Hollywood Brown Fantasy Hub: Week 17 Injury Update, Start/Sit Advice, Projections, and More

The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 17. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding WR Hollywood Brown.

Is Hollywood Brown Playing in Week 17?

Browns is not listed on the injury report this week, so barring any setbacks, he is on track to play on Christmas.

We’ll continue to monitor the Chiefs’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.

Should You Start or Sit Hollywood Brown in Week 17?

Hollywood Brown made his season debut on Saturday and his usage was … interesting.

Kansas City’s WR usage, Week 16:

• Xavier Worthy: 78.6% snaps, 11 targets, and 23.1 expected points
• Justin Watson: 52.9% snaps, one target, and 1.7 expected points
• DeAndre Hopkins: 45.7% snaps, four targets, and 6.5 expected points
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 38.6% snaps, one target, and 1.7 expected points
• Brown: 27.1% snaps, eight targets, and 13.4 expected points

He wasn’t on the field a ton, but eight looks on his 15 routes is the type of rate that hints at a role that can land him as a Flex asset this week if he’s extended even just a little. He was the first Chief over the weekend to haul in three passes. While he was held to just seven receiving yards in the second half, I’m happy to label Week 16 as a success.

Of course, Brown’s track record and a tough matchup introduce plenty of downside.

Brown’s production relative to PPR expectation by season:

• 2019 (Ravens): +19%
• 2020 (Ravens): +6.2%
• 2021 (Ravens): -9.2%
• 2022 (Cardinals): -12.2%
• 2023 (Cardinals): -21.9%

He’s far from a safe play, but he’s found money on your fantasy team at this point and I think he’s deserving of Flex consideration in the same vein as any of the receivers in Indianapolis/Carolina or the secondary pieces with the Chargers/Browns.

Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Week 17 Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.

Hollywood Brown’s Fantasy Points Projection in Week 17

As of Thursday, Brown is projected to score 11 fantasy points in PPR formats. This includes 4.4 receptions for 48.5 yards and 0.3 touchdowns.

Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.

PFN Insight on the Bills' Defense

After finishing as a top-seven defense in each of the last three seasons, the Bills finished 18th during the regular season. That's not the biggest surprise given that this was largely billed as a rebuilding season for this unit.

Buffalo was a boom-or-bust defense in the Divisional Round vs. Baltimore, and there were just enough highs to escape with the win. In addition to the three takeaways, the Bills also generated their second-highest non-blitz pressure rate (42.9%) this season. The only higher rate was in the Wild Card win over the Broncos (50%).

This wasn't a particularly efficient defensive performance, as reflected in the final Defense+ grade of 69.9 (D+). Despite some run stuffs, the Bills had their worst rushing defense success rate all season (44%) and were fortunate the game script didn't allow the Ravens to lean more heavily on their run game.

Still, the Bills' offense is operating at such a high level that the bar to clear for the defense is lower than it would be on nearly any other team. Buffalo met that threshold with a few big plays against the Ravens. Those could be tougher to generate against a Chiefs offense that has gone eight straight games without a turnover, but it may be all the Bills need to finally conquer Kansas City.

For more insight on all other team defenses, head to our PFN Defense+ Metric Analysis. 

Hollywood Brown’s Fantasy Ranking

Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 11:45 PM ET on Saturday, January 25. 

Conference Championship WR PPR Rankings

1) A.J. Brown | PHI (vs. WAS)
2) Terry McLaurin | WAS (at PHI)
3) DeVonta Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)
4) Khalil Shakir | BUF (at KC)
5) Xavier Worthy | KC (vs. BUF)
6) Hollywood Brown | KC (vs. BUF)
7) DeAndre Hopkins | KC (vs. BUF)
8) Keon Coleman | BUF (at KC)
9) Dyami Brown | WAS (at PHI)
10) Mack Hollins | BUF (at KC)
11) Amari Cooper | BUF (at KC)
12) Curtis Samuel | BUF (at KC)
13) Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS (at PHI)
14) JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC (vs. BUF)
15) Jahan Dotson | PHI (vs. WAS)
16) Jamison Crowder | WAS (at PHI)
17) Luke McCaffrey | WAS (at PHI)
18) Justin Watson | KC (vs. BUF)
19) Johnny Wilson | PHI (vs. WAS)
20) Parris Campbell | PHI (vs. WAS)
21) Nikko Remigio | KC (vs. BUF)
22) Ainias Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)

Bills at Chiefs Trends and Insights

Buffalo Bills

Team: The Bills lost four road games during the regular season — only four Super Bowl champions in the 2000s have done that (2018 Patriots, 2012 Ravens, 2010 Packers, and 2006 Colts).

QB: Five times has a QB had four games in a season (playoffs included) with multiple rush touchdowns and 20 pass attempts.

• 2021 Jalen Hurts
• 2022 Jalen Hurts
• 2023 Jalen Hurts
• 2023 Josh Allen
• 2024 Josh Allen

No player has had five such games in a season.

Offense: The Bills have scored on at least 55% of their possessions six times this season, four of which have come against playoff teams.

Defense: Buffalo allowed Baltimore to pick up 70% of their third downs. That’s the fourth-highest rate the Bills have allowed in the 2000s and is their highest in a winning effort.

Fantasy: Allen has completed over 72% of his passes in both playoff wins – he had three such games during the regular season.

Betting: Overs are 5-2 in Buffalo’s past seven games, cashing last week by half a point with Baltimore's final touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs

Team: Christmas Day 2023 was the date of Kansas City’s last home loss – each of their past six Arrowhead games have been decided by a single possession.

QB: Patrick Mahomes has thrown a total of three touchdown passes in his last two Championship games (3.7% of his attempts) after throwing three in each of his first four appearances (8.4%).

Offense: Saturday was the 10th time this season in which the Chiefs scored on at least half of their possessions (five-of-nine against Houston).

Defense: Opponents have picked up at least half of their third downs in four straight games against the Chiefs (Texans: 10-of-17).

Fantasy: In the last two games in which their starters have been extended, the Chiefs have managed to turn 42 carries into just 119 yards (2.83 yards per carry).

Betting: By taking an intentional safety at the end of their win over the Texans, the Chiefs snapped their six-game playoff cover streak.