The New York Jets‘ outlook centers around WR Garrett Wilson, while the Las Vegas Raiders‘ preview evaluates what fantasy football managers can make of rookie QB Aiden O’Connell’s Week 9 performance.
New York Jets at Las Vegas Raiders
- Spread: Jets -1.5
- Total: 36
- Jets implied points: 18.8
- Raiders implied points: 17.3
Quarterbacks
Aiden O’Connell: I thought the rookie held his own against the Giants, and with 50% of his targets going to either Jakobi Meyers or Davante Adams, O’Connell did enough to satisfy fantasy managers.
He himself isn’t worth a look, even in Superflex leagues, but if he continues to focus on his two primary receivers, this Raiders offense has a chance to remain fantasy-viable.
Running Backs
Breece Hall: The beauty of versatility. Hall has four catches or a 40-yard run in five straight games and seems to flash his upside at least once on a weekly basis.
The Raiders boast the sixth-worst defense both in the red zone and on a per-carry basis, giving Hall a couple of ways to pay off my ranking of him as not only the top back in this game but a top-10 play for the week as a whole.
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Hall’s future is bright, and if this offense can develop any balance down the stretch (be it as a result of growth from Zach Wilson or a dramatic Aaron Rodgers return), he could well pay off his preseason ADP.
Josh Jacobs: The big Week 9 was a sight for sore eyes: 26 carries for 98 yards and a pair of touchdowns. That was the third time in a month in which Jacobs carried the ball at least 20 times, and game flow worked very much in his favor – is that sustainable?
Long-term, I’d say no, and his zero targets last week are concerning when the script isn’t in favor of the run game. That said, there’s no reason to think they can’t be competitive in this spot against a Jets team that struggles to score.
Jacobs is a top-12 RB for me and a solid start in all formats as he looks to build on his best performance of the season.
Wide Receivers
Garrett Wilson: Do we give Wilson enough credit?
He has quietly posted three straight WR2 finishes — production that we feared would not be possible with Zach Wilson under center.
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The upside is pretty clearly limited, but the floor is higher than I thought he’d have access to, and that makes him a top-20 play for me in this favorable spot.
Davante Adams: Without a top-30 finish since Week 4 or a touchdown since Week 3 (per the Week 10 Cheat Sheet), Adams is among the most disappointing of the healthy early-round picks this summer.
He didn’t have a target until we were inside the two-minute warning of the first half last week, something that feels impossible as the Raiders work to get a rookie quarterback comfortable with the speed of the professional game.
I’m hopeful that the second-half involvement last week is a sign of things to come, and that has me ranking him in the same range as Wilson – a fantasy WR2 with a wide range of outcomes. Christian Kirk and Diontae Johnson are two receivers that I think have less natural ability than Adams, but I have both of them ranked higher due to their elevated floors.
Jakobi Meyers: He was responsible for the only catch on Vegas’ first drive last week, a drive that he capped with a 17-yard score. It’s pretty clear that this organization (not just former HC Josh McDaniels) believes in Meyers’ ability, and I see no reason for that to change moving forward.
Tight Ends
Michael Mayer: The rookie tight end continues to split duties with Austin Hooper, and that lowers his usage potential to a point where I’m not comfortable ranking him as a top-15 play.
Mayer had the big Week 6 against the Patriots with five catches for 75 yards, but he has managed just five catches and 43 yards in the three games since. He deserves tracking, but you can do better when it comes to Week 10.
Should You Start Garrett Wilson or Jakobi Meyers?
I don’t trust either quarterback in this situation, and I don’t think that’s a hot take. Wilson is the clear WR1 for a passing game in a plus-matchup, while Meyers is, at best, a co-WR1 in a much more difficult matchup.
I think both return WR2 output this weekend, but I do slightly lean toward the raw ability of Wilson in this specific matchup.
Should You Start Davante Adams or Diontae Johnson?
Pittsburgh Steelers WR Diontae Johnson’s 33.3% target share over the past two weeks is enough for me to side with him over a receiver in Adams who just can’t get on track.
Adams is on a six-game scoreless streak and has a single game this season with a catch longer than 21 yards. If you strip away his name and only analyze his production/matchup, Adams shouldn’t be near fantasy lineups.
He clearly has the talent to reverse those negative trends in a hurry, but a matchup with an elite pass defense isn’t a spot where I’m projecting that to happen.
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