The New York Jets will face the Miami Dolphins in Week 14. Here’s fantasy football start-sit advice for every Jets skill player who has the potential to make a fantasy impact during the game.
Looking for more lineup advice? Head over to our Week 14 Fantasy Start-Sit Cheat Sheet, where we cover every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Aaron Rodgers, QB
If you’re not careful, you would have seen Aaron Rodgers having some fun early on in Week 13. He showed good mobility and even got out in space to provide a “block.”
Rodgers threw a pair of first-quarter touchdown passes, but the vibes didn’t last. When all was said and done, the future Hall of Famer finished with under 190 passing yards for the third straight game and averaged under five yards per pass for the third time this season.
There was a swing early last week where he missed an open Garrett Wilson in the end zone and, on the very next play, threw a pick-six. That’s a 6.36-fantasy-point turn of events. For a player who needs to be close to perfect to return value, swings like that are simply too much to overcome.
This matchup isn’t too scary, but what evidence do we have that this Jets offense can expose any defense? Rodgers completed just one of eight deep passes on Sunday. Without the elite efficiency that he’s had in years past, there just isn’t a responsible way to project him as a top-15 performer at the position, even in a week missing a handful of viable signal callers.
Braelon Allen, RB
The Jets may have an opportunity to see what Allen could provide them as a starting RB in Week 14. Breece Hall is listed as doubtful, so it can be assumed he is not playing this week and could even be shut down for the rest of the season.
We have seen flashes from Allen this year, but there has not been a sustained opportunity to see him touch the ball. He has only topped 10 touches twice previously. In those two games, he averaged 9.5 fantasy points in PPR scoring.
He has proven he can find the end zone, with three touchdowns in just 79 touches this season. This week, Allen is an intriguing RB2 or flex option, especially with six teams on a bye.
Breece Hall, RB
There’s really no way around it — this hasn’t been the type of season you signed up for this summer when you spent a first-round pick on Breece Hall. He put the ball on the ground twice last week against the Seahawks (lost one) and, for the first time in over 14 months, went through an entire game without a reception.
Looking back, all could have been forgiven if he was given a carry inside the five-yard line in the first quarter, but no, that usage was obviously reserved for Isaiah Davis and the seventh snap of his career. Davis cashes in the opportunity, and Hall came on to convert the two-pointer, a sequence that was pretty indicative of the season for Hall’s managers.
So close — and yet so far.
Josh Jacobs was able to produce against these Dolphins on Thursday night (the first RB to reach 20 PPR points against them since September), but Miami’s defensive profile remains strong. Through 13 weeks, the ‘Fins cough up the sixth-fewest red-zone drives per game (2.8) and are the stingiest defense in the league when it comes to limiting running back carries after contact.
When healthy, you’re playing Hall; you have no choice. He remains just as talented as the back you drafted months ago, but with the combination of this underwhelming offensive environment and a harder-than-average matchup, Hall was sitting outside of my top-10 prior to him being slapped with the “doubtful” tag on Friday (knee).
I want to say you’ll have him back next week, but with this lost season and New York looking ahead, there’s no reason to assume they are aggressive with their star RB’s recovery.
Allen Lazard, WR
If, in August, I told you that Aaron Rodgers would be getting his most efficient receiver back in the mix for the stretch run, you’d assume that we’d be looking at a league winner hiding in plain sight.
Let me tell you, 2024 has not exactly gone according to plan.
Allen Lazard has produced 32.2% of expectations this season and while that’s a fun stat to spit out, it’s not super predictive in an offense that now features Davante Adams. This offense has had troubles supporting one fantasy WR (just four times since Week 7 has a receiver in this offense reached even 13.5 PPR points), never mind a third.
There’s limited target upside here in a below average offense, not to mention the risk that comes associated with in assuming that Rodgers finishes the season under center. Lazard is roster depth if you have the luxury, but he’s not a must add and is a ways away from being ranked as a comfortable Flex option, something I don’t see changing any time soon.
Davante Adams, WR
Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers connected on a vintage eight-yard score in the first quarter last week, just their second score in six games since the trade with the Raiders. Volume hasn’t at all been a problem (over 10 targets in three of four games), so if we can get any signs of efficiency, a return to top-10 status is at least possible (53.4% catch rate with the Jets).
The Dolphins have the fifth-lowest opponent aDOT this season, something that could cap Adams’ upside while also raising his floor should the Jets shorten his route tree.
I’m holding out some hope that we have yet to see Adams’ best in New York — he’s my WR18 this week, ranking alongside other WR1s paired with QBs with whom I have trust issues (DK Metcalf, Malik Nabers, and Calvin Ridley).
Garrett Wilson, WR
Garrett Wilson wiggled free in the end zone last week, and Aaron Rodgers air-mailed him. This offense isn’t generating enough chances to misfire, making those 7.9 points left on the field a week-ruiner for those banking on New York’s WR2.
Wilson has been no better than the WR35 since Week 9, but he did see 111 air yards’ worth of targets last week, and that is interesting in this specific matchup against the only defense in the NFL that has yet to intercept a deep pass.
I’m not going to pretend to have a clue as to what is going on in Rodgers’ head, but we’ve seen him chuck it deep in those “free play” situations for years. He does that because there is literally no risk in doing so, and while that interception trend isn’t that safe, it does encourage aggression.
I have Wilson ranked as a low-end WR2/high-end Flex this week, understanding that there is a floor to consider but a ceiling that I feel is great enough to absorb that risk.
Tyler Conklin, TE
In Week 13, Tyler Conklin saw his most targets since Week 5, caught 80% of his looks, and had more receptions than any Jet not named Davante Adams or Garrett Wilson. All of that, and he didn’t sniff a top-20 finish at the position.
There simply isn’t a path to streamer value, let alone overachieving to the level that can impact your league in a meaningful way. You can safely ignore New York’s tight end, even with his regular role in this offense.