The NFC East was one of the tighter races over the first half of the season. However, the Philadelphia Eagles have been one of the NFL‘s hottest teams for two months straight. After eight straight wins, the Eagles are on the verge of salting the division away from the Washington Commanders.
Below we take a look at the latest playoff and division chances for both the Eagles and Commanders with the assistance of PFN’s Playoff Predictor.
NFC East Playoff Scenarios | Week 14 Update
Sunday 1 p.m. ET Results
- Philadelphia Eagles (11-2) def. Carolina Panthers (3-10)
- New Orleans Saints (5-8) def. New York Giants (2-11)
According to PFN’s Playoff Predictor, the Eagles currently have a 96.4% chance to win the NFC East, while the Commanders have a 3.6% chance. These numbers will update as games are finished throughout the week.
Below you can see the NFC East scenarios heading into Sunday.
Which Teams Are Still Competing for the NFC East Crown?
Philadelphia Eagles
Entering Week 14, the Eagles have a 96.2% chance to win the NFC East and a 99.9% chance to make the playoffs. Below is Philly’s remaining schedule.
- Week 14: vs. Carolina Panthers
- Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Week 16: at Washington Commanders
- Week 17: vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Week 18: vs. New York Giants
The Eagles have won eight straight games to run away with the division after the Commanders led for much of September and October. Philadelphia took over first place after a Thursday night win over Washington in Week 11 and hasn’t looked back.
Even if the Eagles drop the rematch with the Commanders in Week 16, they’ll still have a leg up due to their 3-0 division record. Washington is 2-2 against NFC East foes. Because division record is the next tiebreaker after the head-to-head mark, the Eagles would still have the immediate tiebreaker over the Commanders even with a Week 16 loss in Washington, though they close out with a pair of NFC East bouts.
Thus, Philly can only lose the division if they drop at least four of their last five games. The Eagles may have collapsed down the home stretch in 2023, but this year’s team is trending in the opposite direction and does not appear poised for anything similar.
Washington Commanders
Entering Week 14, the Commanders have a 3.8% chance to win the NFC East and a 61.4% chance to make the playoffs. Below is Washington’s remaining schedule.
- Week 14: BYE
- Week 15: at New Orleans Saints
- Week 16: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Week 17: vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Week 18: at Dallas Cowboys
The Commanders are among the batch of teams with the latest possible bye in Week 14, a sorely needed respite for a team that has been hanging on. Washington bounced back with a decisive home win over the punchless Tennessee Titans in Week 13 but had lost three straight before that win.
The division is virtually out of the question for Washington, but the playoffs still look like a strong possibility. The Commanders are likeliest to end up as the seventh seed (42.8% entering Week 14), which could bring a third matchup against the Eagles in the Wild Card round.
Washington has a trio of six-loss teams chasing them between the Los Angeles Rams, Arizona Cardinals, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Commanders would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker versus the Bucs but win it over the Cardinals. Overall, Washington’s 5-3 conference record is relatively strong and should do the team favors in a head-to-head against the Rams or in the event of a three- or four-team tie.