After stringing together a four-year stretch of fantasy football excellence, Baltimore Ravens TE Mark Andrews finished outside of the top 10 at the position after dealing with an ankle injury in the back half of the 2023 NFL season.
Following the emergence of other pass-catching options in Baltimore’s offense in Andrews’ absence, what can fantasy managers expect from the veteran TE heading into the 2024 season?
Should You Select Mark Andrews at His Current ADP?
PPR Industry Consensus ADP: 46th Overall (TE3)
- Consistent Fantasy Performer: Andrews has been one of the most reliable tight ends in fantasy football over the past five years, with four top-six finishes at the position. His one down year (TE15 overall) in 2023 was largely due to missing seven games with an ankle injury.
- Steady Production: Despite the injury, Andrews’ per-game production in 2023 remained consistent with his career averages. He posted 4.5 receptions and 54 receiving yards per game, signaling his continued importance in Baltimore’s passing attack under OC Todd Monken.
- Target Share Slightly Down: Andrews’ 22.2% target share in 2023 was the lowest since his rookie year. While still impressive, this dip is notable given the emergence of other playmakers like Zay Flowers, who actually saw a higher target share.
- Elite Red-Zone Threat: Andrews’ red-zone usage remains a key part of his fantasy appeal. He tied for 31st with 14 red-zone targets in 2023, despite missing seven games. His projected red-zone involvement over a full season could place him among the top TEs in TD production.
- Potential Competition from Isaiah Likely: Backup TE Isaiah Likely showed promise when filling in for Andrews, averaging 11.9 fantasy points per game during Andrews’ absence. While Likely is unlikely to significantly cut into Andrews’ workload, it’s worth keeping an eye on his role.
- ADP Analysis: Andrews is being drafted as the TE3 at No. 46 overall, right behind Travis Kelce and Sam LaPorta. His role as a focal point in a high-powered Ravens offense, combined with his elite red-zone potential, makes him a strong value in the fourth round.
- Final Verdict: Andrews remains one of the top tight ends in fantasy football, and his current ADP reflects his status as an elite option. Despite some competition and a slight dip in target share, his red-zone usage and consistent production make him a solid pick in the fourth round.
PFN Consensus PPR Fantasy Ranking for Mark Andrews
Note that these rankings are the PFN Consensus Rankings and may not fully match my analysis.
34) Travis Kelce, TE | Kansas City Chiefs
35) James Cook, RB | Buffalo Bills
36) Jalen Hurts, QB | Philadelphia Eagles
37) Patrick Mahomes, QB | Kansas City Chiefs
38) Alvin Kamara, RB | New Orleans Saints
39) Mark Andrews, TE | Baltimore Ravens
40) Kenneth Walker III, RB | Seattle Seahawks
41) Amari Cooper, WR | Cleveland Browns
42) Deebo Samuel Sr., WR | San Francisco 49ers
43) DJ Moore, WR | Chicago Bears
44) DeVonta Smith, WR | Philadelphia Eagles
Mark Andrews’ Fantasy Profile for the 2024 NFL Season
Over the past four years, Andrews has been consistently mentioned in the same conversation with both Travis Kelce and George Kittle as the top three fantasy options at the TE position.
Andrews’ résumé speaks for itself, with fantasy finishes of TE1, TE4, TE5, and TE6 in four of the last five years. Unfortunately, his one season spent outside of the top six (TE15 overall) at the position was last season after he missed seven games due to injury.
Lamar Jackson ➡️ Money Mark Andrews for 6️⃣
The second time today, and the #Ravens are rolling in Cleveland!
pic.twitter.com/YysM0yA14H— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) October 1, 2023
Andrews’ productivity on a per-game basis didn’t show any drastic regression in offensive coordinator Todd Monken’s first year. He still averaged 4.5 receptions and 54 receiving yards per game — near his per-game production of 4.8 receptions and 56 receiving yards in 2022 — which suggests his elite usage in the passing game still makes him a viable TE1 overall candidate in this offense.
Sometimes, though, small details can tell a slightly different story. Andrews’ 22.2% target share was actually the lowest mark since his rookie year, and he ranked fourth at the position. By all means, that’s still a very healthy amount of volume in the passing game. However, considering Andrews led all tight ends over the previous two seasons in target share… it does make this stat a bit more noteworthy.
Some of this could certainly have to do with the retooled collection of offensive playmakers on the perimeter this Ravens offense had last year. Zay Flowers had a great rookie season with 77 receptions for 858 yards and five scores on 108 targets, which actually gave him a higher target share than Andrews.
Odell Beckham Jr., Rashod Bateman, and Nelson Agholor also slightly ate into that volume of work last year. However, with Beckham now on the Miami Dolphins, the only noteworthy addition to the WR room this offseason came in the form of Devontez Walker on Day 3 of the 2024 NFL Draft, which should pose no threat to Andrews’ role this upcoming season.
Yet, Andrews’ fantasy upside in this offense certainly still feels like the TE1 overall. Andrews finished the season tied for 31st with 14 red-zone targets despite missing seven games last season. His 1.4 red-zone targets per game, when forecasted over a 17-game regular season, come out to 23.8, which would’ve tied him for fifth in the league.
Why is that relevant? Well, the Ravens’ offense took 68 trips to the red zone last year (second most in the league, trailing only the Dallas Cowboys).
Andrews missed seven games last season but still led Baltimore in red-zone targets. In 2024, his TD upside could rival that of any other tight end.
The only real concern for Andrews is a potentially expanded role for backup TE Isaiah Likely, who performed quite well when Andrews sustained the ankle injury that cost him the final six games of the regular season. Likely averaged 11.9 fantasy points per game from Weeks 11-18 — good enough for TE6 in PPR formats during that span.
It’s unlikely, no pun intended, that Likely will steal a significant amount of work away from Andrews, given how the latter dominated snaps and targets while both were healthy in 2023, but it’s worth monitoring.
Is Andrews a Good Value in Fantasy Drafts?
Andrews is still receiving the respect he deserves with an ADP in the fourth round of fantasy drafts as the TE3 off the board (No. 46 overall) behind Kelce and Sam LaPorta.
Andrews’ role in this high-powered Ravens offense feels very secure. Even if he loses some looks to Flowers or Likely this year, Andrews is still an elite red-zone TE option that you’re getting at a reasonable discount in Round 4 of fantasy drafts.