The Las Vegas Raiders finished the 2023 season strong behind interim head coach Antonio Pierce. That gave many in Raider Nation confidence that 2024 would result in a return to the playoffs and perhaps the franchise’s first playoff win since 2002.
But that vision has not materialized, and the Raiders are virtually out of the mix entirely. Now it’s time for the Raiders to look ahead, as we’ll examine Las Vegas’ odds to be picking at the top of the 2025 NFL Draft come April.
What Does the NFL Draft Order Look Like After Week 13?
Here is the top 10 of the 2025 NFL Draft order following Week 13.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars, 2-10
2. Las Vegas Raiders, 2-10
3. New York Giants, 2-10
4. New England Patriots, 3-10
5. Carolina Panthers, 3-9
6. New York Jets, 3-9
7. Tennessee Titans, 3-9
8. Cleveland Browns, 3-9
9. Cincinnati Bengals, 4-8
10. New Orleans Saints, 4-8
Will the Raiders Finish With the First Overall Pick?
Can the Raiders pick first overall in the 2025 NFL Draft? The PFN Playoff Predictor projects that Las Vegas has a 12.1% chance of ending up with the first overall pick, the fourth-highest odds of any team.
Raiders’ Remaining Schedule
- Week 14: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Week 15: vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Week 16: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Week 17: at New Orleans Saints
- Week 18: vs. Los Angeles Chargers
What PFN Predicted for the Raiders at Chiefs Matchup
Raiders head coach Antonio Pierce summarized this matchup nicely when he called it “the best team in football vs. the worst team in football.” While we can quibble with which team actually belongs at each of those extremes, the reality is that Black Friday’s matchup is the most lopsided of Week 13.
The Raiders will be bringing Aidan O’Connell back after a five-week absence with a broken thumb out of necessity. With Gardner Minshew (broken collarbone) out for the season and Desmond Ridder just arriving a month ago, O’Connell won’t get the ramp-up time that most players get when returning from a long absence.
That should make this a get-right game for the Chiefs’ defense, which has struggled in recent weeks. Kansas City has had four straight games with a negative EPA per play on defense (meaning they performed at a below-average level). That’s tied for the Chiefs’ second-longest streak since Steve Spagnuolo became their defensive coordinator in 2019.
On the other side, Patrick Mahomes and the offense were able to exploit a leaky Carolina Panthers defense last week and should fare well against a similarly forgiving Raiders unit. Las Vegas allows opponents to score on 48% of their drives, the third-highest rate behind only the Panthers and Jacksonville Jaguars. In their first matchup back in Week 8, Mahomes averaged a season-high 0.36 EPA per dropback.
The Chiefs have cut things close against inferior competition this season, with eight of their 10 wins coming by one score. But even if Friday is another slightly uncomfortable experience at times, it would be shocking to see Las Vegas execute at a high enough level to keep this close the entire game.
PFN Prediction: Chiefs 27, Raiders 14