NFC East Playoff Scenarios and Chances: Eagles Extend Win Streak After Commanders’ Upset Loss

The NFC East continues to be a two-horse race, though one of those horses is starting to pull away.

The Philadelphia Eagles entered Week 12 with a 1.5-game lead over the Washington Commanders thanks to their head-to-head win on Thursday in Week 11. Even before they kicked off against the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday night, the Eagles gained an extra half-game after the Commanders were upset by the Dallas Cowboys in a wild contest.

Below we take a look at where the Eagles’ and Commanders’ playoff chances stand.

Philadelphia Eagles’ Playoff Chances After Week 12

Can the Eagles Make the Playoffs?

After Week 12 games, the Eagles are 9-2 and now have a 99.4% chance to make the playoffs.

Here’s how likely Philadelphia is to land in each NFC playoff seeding slot, per PFN’s Playoff Predictor:

• No. 1 seed: 18.2%
• No. 2 seed: 64.1%
• No. 3 seed: 9.2%
• No. 4 seed: 0.6%
• No. 5 seed: 1.8%
• No. 6 seed: 3.0%
• No. 7 seed: 2.5%

Can the Eagles Win the NFC East?

Here’s what the NFC East race looks like after Week 12’s slate:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have a 92.1% chance to win the NFC East.
• The Washington Commanders have a 7.8% chance to win the NFC East.
• The Dallas Cowboys have a <0.1% chance to win the NFC East.
• The New York Giants have a <0.1% chance to win the NFC East.

Current NFC East Standings

1. Philadelphia Eagles (9-2)
2. Washington Commanders (7-5)
3. Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
4. New York Giants (2-9)

Eagles’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 12

Can the Eagles win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Philadelphia has a 6.8% chance of bringing home its second Lombardi.

Eagles’ Remaining Schedule

• Week 13: at Baltimore Ravens
• Week 14: vs. Carolina Panthers
• Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Week 16: at Washington Commanders
• Week 17: vs. Dallas Cowboys
• Week 18: vs. New York Giants

Washington Commanders’ Playoff Chances After Week 12

Can the Commanders Make the Playoffs?

After the Week 12 games, the Commanders are 7-5 and now have a 56.2% chance to make the playoffs.

Here’s how likely Washington is to land in each NFC playoff seeding slot, per PFN’s Playoff Predictor:

• No. 1 seed: 0.2%
• No. 2 seed: 5.3%
• No. 3 seed: 2.0%
• No. 4 seed: 0.3%
• No. 5 seed: 2.7%
• No. 6 seed: 12.2%
• No. 7 seed: 33.5%

Can the Commanders Win the NFC East?

Here’s what the NFC East race looks like after Week 12’s slate:

• The Philadelphia Eagles have a 92.1% chance to win the NFC East.
• The Washington Commanders have a 7.8% chance to win the NFC East.
• The Dallas Cowboys have a <0.1% chance to win the NFC East.
• The New York Giants have a <0.1% chance to win the NFC East.

Current NFC East Standings

1. Philadelphia Eagles (8-3)
2. Washington Commanders (7-5)
3. Dallas Cowboys (4-7)
4. New York Giants (2-9)

Commanders’ Super Bowl Chances After Week 12

Can the Commanders win the Super Bowl? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Washington has a 2.3% chance of securing its first Super Bowl title since 1991.

Commanders’ Remaining Schedule

• Week 13: vs. Tennessee Titans
• Week 14: BYE
• Week 15: at New Orleans Saints
• Week 16: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
• Week 17: vs. Atlanta Falcons
• Week 18: at Dallas Cowboys