s a quick look at the impact of the spread on the outcome over the past two preseasons and comparing it to the regular-season date.
Preseason
- Games decided by three or fewer points: 28.4%
- Games decided by at least 10 points: 41.1%
Regular Season, per Inside Edge
- Games decided by three or fewer points: 25%
- Games decided by at least 10 points: 45.1%
Moral of the story? These games are low scoring and tighter than what we see during the regular season. Many of the spreads on the board this week are under six points, and over the past two seasons, 60% of preseason games have been decided by at least six. If you do have a strong opinion on a game, laying the points isn’t as crazy as it might sound.
Looking to get in on the action this NFL preseason? Take advantage of these sportsbook sign-up offers first!
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