Justin Jefferson’s Dynasty Value | Fantasy Outlook, Ranking, and More

Special. That is the word used most in the Justin Jefferson dynasty conversation… and it’s accurate.

The Minnesota Vikings WR holds the NFL record for receiving yards by a player through two seasons, through three seasons, and now, through four.

That stat is amazing by itself, but it’s even more impactful when you recall that a hamstring injury cost Jefferson seven games in 2024. Simply put, nothing the NFL has thrown his way has slowed him down, making Jefferson a solid foundation on which to build a dynasty team.

Jefferson’s numbers — 60 games, 392 receptions, 5,899 yards, and 30 touchdowns — are straight out of a video game, with the difficulty turned way down.

That said, dynasty fantasy football managers are all about looking through the windshield and not the rearview. Does Kirk Cousins’ move to Atlanta suggest that Jefferson’s stock is set to plateau, if not decline, from what we’ve seen thus far?

There is no question that his profile carries more risk this offseason than in years past. Let’s take a look at how to properly handle one of the game’s best.

Justin Jefferson’s Dynasty Outlook

There are very few holes to poke in Jefferson’s resume, and even the nits you’d pick are trending in the right direction — something I noted in my 124 fantasy football stats to know piece.

Is Justin Jefferson the best WR in the NFL or….pic.twitter.com/KY0601oSAQ

— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) January 1, 2024

Jefferson first lit the world on fire during his final season at LSU — 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns — and wasted no time in impressing at the professional level.

Through six games in his career, Jefferson had already posted a trio of 100-yard games, a multi-touchdown effort, and made a game-breaking 71-yard catch. By the end of his rookie campaign, he was seeing over 10 targets per game (10+ in five of six to close out 2020) and was very clearly worth the pre-draft hype and then some.

Jefferson proved that he can still put up elite numbers with lower-level QB play in 2023 (Cousins tore his Achilles in Week 8), which was perhaps the most impressive part of this past season and is something his managers are clinging to for 2024 and beyond.

Jefferson’s Dynasty Ranking

Where does Jefferson land in the dynasty WR landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Jefferson lands in comparison to other top names at the position.

1) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
2) Tyreek Hill | MIA
3) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
4) Justin Jefferson | MIN
5) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
6) A.J. Brown | PHI
7) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
8) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
9) Chris Olave | NO
10) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
11) Puka Nacua | LAR
12) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
13) Nico Collins | HOU
14) Rashee Rice | KC
15) Marvin Harrison Jr. | FA
16) DJ Moore | CHI
17) Amari Cooper | CLE
18) Drake London | ATL
19) Malik Nabers | FA
20) Tee Higgins | CIN

Should You Trade Jefferson in Dynasty?

Are you considering trading Jefferson? Our PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trades to make in seconds!

My only knock on Jefferson is that we don’t have his quarterback situation locked in long term the way we do for Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase. For my money, Jefferson would be the better dynasty option if they were both dropped into identical situations over the next five seasons, but that’s not the case.

Chase offers a wider range of weekly outcomes due to a skill set that features more deep throws (one fewer career TD reception but 278 more yards gained on touchdowns). Still, his annual stability with his franchise QB already on the roster is something I prefer to bank on.

By no means does that make Jefferson a sell candidate. If anything, it could make him a buy after WR Tyreek Hill posted another big season with QB Tua Tagovailoa, and WR CeeDee Lamb looked like a game-wrecker for years to come.

Based on rumors this offseason, it’s possible that those All-World options could see turnover at the position in the not-so-distant future as well, but because they have stability at the moment, they get the nod in my rankings.

Jefferson is a Tier 1 dynasty asset regardless of position, even if the shine on him has lessened a touch this offseason.

There’s no real reason to pivot off that ranking as we look long term — his skill set is nothing short of elite, and Jefferson’s cleared every hurdle put in front of him up to this point. We have no reason to expect failure, and dynasty building blocks like this aren’t easy to find.

KEEP READING: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart 

Moving on from Jefferson at this point is acceptable, but at full price. If someone is willing to completely overlook the QB situation, I’d listen to an offer.

That said, I’m not going out of my way to explore the trade market, nor am I settling for a 15% discount due to the uncertainty under center. You can win with Jefferson on your roster, both now and down the road.