With just four weeks of regular-season NFL betting remaining, we now have a fantastic amount of data on which to base our decisions. Let’s examine where each of the 32 teams sits in our against-the-spread (ATS) standings, and what it means when we look at the lines available this week around the league.
Against the Spread NFL Standings Entering Week 15
T1) Dallas Cowboys | 9-4
T2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8-5
T2) Jacksonville Jaguars | 8-5
T2) Baltimore Ravens | 8-5
T2) Indianapolis Colts | 8-5
T2) Miami Dolphins | 8-5
T2) Detroit Lions | 8-5
T8) Philadelphia Eagles | 7-4-2
T8) Minnesota Vikings | 7-4-2
T10) Cleveland Browns | 7-5-1
T10) Seattle Seahawks | 7-5-1
T10) Los Angeles Rams | 7-5-1
T13) Kansas City Chiefs | 7-6
T13) Pittsburgh Steelers | 7-6
T13) Green Bay Packers | 7-6
T13) San Francisco 49ers | 7-6
T13) Arizona Cardinals | 7-6
MORE: Free NFL Playoff Predictor Tool
18) Chicago Bears | 6-5-2
T19) Las Vegas Raiders | 6-6-1
T19) Cincinnati Bengals | 6-6-1
T21) Houston Texans | 6-7
T21) Tennessee Titans | 6-7
T23) Washington Commanders | 5-7-1
T23) New York Jets | 5-7-1
T23) Denver Broncos | 5-7-1
T23) New York Giants | 5-7-1
T27) Los Angeles Chargers | 5-8
T27) Buffalo Bills | 5-8
29) Atlanta Falcons | 4-9
30) New Orleans Saints | 3-9-1
31) New England Patriots | 3-10
32) Carolina Panthers | 2-9-2
Which Teams Are the Best and Worst at Covering the Spread in 2023?
The Cowboys broke away from a six-team tie to top the ATS standings entering Week 15 of the 2023 season. Dallas was the only team in that group of six to cover last week, defeating the Eagles at home in a must-win encounter.
At the other end of the table, the Panthers returned to the bottom after the Patriots’ victory over the Steelers and their loss to the Saints.
In Week 15, the Panthers face the Falcons, who are 4-9 ATS themselves this season. Carolina is currently three-point underdogs against their NFC South rival. That is almost exactly the same spread as when they faced in Week 1 when the Falcons came out on top 24-10.
Carolina returns home after a three-game road stand, where they went 1-2 ATS. The Panthers are 1-3-1 ATS at home this season but have failed to cover in their last two home games. The Falcons’ failure to win and cover last week was their first straight-up and ATS defeat in three games. On the road, they have a 2-4 record ATS and are 2-2 when favored.
MORE: Early Week 15 NFL Predictions, ATS Picks
Normally you would look to bet against the Panthers, but the Falcons are hardly a trustworthy team to take ATS either. Yet, Carolina failed to cover last week against a New Orleans team that had only covered two times all season before last week. Taking Atlanta laying three is tough, but it would be a better play than taking the Panthers getting the points, unless this line gets to 4.5 or above by Sunday.
The Cowboys will be looking to stay hot this week in Buffalo. They have now won five straight, covering in four of those five. The current line has the Cowboys as slight underdogs, which is a position they have struggled in this season. The Cowboys are 0-2 ATS when playing as the underdogs, and both times it was on the road.
Meanwhile, the Bills are just 5-8 ATS this season and have covered just twice in their last nine games. As favorites, they are 4-6 on the season, but three of those covers came in the first four weeks. Since Week 5 the Bills are 1-5 ATS as favorites and 1-3 ATS when playing at home.
The Cowboys’ two ATS losses came when facing the 49ers and Eagles on the road. While the Bills are playing decent football right now, they are not the same caliber of opponents as the 49ers and Eagles. The Cowboys getting points feels like too good of an opportunity to pass up, even in a clear let-down spot such as this one.
Our Betting Lines page has the freshest lines and promos to get BANG for your buck. PFN’s FREE Parlay Calculator and Betting Odds Calculator are also available for your betting process! New to sports betting? Check out our guide on How to Bet on the NFL. Visit our Sports Betting Legal Tracker on how to bet legally in the U.S.
