Jordan Love proved he’s the Green Bay Packers‘ answer at quarterback last season and was also quite valuable in fantasy football. Now entering his second year as the Packers’ starting QB, how well does Love project in fantasy?
Jordan Love’s 2024 Fantasy Outlook
- Fantasy points per game: 19.3
- Passing Yards: 4,492
- Pass TDs: 30.6
- Rushing Yards: 233
- Rush TDs: 2.9
These are PFN’s consensus projections, correct as of August 14. The most up-to-date projections can be found in our Who Should I Draft Tool.
Should You Draft Love This Year?
Anyone hyping up Love as the truth had a rough start to the 2023 season. Unsurprisingly, with him being a first-year starter, Love didn’t come out firing on all cylinders. It took him some time to get going.
Right around the middle of the season, though, it was go time for Love. He averaged 20.9 fantasy points per game from Week 10 onward and was the overall QB5 over that span.
On the season, Love averaged 19.4 points per game, finishing as the QB5 — and it didn’t feel flukey.
The Packers didn’t alter their offensive philosophy too much in a post-Aaron Rodgers world. They were still one of the most pass-heavy teams in the red zone, with Love’s 100 pass attempts inside the 20 being second in the league.
In an era of football where defenses are going out of their way to take away the deep ball, Love didn’t seem to care. His 8.5 intended air yards per attempt was fifth in the league. That willingness to push the ball down the field helped him to have a successful fantasy season.
Benefiting Love was and is one of the deepest groups of pass catchers in the NFL. By no means do the Packers have the best wide receivers and tight ends, but they certainly have the most in terms of NFL-caliber players.
Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Bo Melton are all NFL-level WR3s, at worst. Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft, meanwhile, both look like starting tight ends.
Green Bay’s only big loss on offense from last year is Aaron Jones. While Jones is one of the best pass-catching backs in the league, he’s still a running back. Josh Jacobs is a more than adequate replacement and shouldn’t negatively impact Love’s fantasy value at all.
My projections for Love are pretty strong. I have him throwing for 4,238 yards and 29.5 touchdowns. Yet, he only projects out as the QB12, averaging 18.6 fantasy points per game.
The problem with Love from a fantasy perspective is his lack of rushing. He’s capable of moving around in the pocket and tactically scrambling, but I only have him projected for 233 rushing yards and 2.9 rushing touchdowns, which, coincidentally, is identical to PFN’s consensus projections.
Love projects out as PFN’s QB11 at 19.3 fantasy ppg, a marginal difference from my projections. I, too, have him ranked as my QB11.
If I wait on quarterback, I wouldn’t be upset if I wound up with Love. However, it’s hard to see any sort of significant upside for him unless he suddenly morphs into more of a rusher.
There are several quarterbacks going after Love’s QB9 ADP with much higher ceilings, albeit much lower floors. If you’re a more conservative drafter, Love is a great option. If you want to swing for upside, pass on him and take some of the more volatile quarterbacks multiple rounds later.
