If you’re looking for early Week 13 NFL DFS bargain targets before crafting your early lineups, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each late Sunday afternoon team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess which affordable players have great shots at outproducing expectations.
Favorite Late Sunday Afternoon Undervalued DFS Targets
There are four late Sunday afternoon contests beginning at 4:05 p.m. Eastern. You don’t need to hear about big names like Tyreek Hill, Patrick Mahomes, or Josh Jacobs. Are you rolling with Davante Adams? Great. If I can afford him, so am I.
This column is about the true bargains — players who might be priced 50% or less than guys like Mahomes or Adams. Some might even cost 90% less. Picking the right bargain could transform a competitive lineup into a tournament winner.
Jordan Mason
If you like deep cuts, Jordan Mason fits the bill. Assuming Elijah Mitchell misses this game with an MCL injury, the rookie Mason should slide into a complementary role behind/alongside Christian McCaffrey.
The “behind/alongside” dilemma is key to making this pick. The Niners will have their hands full against the high-flying Dolphins, which have been only lukewarm against the run (despite how they shut down Dameon Pierce this past Sunday). And Miami’s prolific offense has forced opponents to throw early and often.
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In fact, no team has yielded fewer RB touches than the Dolphins. That’s a stat that might even impress your old college roommate who thinks s/he’s better than you. (Hint: You’re the best.)
So yeah, McCaffrey’s usage — depending, in part, on later news regarding a potential knee ailment — will impact whether we might see 3-5 touches for Mason or something substantial enough to warrant placement in a DFS slate.
Mack Hollins
On Saturday, I advised PFN Facebook fantasy page readers to lean into Mack Hollins as Derek Carr’s clear-cut No. 2 target in a must-win game. Hollins delivered. Now the question is whether he’ll be affordable enough to call a “bargain.”
Assuming he’s priced at least three thousand dollars less than teammates Adams and Jacobs, I like Hollins offering a 20+ point ceiling against the beatable Chargers.
Trent Sherfield
Another guy I pushed last week. Although Trent Sherfield fell somewhat flat, we shouldn’t dismiss his role in this offense. He earned his second-most snaps of the season and still hasn’t dropped a pass while reeling in 68.6% of his targets. Not bad for a guy who was supposed to step aside this summer for Cedrick Wilson Jr.
Sherfield can be had for less than your typical fantasy kicker. Just like Quez Watkins in Philadelphia and Isaiah McKenzie in Buffalo, I believe Miami’s incentivized to continue developing Sherfield ahead of a possible postseason run. Injuries happen, and sometimes good depth marks the difference between a good team and a great one.
With Mike Gesicki used more in a blocking role than last year and with Wilson squarely on the periphery, Sherfield is a weekly No. 4 or No. 5 offensive option. At a cheap price, he’s worth the investment.
Tutu Atwell
With news that Allen Robinson is now out for the season, the Rams are on track for the worst record for a defending Super Bowl champ in league history. The previous worst record was the vinyl one the ’85 Bears produced, if any of you are old to remember that Shuffle monstrosity. (I’m kidding — loved that song, for all the worst reasons.)
Van Jefferson will be the Rams’ highest-priced DFS WR and possibly the most expensive Ram overall. For my money, I’d rather have the much more affordable Tutu Atwell. Since the summer, I’ve been pushing Atwell as a strong No. 4 receiver option with much higher potential if a starter went down.
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Now, with virtually nothing to play for, the Rams have everything to gain by trotting out Atwell for 50+ snaps a game and seeing how he matches up against opposing secondaries. He’s playing for a 2023 starting gig. As a 2021 second-round draft pick, he should get all he can handle this week and for the rest of the season.
DeAndre Carter
Pretty self-explanatory. DeAndre Carter had converted 10 targets into a sterling 7-73-1 receiving line on Sunday. If Mike Williams continues to sit, Carter should be a top-four offensive option for Justin Herbert and the Chargers against a vulnerable Ravens defense. Carter probably can be had for half the price of Keenan Allen, and perhaps even less.
Ameer Abdullah
Josh Jacobs handled 39 touches this past weekend. That’s the most by an RB since Derrick Henry in Week 2 last season. In other words, that’s not normal.
The opposing Chargers are surrendering the most yards per carry this year. While we might see more Zamir White, the cheap Ameer Abdullah offers more upside thanks to an active role in the passing game. 7+ touches are certainly possible in a plus matchup.