With some heavier pockets thanks to a 4-1 record and savvy betting on Week 2 NFL picks and player props, it’s time to let that house money ride on Sunday!
Players like Ezekiel Elliot and Josh Jacobs helped that record come to fruition last week. With the same theme of relatively low yardage totals, the Week 3 slate has some reachable marks to hit in what is an overall brutal run-down of gameplay and NFL odds.
Player props are a great way to enjoy the game without the potential suffering of a bet gone awry by the third quarter. There is usually hope all the way through a game when betting on props. Case in point, last week when Elliott broke his over/under rush plus receiving yardage total for us on the game’s last possession.
With two games seeing spreads in the twenties, and numerous games seeing touchdown plus favorites, this is certainly a week to head in with caution. Injuries to quarterbacks will affect position players on at least three teams, with signal callers like Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, and Cam Newton already out.
We must also factor in two new starting quarterbacks named this week looking at the NFL odds market, with Daniel Jones getting his first New York Giants start against Tampa Bay. Also, the Miami Dolphins are sending Josh Rosen out in Dallas to take on the Cowboys in his initial start for the team.
Our NFL picks will be at a minimum in Week 3 because these spreads are too astronomical in most cases. However, if you look long and hard enough there are yardage totals that are simply too low and disrespectful for certain, already proven, daily fantasy commodities to ignore.
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Ingram to feast in Kansas City
Kansas City and Patrick Mahomes host the Lamar Jackson-led Baltimore Ravens in what could be the offensive game of the year. Arguably the two most exciting quarterbacks in the early going of 2019, Jackson and Mahomes have an embarrassment of riches at their disposals.
Both players will rack up their statistics with potentially 800 plus total yards going around between both teams at Arrowhead on Sunday. Get yourself some player props, sit back and enjoy.
Searching the list here, seeing a top-tier fantasy asset sitting with NFL odds over/under 57.5 rushing yards is as enticing as it gets. Running back Mark Ingram has had performances of 107 yards and 47 yards against Miami and Arizona, respectively, and it’s a safe bet to aim in the middle of those two performances for Week 3.
Ingram had a soft matchup against Miami, however, he is a strong runner who will be called upon plenty to move the Ravens offense and keep Mahomes and Kansas City off the field.
All Ingram needs to do is stay in the ballpark of his early 5.7 yards per carry this season, and hopefully, have his number called in the 10-15 time range to shatter this low figure.
Ingram is very safe and the official Against the Spread Player Prop Play-of-the-Week.
OVER 57.5 rushing yards (-112): Mark Ingram (2 units)
Carson to hit cruise control
It had been a slow start to the year from Seattle Seahawks runner, Chris Carson. In his first two contests, Carson has just surpassed 100 total yards at 104. In his Week 1 game, he rushed for 46 yards on 15 carries and last week followed that up with a pedestrian 60 yards on the same amount of tries.
Sure his fantasy owners are a tad worried, but this game against a Drew Brees-less Saints team is just what the doctor ordered for Carson.
The NFL odds market for his rushing yardage figure is attainable at 69.5 and although Rashaad Penny lurks in the backfield, I still like Carson to help Seattle get to 3-0.
The Saints are playing across the country for the second consecutive week, and they are down a Hall of Fame quarterback. With the Seahawks potentially able to jump out strong early in this one, a second half of Carson killing the clock could ice this play with 15 minutes left of the game clock.
OVER 69.5 rushing yards (-112): Chris Carson (1 unit)
[sv slug=”betupdate”]Rodgers ready to rumble
The 2-0 Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers are on a mission to win the NFC North and with a soft Broncos team heading to Lambeau, look for a vintage performance from the Discount Double-Check man.
Not only do I expect a double dose of passing touchdowns from number 12, I expect him to hit his over in passing yards of just 248.5. Sure the Broncos defense is their strength if one must be named, and Rodgers has yet to eclipse 210 passing yards this season, but the motivation to get to 3-0 could have this Packers team rolling into halftime.
The NFL odds market on Rodgers to hit his passing yards number is decent(-112) and he has another surprising number (-142) to get over 1.5 touchdowns. I would happily place a unit and a half on the passing touchdown mark and pay that vig, as a pair of scores could happen on the first two drives.
Green Bay has played the Bears on the road and the Vikings at home, so they have had tough tests so far. With the Broncos being a solid, although underachieving unit at the moment, watch for Rodgers and the Packers to get another victory here, on the strength of their leader’s golden right arm.
OVER 248.5 passing yards (-112): Aaron Rodgers (1 unit)
OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-142): Aaron Rodgers (1.5 units for that vig)
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