Perhaps the most challenging endeavor in dynasty fantasy football leagues is rebuilding a last-place dynasty orphan. How can you turn a roster with minimal assets into one that can contend for a championship?
What Is a Dynasty Orphan?
An orphan dynasty team is a roster left behind by a manager who retired from a league for whatever reason. Managers leaving leagues is an inevitable reality. Most leagues I have been in have seen turnover after just one year.
Dynasty fantasy football is a large commitment. People’s lives change, and all too often, they just can’t do it anymore. That’s called being an adult, as much as it sucks sometimes.
Piece of advice — don’t hold this against the leaving manager. In the same vein, consider them for future openings.
As I said, sometimes “life” comes up, and it’s simply not the right time. But this manager was devoted enough to like the idea in the first place, and that could be the case again down the road.
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When someone leaves a dynasty league, the commissioner has to find someone else to join unless it was agreed by the manager leaving he would find a replacement. In redraft, this is easy because the new manager gets to draft their team. After all, that’s the best part of the whole season.
It can be far more challenging in a dynasty league because the new manager has to take over a preexisting team with a roster that may not be very good. While saying “life got busy” happens, it’s also used as an excuse for a manager who simply failed at building a roster and wants to get away as quickly as possible as if it was a bad Hinge date.
If you’re the one taking over, it’s now on you to figure out how to turn a disastrous roster into a team that can win — something I consider the biggest achievement for a fantasy manager.
How To Rebuild a Last-Place Dynasty Orphan Team
Last-place teams come in all different shapes and sizes. There are varying degrees of bad. For the sake of this exercise, let’s assume this last-place roster at least has a few assets.
That’s the beauty of dynasty — even bad teams usually have some viable pieces from which to build.
Prioritize Getting Younger To Maximize Your Window
If you’re inheriting a dynasty orphan in last place, you need to accept that you’re not going to be able to turn things around in one year, barring some crazy circumstance like a dispersal draft or wild trade that will have league-mates screaming collusion in the league chat.
By approaching your first season controlling the team with the knowledge that it will be at least two years before you compete, you can better rebuild the roster and won’t have knee-jerk reactions to the in-season ups and downs.
Being realistic with your roster isn’t specific to orphan teams. This is a skill you will need to hone with time regardless, you’re just getting fast-tracked on it as you are essentially required to do it from Day 1.
The first step is usually to get younger. There will always be teams at the top in need of win-now players, you just need to open the lines of communication and find them.
They’re known commodities. Hopefully, your roster at least has two or three useful veterans. Trade those guys for rookies and sophomore players you think will break out.
You can afford to be a year early in your evaluation process because this season isn’t your target when it comes to being competitive at a high level. You want to target players on teams that don’t project as pieces of a title contender this season but have the upside to be very productive in future years.
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This past season, a player like Tyjae Spears would have checked that box. The talent is there, but we knew the opportunity wouldn’t be with Derrick Henry in town.
A team pushing for a 2023 title would have likely been willing to move him for a player like Ezekiel Elliott down the stretch — a veteran with an expanded role that was set to peak during the fantasy playoffs in terms of usage.
Stockpile Rookie Draft Picks for the Coming Years
In theory, a last-place dynasty orphan should have all of its rookie draft picks, if not more. Although, sometimes you will find orphan teams who already traded those away. That’s the hardest rebuild of them all.
The rookie draft is the only place you have full control. Trading veteran players for young future stars is important, but it requires other managers to trade with you.
In the rookie draft, you get to choose the players who will be the foundation of your roster for the next several years — the guys who will help you dig out of this hole and put you in contention!
But you’re also subject to the market value in your league. If someone isn’t high on a player or the class as a whole, your return will be below value.
It’s often easier to trade for picks than players in dynasty leagues, especially early in the season. Competing managers will be far more apt to give away a pick for a win-now player than to give away one of their young prospects. Use this to your advantage. That’s why knowing the cyclic nature of the dynasty calendar is imperative.
Looking long term is difficult, but that’s why there’s value to be had early in the season.
You’re entering the year with limited expectations, while most managers will be eager to ditch the “rebuild” plan if they win four of their first five matchups. There’s always room to be a short-term seller in these leagues, so create a timeline and stick to it — your planning will be rewarded with time!
Entering your first season, you should have your five rookie draft picks or however many rounds your draft is. Try and get 2-3 more if possible. You can do this either by trading away veterans or trading down in your rookie draft.
Is there no clear 1.01 for the upcoming season? Perhaps you can sell someone else on the value of the 1.01 and accumulate multiple first- and second-round rookie picks.
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Also, consider the “sweet spot” of the draft. The mid-rounds can be easier to acquire, and the talent there (especially in the first half) are guys who could have been first-rounders and have the requisite talent to shine. Think of Tee Higgins and Amon-Ra St. Brown as players who slid, but if we redrafted those classes, they would be vastly higher.
The reality is the roster you’re inheriting is more than one superstar away from competing. Of course, you ultimately need superstars, but you need more than one. If you trade down and acquire more picks, it provides more chances to hit on more players.
For your rebuilding roster, two WR2s and an RB2 will be more valuable than one RB1. Be honest with yourself about the strengths and weaknesses, not only of your current roster but for you as a fantasy manager, and play to them.
Focus on Wide Receivers in Your Rookie Drafts
Rookie RBs are easier to project in the short term compared to rookie WRs in most scenarios. Running backs can also produce at a higher level more quickly if they have the right skill set and landing spot; we see it every season (think De’Von Achane).
This can be very appealing to a manager looking to quickly turn around a depleted roster. However, this is a bit of a trap. The key to a successful rebuild is the longevity of wide receivers.
Running backs have a much shorter NFL shelf life than wide receivers, and it’s not close. If you prioritize RBs for two seasons of a rebuild, by the time you’re ready to contend, those backs may only have a couple of years left at the top.
We see the NFL as a whole devaluing the position, and dynasty leagues mirror that behavior.
The short-term projection is what appeals to teams currently positioned to chase a title, which is why many dynasty trades have a big-name running back as a focal point. You’re moving an asset that increases in value based on the state of the fantasy team — it’s simply good business.
On the other hand, elite wide receivers (if you can find/identify them) will likely remain elite for up to a decade. Whereas running backs typically peak by the age of 25, receivers are in their absolute prime from ages 25-29. Many of them will break out and become elite by age 23 or 24 and can produce for nearly a decade.
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You will get way more mileage out of wide receivers than running backs. Imagine if you started a rebuild and were able to draft Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson. You’d have two of the highest-valued non-QBs on your team right now.
Put together a nucleus of strong wide receivers during the first two years of your rebuild. Then, fill in the running backs. You want to shift the focus to RB once you’re ready to compete, but not before.
I’d rather be a year late in targeting running backs than a year early. Make sure you’re stable elsewhere and treat the position as annual rentals to help put you over the top.
In 2011, we could reasonably project Julio Jones and A.J. Green to be great for the next 8-10 years. In 2012, if you built your roster around Trent Richardson or Doug Martin, that didn’t go so well. That’s a cherry-picked example, but you get the idea.
Rebuilding an orphan team is tough, no doubt, but it can be done with patience and savvy management … you up for the challenge?