The Philadelphia Eagles will face the Washington Commanders in the NFC Conference Championship Game. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding QB Jalen Hurts.
Is Jalen Hurts Playing vs. the Commanders?
Hurts is dealing with a knee injury but does not carry an injury designation heading into the game. He was a limited participant on Wednesday but practiced in full on Thursday and Friday.
We’ll continue to monitor the Eagles’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.
Should You Start or Sit Jalen Hurts in the NFC Conference Championship Game?
Jalen Hurts has a passing upside in his profile, we just haven’t seen it up to this point in the playoffs. His yards per pass attempt are down from 8.0 during the regular season to 6.3, and if that two-game trend doesn’t correct itself, it’s going to be a tough week in the DFS streets for your humble narrator.
The Commanders have blitzed on under 22% of opposing dropbacks four times this season. Two of those instances have come this postseason. I expect a sit-back-and-wait approach to open this game, not only because it’s what we’ve seen this defense do recently with their season on the line but also in fear of Saquon Barkley making one cut and breaking the game open.
In the Week 11 win over these Commanders, Hurts completed 16-of-21 non-pressured passes, and he’s been even better in those spots during the playoffs (24-of-30 with two touchdowns).
Hurts’ 44-yard TD in the Divisional Round was the fourth longest by a QB in postseason history and he has now run for 29+ yards in 11 straight games (T-9th longest streak by a QB, the second longest streak of his career). If you’re like me and take the rushing production for granted, those passing efficiency numbers and how they stand to translate in this specific spot should have you drooling.
There’s a knee injury to navigate here, but that might only further buy us an ownership discount. You must stay updated with the most recent reports around this situation, but I expect to have a pretty clear picture sooner rather than later given the magnifying glass that is shined on every team this time of year.
In a week where QB upside isn’t hard to find, I have Hurts penciled into my primary lineup.
Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Conference Championship Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.
Jalen Hurts’ Fantasy Points Projection in the NFC Conference Championship Game
As of Sunday morning, Hurts is projected to score 19 fantasy points in the Conference Championship Game. This includes 185.1 passing yards, 1.1 passing touchdowns, and 0.5 interceptions. It also includes 8.2 rushing attempts for 36.6 yards and 0.7 touchdowns.
Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.
PFN Insight on the Commanders' Defense
The Commanders were a below-average defense for most of the season, which their final ranking reflects. Ultimately, Washington's performance was largely fairly consistent based on their level of competition.
The Commanders had five weekly top-10 finishes in the regular season. Those performances have come against the Browns, Panthers, Bears, Titans, and the Kenny Pickett-led Eagles. Setting Philadelphia aside, the other four all rank in the bottom 10 of PFN's Offense+ metric.
While Washington forced five turnovers in their Divisional Round upset over the Lions, they still only generated a 70.7 (C-) grade. The Commanders actually allowed a season-worst 7.7 yards per play, as the Lions moved the ball at will when they weren't throwing it away.
Still, Dan Quinn's unit deserves credit for causing some of those errors from Detroit's offense. Washington generated its fourth-highest non-blitz pressure rate of the season (43.2%), well above its regular-season rate of 33.6%. Three of Jared Goff's four turnovers came when pressured, illustrating the impact the pass rush had on the outcome.
The Commanders will face another difficult test in the NFC Championship Game against the Eagles' ground game, though Philadelphia's passing game struggles could make that a more palatable matchup. If this unit can continue to generate a couple splash plays, Daniels and the offense could do the rest.
For more insight on all other team defenses, head to our PFN Defense+ Metric Analysis.
Jalen Hurts’ Fantasy Ranking
Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 11:45 PM ET on Saturday, January 25.
Conference Championship QB PPR Rankings
1) Josh Allen | BUF (at KC)
2) Jalen Hurts | PHI (vs. WAS)
3) Jayden Daniels | WAS (at PHI)
4) Patrick Mahomes | KC (vs. BUF)
Commanders at Eagles Trends and Insights
Washington Commanders
Team: The Commanders won 23.5% of their games last season – the fourth-worst win percentage for a team that took part in a Conference Championship the following season.
QB: Jayden Daniels became the first player in NFL history with 15 rushes and 20 completions in a postseason game where he averaged 9.5 yards per pass.
QB: Daniels became the first player in NFL history with two touchdowns and 12 rush attempts without an interception in consecutive games.
Offense: Including the playoffs, there have been 15 instances in which a team starting a rookie QB score 34 points this season – the Commanders have accounted for seven of them.
Defense: How impactful has the offense been in Washington? They’ve now allowed over 2.5 points per drive nine times this season – they’ve won seven of those contests. It should be noted that their six worst point-per-drive defensive showings have all come on the road.
Fantasy: Brian Robinson ran for 77 yards and two scores on 15 carries against the Lions on Saturday night. In his previous four games, he ran for 110 yards and zero scores on 38 carries.
Betting: Do you think we'll see points in this game? Washington has covered each of the past four games that have gone over the total.
Philadelphia Eagles
Team: The Eagles lost two games in September and have lost one game since (at Washington, Week 16). In that loss, Philadelphia became the first team to score 21 points in the first quarter in a losing effort since the 2019 Texans (Divisional Round at Chiefs).
QB: Jalen Hurts is averaging 6.3 yards per pass in the postseason, down from 8.0 during the regular season.
Offense: Saquon Barkley has more rushing yards in touchdowns against the Rams this season (282) than any other player has for the season as a whole.
Defense: The Eagles have forced a turnover in 11 of their past 13 games (this coming on a streak of three turnover-less games in Weeks 6-8), including multiple in four of their past five games.
Fantasy: Hurts’ 44-yard TD on Sunday was the fourth longest by a QB inthe postseason, and he has now run for 29+ yards in 11 straight games (T-9th longest streak by a QB, the second longest streak of his career)
Betting: Since Week 10, overs are 2-0 when the Eagles play the Rams and 2-7 when Philadelphia plays any other team.
