This week’s NFL London game features the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills. The Bills enter this matchup as the hottest team in the AFC, coming off a 28-point beatdown over the Miami Dolphins.
The point spread for Jaguars vs. Bills opened at Buffalo -5.5 with a total of 48 points on Sunday night. Since then, the spread has gone back and forth, but it hasn’t gone up from 5.5 points.
The Jags snapped a two-game losing streak last week with a 23-7 win over the Atlanta Falcons, but the Bills are an entirely different beast. During their three-game winning streak, the Bills have been outscoring their opponents by 30 PPG, and they now have the best point differential in the NFL.
During the Bills’ three-game winning streak, the point spread has never been in doubt, but will their hot streak continue in London? PFN’s Betting Team gives their Jaguars vs. Bills predictions, picks against the spread, favorite player prop bets, and more.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Lines, Start Time, and More
All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.
- Spread
Bills -5 - Moneyline
Jaguars +195, Bills -225 - Over/Under
48 - Game Time
9:30 am ET - Location
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium - How To Watch
NFL Network
Bearman: Count me among those who fell for the “Bills aren’t that good” theory after Week 1’s loss to the New York Jets and Zach Wilson. I went so far as to take the Las Vegas Raiders and the points the following week and lost that one handsomely.
Well, after their beatdown of the Dolphins, I’m back to being a believer that not only are the Bills good, but they may be scary good. They’ve averaged 41 PPG since the loss to the Jets, and just as impressively, have held their opponents to 33 total points, including the Dolphins’ high-flying offense to 20 last week.
The Jags looked good last week in London, but that was vs. the Falcons. This is a step up in competition, and the result will show that.
NFL London Game Pick: Bills -5 (-112 at DraftKings)
Blewis: The Jaguars had a nice bounce-back win against the Falcons in London last week, but they benefited greatly from Desmond Ridder’s terrible performance, who had three turnovers and finished with a QBR of 10.6.
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The Jags’ offense should see some positive regression sooner than later, but it won’t be this week.
Although they’ll be without their best cornerback in Tre’Davious White, this Bills defense is entering this game as one of the best defenses in the NFL, right up there with the Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, and San Francisco 49ers.
They also might be getting Von Miller back this week against a Jags OL that is 29th in pass block win rate.
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I’m going with the Jaguars team total under here just in case the Bills’ offense has another lights-out performance. With how they have been playing, they could go over this total by themselves.
NFL London Game Pick: Jaguars team total under 21.5 (-138 at FanDuel)
Soppe: The Bills are not just having to work with driving on the wrong side of the road this week. They are adapting on the fly to life without cornerback Tre’Davious White (Achilles).
Here is what the most targeted receiver has done against the Bills in Buffalo’s last six games played without their star corner.
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- Amon-Ra St. Brown: 9 catches, 122 yards, TD (10 targets)
- Amari Cooper: 8 catches, 113 yards, 2 TD (12 targets)
- Justin Jefferson: 10 catches, 193 yards, TD (16 targets)
- Garrett Wilson: 8 catches, 92 yards (9 targets)
- Romeo Doubs: 4 catches, 62 yards, TD (7 targets)
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 5 catches, 113 yards, TD (5 targets)
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Calvin Ridley was averaging 8.7 targets per game through three weeks before drawing a shadow from A.J. Terrell last week that prevented Trevor Lawrence from tempting fate (two targets). Assuming he sees seven to 10 looks in this game, Ridley backers could be printing money as they enjoy their morning coffee.
NFL London Game Pick: Ridley ladder: Over 53.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel, one unit), 70+ receiving yards (+168, half unit), and 90+ receiving yards (+320, quarter unit)
Katz: It looks like Soppe and I are sort of head-to-head on this one. It’s possible we could both win, but it’s unlikely.
Soppe is attributing Ridley’s down performance to being shadowed by A.J. Terrell. That certainly didn’t help, but a big part of Ridley’s struggles is Ridley himself. The man looks like someone who hasn’t played football in two years. Most concerning, he looks disinterested on the field.
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Ridley is not getting open, and he’s not commanding targets. That is a skill issue – not a game plan issue. He hasn’t caught more than three passes in a game since Week 1. Until we see something change in his play and demeanor, I am fading Ridley.
NFL London Game Pick: Ridley under 4.5 receptions (-110 at BetMGM)