Now a member of the Denver Broncos, WR Josh Reynolds’ dynasty value is higher now than when the season ended, and he is looking to parlay the upside he showed in 2023 (15.2 yards per catch with one of every eight receptions resulting in a touchdown) into one more nice contract this summer.
Dynasty fantasy football managers often want to get ahead of free agency, so let’s dive into Reynolds’ profile and see if the numbers suggest that there is a fantasy asset here if given the opportunity to compete for targets on a consistent basis.
Josh Reynolds’ Dynasty Outlook
Fantasy analysts put in as much work as anyone in trying to project roles and skill-set upside, but sometimes, it really is just as simple as listening to what the NFL has told you.
Jared Goff isn't messing around to start the game. He and Josh Reynolds — both former Rams — lead Detroit down the field to a 7-0 lead. pic.twitter.com/NYA9Eoiyg2
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) January 15, 2024
Reynolds entered the league as a fourth-round pick in 2017 after three years at Texas A&M, where his 6’3” frame was more than college kids could handle (17.0 yards per catch with a score once every 5.5 receptions). The professionals, however, haven’t had any issues in slowing him down.
- Targeted on 15.8% of his routes
- Seasons with 55+ catches: zero
- Seasons with 620+ receiving yards: zero
- Games with 14+ half-PPR points: zero
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At this point, with Reynolds entering his age-29 season, it seems safe to assume that the veteran WR isn’t going to be earning targets or consistently producing, though his path to upside alongside Courtland Sutton is a little more attainable than playing next to target monster Amon-Ra St. Brown was going to be in Detroit.
That said, Reynolds has shown well in one specific area, and that could be of interest to a few statistically favorable suitors.
Reynolds’ Dynasty Ranking
Where does Reynolds land in the dynasty WR landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Reynolds lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Ja’Marr Chase | CIN
2) Tyreek Hill | MIA
3) CeeDee Lamb | DAL
4) Justin Jefferson | MIN
5) Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET
6) A.J. Brown | PHI
7) Garrett Wilson | NYJ
8) Jaylen Waddle | MIA
9) Chris Olave | NO
10) Brandon Aiyuk | SF
11) Puka Nacua | LAR
12) Michael Pittman Jr. | IND
13) Nico Collins | HOU
14) Rashee Rice | KC
15) Marvin Harrison Jr. | FA
16) DJ Moore | CHI
17) Amari Cooper | CLE
18) Drake London | ATL
19) Malik Nabers | FA
20) Tee Higgins | CIN
21) DK Metcalf | SEA
22) Stefon Diggs | HOU
23) Cooper Kupp | LAR
24) DeVonta Smith | PHI
25) Zay Flowers | BAL
26) Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA
27) Davante Adams | LV
28) Mike Evans | TB
29) Tank Dell | HOU
30) Jayden Reed | GB
31) Rome Odunze | FA
32) Terry McLaurin | WAS
33) Deebo Samuel | SF
34) Calvin Ridley | TEN
35) Jordan Addison | MIN
36) Keenan Allen | CHI
37) Mike Williams | NYJ
38) George Pickens | PIT
39) Chris Godwin | TB
40) Josh Downs | IND
41) Courtland Sutton | DEN
42) Jerry Jeudy | CLE
43) Gabe Davis | JAX
44) Michael Wilson | ARI
45) Jameson Williams | DET
46) Christian Kirk | JAX
47) Troy Franklin | FA
48) Elijah Moore | CLE
49) Romeo Doubs | GB
50) DeAndre Hopkins | TEN
51) Diontae Johnson | CAR
52) Jahan Dotson | WAS
53) Dontayvion Wicks | GB
54) Khalil Shakir | BUF
55) Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN
56) Christian Watson | GB
57) Xavier Worthy | FA
58) Joshua Palmer | LAC
59) Keon Coleman | FA
60) Zay Jones | JAX
61) DeMario Douglas | NE
62) Jakobi Meyers | LV
63) Treylon Burks | TEN
64) K.J. Osborn | NE
65) Marquise Brown | KC
66) Jonathan Mingo | CAR
67) Tyler Lockett | SEA
68) Quentin Johnston | LAC
69) Noah Brown | HOU
70) Jalin Hyatt | NYG
71) Michael Thomas | FA
72) Brandin Cooks | DAL
73) Kendrick Bourne | NE
74) Ladd McConkey | FA
75) Brian Thomas Jr. | FA
76) Tutu Atwell | LAR
77) Roman Wilson | FA
78) Adonai Mitchell | FA
79) Adam Thielen | CAR
80) Cedric Tillman | CLE
81) Rashid Shaheed | NO
82) Trey Palmer | TB
83) Darius Slayton | NYG
84) Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG
85) Darnell Mooney | ATL
86) Kadarius Toney | KC
87) Rashod Bateman | BAL
88) John Metchie III | HOU
89) Rondale Moore | ATL
90) Skyy Moore | KC
91) Donovan Peoples-Jones | FA
92) Alec Pierce | IND
93) Mecole Hardman Jr. | FA
94) Allen Lazard | NYJ
95) Tyler Boyd | FA
96) DJ Chark | FA
97) Josh Reynolds | DEN
98) Odell Beckham Jr. | FA
99) Michael Gallup | DAL
100) Tyquan Thornton | NE
Should You Trade Reynolds in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Reynolds? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
While Reynolds has yet to earn opportunities on a consistent basis, a 2.9% career drop rate is encouraging should he see his role expanded.
I mentioned his size causing problems at the collegiate level, and while that hasn’t been the case in terms of raw counting numbers in the NFL, look a little closer, and there is a path to him justifying being stashed.
For his career, 78.9% of his touchdown receptions (15 of 19) have come with two feet in the end zone. For reference, 54.4% of touchdown receptions in 2023 were end zone targets.
Wide receiver touchdown vultures aren’t common, nor are they reliable. But if we are talking about a player to fill out a roster that you are only considering in desperate situations, it’s not a bad skill set to bet on. Sutton essentially filled that profile a season ago with 10 scores on 59 catches.
Leaders in end zone targets since 2022:
1. Dallas Cowboys: 102 (no reliable WR2)
2. Seattle Seahawks: 100 (Tyler Lockett decline)
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: 98 (Calvin Ridley is a free agent)
4. Green Bay Packers: 96
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 93 (new offensive coordinator)
6. Buffalo Bills: 92
6. Denver Broncos: 92
8. Washington Commanders: 90 (new coaching staff)
9. Los Angeles Chargers: 88 (new coaching staff)
10. Minnesota Vikings: 86 (K.J. Osborn is a free agent, T.J. Hockenson hurt)
Of course, there is no guarantee that Denver extends Reynolds’ role in a major way or that the quality of target is all that high given their QB situation.
That said, the sheer fact that this team has shown a propensity to take end zone shots is at least something to hang your hat on and spin in an optimistic manner.
MORE: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart
It’s for that reason that I’m holding. Reynolds isn’t going to net you much in the trade market, and thus, you don’t have much to lose by maintaining your position. The annual upside here isn’t interesting to me, but that’s not what you’re rostering him for, right?
You’re chasing a week or two when you’re stuck. At the very least with Jerry Jeudy now in Cleveland, Reynolds should be on the field plenty and offer some scoring equity when targeted.
Is this a perfect profile? No. Am I looking to invest in the Broncos’ offense if I have better options? No. But dynasty rosters are deep, and I think you could stash worse as a band-aid option than Reynolds.
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