Baltimore Ravens RB Justice Hill’s dynasty value has yet to gain steam due to the number of mouths to feed in the backfield.
We thought the Keaton Mitchell injury could open up some usage in 2024, but the Ravens brought in Derrick Henry to be their bell cow, leaving Hill managers out in the cold.
Does that make Hill a trade target for savvy fantasy football managers who are trying to get ahead of a spike in opportunities?
Justice Hill’s Dynasty Outlook
The name of the game in dynasty leagues is to patch together the back end of your backfield. Hill could prove to be an answer to that question despite never having run for 400 yards in a season, but only if Father Time catches up to Henry in rather short order.
Hill is entering his age-26 season and is in the final year of his deal with the Ravens.
The #Ravens strike back as Lamar Jackson finds a wide open Justice Hill❕#RavensFlock
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) December 31, 2023
At the moment, Hill profiles as the handcuff to Henry to open the season. And while that role isn’t exciting, it does put him just a step away from a rather strong role in a potent offense.
2023 Ravens Ranks
- Second in offensive points per game
- Fourth in yards per play
- Sixth in yards per game
- Seventh in first downs per game
- Eighth in red-zone efficiency
Hill’s profile requires a bit of a leap of faith. He doesn’t have a game in his NFL career with more than 13 carries and hasn’t had a 160-carry season on his resume since 2017 with Oklahoma State.
That leads me to believe that it is more likely than not that, even in the event of a Henry injury, Hill’s role isn’t to replace what The King was doing, rather to serve as one of a few band-aids.
The same can be said for Hill’s long-term outlook should he move on from Baltimore. It’s unlikely that a team has the utmost confidence in labeling him as their starter.
Hill’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Hill land in the dynasty RB landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Hill lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Bijan Robinson | ATL
2) Christian McCaffrey | SF
3) Breece Hall | NYJ
4) Jonathan Taylor | IND
5) Jahmyr Gibbs | DET
6) Saquon Barkley | PHI
7) Travis Etienne Jr. | JAX
8) Kyren Williams | LAR
9) James Cook | BUF
10) Kenneth Walker III | SEA
11) De’Von Achane | MIA
12) Isiah Pacheco | KC
13) Javonte Williams | DEN
14) Alvin Kamara | NO
15) Rhamondre Stevenson | NE
16) Derrick Henry | BAL
17) Nick Chubb | CLE
18) Josh Jacobs | GB
19) Rachaad White | TB
20) Tony Pollard | TEN
21) Zamir White | LV
22) D’Andre Swift | CHI
23) Aaron Jones | MIN
24) Jaylen Warren | PIT
25) Brian Robinson Jr. | WAS
26) Najee Harris | PIT
27) Blake Corum | FA
28) Tyjae Spears | TEN
29) Austin Ekeler | WAS
30) David Montgomery | DET
31) Joe Mixon | HOU
32) James Conner | ARI
33) Trey Benson | FA
34) Keaton Mitchell | BAL
35) Jonathon Brooks | FA
36) Raheem Mostert | MIA
37) Gus Edwards | LAC
38) Devin Singletary | NYG
39) Kendre Miller | NO
40) Zach Charbonnet | SEA
41) Zack Moss | CIN
42) Dameon Pierce | HOU
43) Roschon Johnson | CHI
44) Tank Bigsby | JAX
45) Khalil Herbert | CHI
46) AJ Dillon | GB
47) Chase Brown | CIN
48) J.K. Dobbins | LAC
49) Miles Sanders | CAR
50) Chuba Hubbard | CAR
51) Alexander Mattison | LV
52) Tyler Allgeier | ATL
53) Antonio Gibson | NE
54) Elijah Mitchell | SF
55) Jerome Ford | CLE
56) Justice Hill | BAL
57) Darrell Henderson Jr. | FA
58) Jamaal Williams | NO
59) Rashaad Penny | FA
60) Kenneth Gainwell | PHI
61) Deuce Vaughn | DAL
62) D’Onta Foreman | CLE
63) Jordan Mason | SF
64) Sean Tucker | TB
65) Jaleel McLaughlin | DEN
66) Samaje Perine | DEN
67) Pierre Strong Jr. | CLE
68) Cam Akers | FA
69) Michael Carter | ARI
70) Leonard Fournette | BUF
71) Jeff Wilson Jr. | MIA
72) Ezekiel Elliott | FA
73) Zach Evans | LAR
74) Clyde Edwards-Helaire | FA
75) Jerick McKinnon | FA
Should You Trade Hill in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Hill? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
The RB position in dynasty — outside of a few exceptions — needs to be viewed the same way as gas station hot dogs. That is, they can be a means to an end to get you to your short-term destination.
Due to Hill’s resume lacking much in the way of fantasy numbers, his asking price in the trade market isn’t overwhelming, which is why I’m throwing out an offer to acquire him.
For his career, Hill has seen 20.7% of his touches come through the passing game, a rate that stood at 25% in 2023.
That level of versatility gives Hill multiple ways to impact your fantasy box score when given the opportunity — something I expect to be the case should he see a usage uptick, if Mitchell’s recovery is slow and/or the team, looks to spell Henry in a similar fashion as the Titans.
Should he open the year with an increased role, Hill not only gives himself the chance to earn more work for the Ravens down the stretch of this season, but he also puts on tape what he’s capable of for future employers.
MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart
Hill is the type of “zero-RB” option that I’d at least consider if you’re building out your 2024 roster in that fashion, and he is the type of low-valued asset that I wouldn’t mind taking a chance on with free agency looming at the end of this season.
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