The New York Jets surprised everyone by pushing the Kansas City Chiefs to the limit last week before losing by a field goal. Can they snap their three-game losing streak in Denver today? We have your odds and best bet for today’s Jets-Broncos matchup.
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Jets vs. Broncos Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Spread: Broncos -2.5
- Moneyline: Jets (+114); Broncos (-135)
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Game time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- Channel: CBS
Jets vs. Broncos Prediction
Both the Jets and Broncos are coming off impressive rallies from deficits in their respective games last week. While the Jets’ comeback from a 17-0 deficit in the first quarter against the Chiefs was eventually wiped away in a 23-20 loss, the Broncos had an even bigger comeback, rallying from a 21-point deficit late in the third quarter to pull out a 31-28 win over the Bears.
Much-maligned Zach Wilson had his best game of the season last week vs. the Chiefs, posting the highest passer rating in a game of his career (105.2). He also had his first game with two or more touchdown passes without throwing an interception. Wilson’s reward for this performance is a meeting with one of the league’s worst defenses.
Yes, a lot of the Broncos’ numbers defensively — last in total defense (461.5 YPG) and scoring defense (37.5 PPG) — can be attributed to one bad performance against the mighty Dolphins in Week 3. But that doesn’t excuse allowing 28 or more points in two of their other three games. In last week’s win over the Bears, the Broncos surrendered 471 total yards to Chicago.
In addition, Denver opponents have a passer rating of 133.4 this season, the highest in the league.
This presents an opportunity for the Jets to finally get their offense going. Since the Week 1 win over the Bills, New York has averaged just 13.3 ppg, and for the season, only the Giants and Bengals are averaging fewer total yards per game than the Jets (252.8 ypg).
Helping to support the case that the Jets’ offense is getting closer to respectability is the fact that second-year wide receiver Garrett Wilson continues to look impressive. Wilson, who leads the Jets in targets (36), receptions (21), receiving yards (225), and receiving TDs (2), tied his career high with nine receptions vs. the Chiefs.
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The Jets’ defense probably feels confident after forcing Patrick Mahomes into his worst game of the season last week. But they’ll be facing another upper-level quarterback in Russell Wilson, who has bounced back nicely after a terrible 2022 season.
Russell Wilson is tied for the third-highest passer rating in the league at 106.7. Only Brock Purdy (115.1) and Tua Tagovailoa (114.4) are better, and their two teams are a combined 7-1 this season.
Russell Wilson’s 132.6 passer rating in his career vs. the Jets is also the highest for any quarterback vs. New York (minimum 50 pass attempts).
As for how to bet this game, yes, the Jets showed last week they can be tough to score on. However, I still like the over in this matchup. As mentioned, Denver’s defense has been the worst all season, and coming off a decent performance offensively last week, the Jets should be able to reach the 20s in the scoring column.
Playing at home may not make a difference to the Broncos’ defense, but it should be a difference-maker for the offense. They haven’t played in front of the home crowd since Week 2, when they used a Hail Mary TD pass to nearly beat the Commanders.
The question becomes, do you trust the Jets’ offense more than the Broncos’ defense? In terms of the over/under, I do.
Best Bet: Over 43.5 points (-110 at DraftKings SportsBook)