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Hollywood Brown Fantasy Hub: AFC Conference Championship Injury Update, DFS Guidance, Start/Sit Advice, Projections, and More

Here's the latest Hollywood Brown fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups, including injury status, start-sit advice, trade insight, and more.

The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Conference Championship Game. Here’s the latest fantasy football news and advice to help you with your lineups this week and moving forward, especially regarding WR Hollywood Brown.

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Is Hollywood Brown Playing vs. the Bills?

Brown was not listed on the injury report this week. Barring any last-minute setbacks, he will play vs. Buffalo.

We’ll continue to monitor the Chiefs’ injury report. You can also visit and bookmark our NFL Injury Tracker and Fantasy News Tracker for the latest updates.

Should You Start or Sit Hollywood Brown in the AFC Conference Championship Game?

Hollywood Brown has been targeted on 30.4% of his routes during his Chiefs tenure, and that should have me highly excited given his price tag.

It doesn’t.

I’ll have exposure, don’t get me wrong, but what if Brown’s introduction to #ChiefsKingdom is as good as it gets? Only two players reached that mark this season (Puka Nacua and Malik Nabers), so asking a receiver who is on his third team in four years and averages 50.5 yards per game for his career despite a plus role for the bulk of it is a lot.

Even with this hyper-involved role, Brown has nine catches for 91 yards to show for his three games with the team. Andy Reid is working him into the game plan more; that is why I have him labeled as a fine buy at a 23.6% discount off of Xavier Worthy. It’s a bet on this offensive infrastructure more than the player himself.

Brown’s snap share, 2024:

  • Week 16 vs. Texans: 27.1%
  • Week 17 at Steelers: 43.1%
  • Divisional Round vs. Texans: 58%

The floor is low, and as long as you go in with eyes wide open about that, rostering him is fine. I think Kansas City’s offense is going to be pushed more this weekend than last; that is likely to give us a pass catcher (or two?) next to Travis Kelce who provides at least reasonable production. However, a few options are vying for those looks, not to mention a run game that could help dictate tempo in this spot.

Are you looking for start/sit advice for other players in your lineup? Read our Conference Championship Fantasy Start-Sit Advice Cheat Sheet for every fantasy-relevant player in every game.

Hollywood Brown’s Fantasy Points Projection in the AFC Conference Championship Game

As of Sunday morning, Brown is projected to score 12.6 fantasy points in PPR formats. This includes 5.1 receptions for 55.7 yards and 0.3 touchdowns.

Check out the free PFN Fantasy Start-Sit Optimizer for the latest projections and advice for your lineups this week.

PFN Insight on the Bills' Defense

After finishing as a top-seven defense in each of the last three seasons, the Bills finished 18th during the regular season. That's not the biggest surprise given that this was largely billed as a rebuilding season for this unit.

Buffalo was a boom-or-bust defense in the Divisional Round vs. Baltimore, and there were just enough highs to escape with the win. In addition to the three takeaways, the Bills also generated their second-highest non-blitz pressure rate (42.9%) this season. The only higher rate was in the Wild Card win over the Broncos (50%).

This wasn't a particularly efficient defensive performance, as reflected in the final Defense+ grade of 69.9 (D+). Despite some run stuffs, the Bills had their worst rushing defense success rate all season (44%) and were fortunate the game script didn't allow the Ravens to lean more heavily on their run game.

Still, the Bills' offense is operating at such a high level that the bar to clear for the defense is lower than it would be on nearly any other team. Buffalo met that threshold with a few big plays against the Ravens. Those could be tougher to generate against a Chiefs offense that has gone eight straight games without a turnover, but it may be all the Bills need to finally conquer Kansas City.

For more insight on all other team defenses, head to our PFN Defense+ Metric Analysis

Hollywood Brown’s Fantasy Ranking

Our Weekly Consensus PPR Rankings are below — both positional and overall. They were last updated at 11:45 PM ET on Saturday, January 25. 

Conference Championship WR PPR Rankings

1) A.J. Brown | PHI (vs. WAS)
2) Terry McLaurin | WAS (at PHI)
3) DeVonta Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)
4) Khalil Shakir | BUF (at KC)
5) Xavier Worthy | KC (vs. BUF)
6) Hollywood Brown | KC (vs. BUF)
7) DeAndre Hopkins | KC (vs. BUF)
8) Keon Coleman | BUF (at KC)
9) Dyami Brown | WAS (at PHI)
10) Mack Hollins | BUF (at KC)
11) Amari Cooper | BUF (at KC)
12) Curtis Samuel | BUF (at KC)
13) Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS (at PHI)
14) JuJu Smith-Schuster | KC (vs. BUF)
15) Jahan Dotson | PHI (vs. WAS)
16) Jamison Crowder | WAS (at PHI)
17) Luke McCaffrey | WAS (at PHI)
18) Justin Watson | KC (vs. BUF)
19) Johnny Wilson | PHI (vs. WAS)
20) Parris Campbell | PHI (vs. WAS)
21) Nikko Remigio | KC (vs. BUF)
22) Ainias Smith | PHI (vs. WAS)

Bills at Chiefs Trends and Insights

Buffalo Bills

Team: The Bills lost four road games during the regular season — only four Super Bowl champions in the 2000s have done that (2018 Patriots, 2012 Ravens, 2010 Packers, and 2006 Colts).

QB: Five times has a QB had four games in a season (playoffs included) with multiple rush touchdowns and 20 pass attempts.

No player has had five such games in a season.

Offense: The Bills have scored on at least 55% of their possessions six times this season, four of which have come against playoff teams.

Defense: Buffalo allowed Baltimore to pick up 70% of their third downs. That’s the fourth-highest rate the Bills have allowed in the 2000s and is their highest in a winning effort.

Fantasy: Allen has completed over 72% of his passes in both playoff wins – he had three such games during the regular season.

Betting: Overs are 5-2 in Buffalo’s past seven games, cashing last week by half a point with Baltimore's final touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs

Team: Christmas Day 2023 was the date of Kansas City’s last home loss – each of their past six Arrowhead games have been decided by a single possession.

QB: Patrick Mahomes has thrown a total of three touchdown passes in his last two Championship games (3.7% of his attempts) after throwing three in each of his first four appearances (8.4%).

Offense: Saturday was the 10th time this season in which the Chiefs scored on at least half of their possessions (five-of-nine against Houston).

Defense: Opponents have picked up at least half of their third downs in four straight games against the Chiefs (Texans: 10-of-17).

Fantasy: In the last two games in which their starters have been extended, the Chiefs have managed to turn 42 carries into just 119 yards (2.83 yards per carry).

Betting: By taking an intentional safety at the end of their win over the Texans, the Chiefs snapped their six-game playoff cover streak.

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