It was a disappointing end for Jerry Jeudy as the Denver Broncos’ WR2 last year. Now a member of the Cleveland Browns, can Jeudy return to fantasy football relevance opposite Amari Cooper as the team’s No. 2 receiver? Let’s see what his projection says.
Jerry Jeudy’s 2024 Fantasy Outlook
- Fantasy points per game: 8.8
- Receptions: 56
- Receiving Yards: 760
- Receiving TDs: 2.5
These are PFN’s consensus projections, correct as of August 14. The most up-to-date projections can be found in our Who Should I Draft Tool.
Should You Draft Jeudy This Year?
The hit rate on wide receivers who reach over 800 receiving yards as rookies is pretty good…but it’s not 100%. Jeudy’s rookie season, where he caught 52 passes for 856 yards, was a long time ago. Since then, Jeudy has averaged 8.5, 13.6, and 8.9 fantasy points per game, respectively.
Jeudy had every opportunity to succeed in 2023. He had very little target competition outside of Courtland Sutton. Yet, Jeudy was only able to command a 19.6% target share, and his 19.3% targets per route run rate was 56th in the league.
Despite playing 16 games, Jeudy only caught 54 passes for 758 yards and two touchdowns. His best fantasy outing was 13.1 points. You read that right. He did not have a single game above his 2022 average.
Now, fantasy managers’ hopes rest on Jeudy’s ability to revive his career with the Browns. It’s hard to say I’m optimistic, but the opportunity is there.
Cleveland has Cooper locked in as its WR1. That’s not going to change. But Jeudy should have every chance to be the WR2 after Elijah Moore profoundly disappointed in that role last season. Yet, can Deshaun Watson support a second fantasy-relevant WR?
I have Jeudy projected for a 17% target share, which is a continued decline. While the opportunity may be there, targets are a skill statistic. They aren’t just handed out; they must be earned. And Jeudy hasn’t shown an ability to earn targets.
My projections have him catching 59 passes for 744 yards and 3.0 touchdowns. That gives Jeudy 8.94 fantasy points per game, placing him at WR57, which is about five spots above where he lands in the PFN consensus projections.
Jeudy’s WR56 ADP is plenty fair. Fantasy managers who draft him will mostly be making Jeudy the final wide receiver on their bench. Thus, there’s no opportunity cost associated with taking him.
With that said, there are a surprisingly large amount of wide receivers with reasonable upside that go around where Jeudy goes.
I ranked Jeudy as my WR62, but none of the exact rankings in that area of the draft matter. These are all dart throws, so you can take your pick. If Jeudy is the one you want to take a chance on, go for it. I will likely be looking more toward younger players with less of a track record.