Tight end development happens at varying rates in the NFL, and betting on pedigree can be a good long-term wager, even if it comes before much proof of concept. Denver Broncos TE Greg Dulcich’s dynasty value is more guesswork than most given his limited professional reps, but that doesn’t mean you should dismiss the pride of UCLA without digging into his profile.
Greg Dulcich’s Dynasty Outlook
As is the case with any young player, there are two primary paths to fantasy football growth, and in a perfect world, your asset has access to both: personal and team development.
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The Broncos are in a state of disarray on the offensive side, and with the No. 12 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, it’s unlikely that they improve in a significant way barring a surprising move in free agency.
If you look at the top of the tight end board last season, they all had stable quarterback play, a luxury that Dulcich isn’t going to have in 2024, and he may not have for a little while. Understanding that, Dulcich’s immediate ceiling is capped, but that doesn’t mean he can’t prove to be a viable option at a shallow position.
A Grade 2 hamstring strain in October cost him the rest of his 2023 season, the same injury that limited him to 10 games as a rookie. The potential for this injury to linger throughout his career is certainly there — soft-tissue injuries are always a concern — but youth is on his side, and given that his stock is low at the moment, I don’t mind the idea of taking on some health risk to acquire a high-pedigree option (2022 third-round pick out of UCLA).
In a limited sample, the 6’4” athlete is averaging 12.1 yards per catch as a professional, an extension of the per-catch upside that he showed as a Bruin (18.3 yards per catch over his final two collegiate seasons).
The tools seem to be there for Dulcich, but with WRs Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton both under contract through this upcoming season, banking on quality or quantity when it comes to opportunity count in the short-term future is a bit optimistic for my liking.
Dulcich’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Dulcich land in the dynasty TE landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Dulcich lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Sam LaPorta | DET
2) Trey McBride | ARI
3) George Kittle | SF
4) Mark Andrews | BAL
5) T.J. Hockenson | MIN
6) Evan Engram | JAX
7) Travis Kelce | KC
8) Jake Ferguson | DAL
9) Dalton Kincaid | BUF
10) Kyle Pitts | ATL
11) David Njoku | CLE
12) Dallas Goedert | PHI
13) Michael Mayer | LV
14) Dalton Schultz | HOU
15) Isaiah Likely | BAL
16) Darren Waller | NYG
17) Gerald Everett | LAC
18) Cole Kmet | CHI
19) Luke Musgrave | GB
20) Chigoziem Okonkwo | TEN
21) Greg Dulcich | DEN
22) Pat Freiermuth | PIT
23) Logan Thomas | WAS
24) Juwan Johnson | NO
25) Noah Fant | SEA
26) Taysom Hill | NO
27) Tucker Kraft | GB
28) Hunter Henry | NE
29) Cade Otton | TB
30) Irv Smith Jr. | CIN
31) Jelani Woods | IND
32) Tyler Higbee | LAR
33) Tyler Conklin | NYJ
34) Dawson Knox | BUF
35) Hayden Hurst | CAR
36) Mike Gesicki | NE
37) Brevin Jordan | HOU
38) Darnell Washington | PIT
39) Luke Schoonmaker | DAL
40) Donald Parham Jr. | LAC
41) Daniel Bellinger | NYG
42) Austin Hooper | LV
43) Jonnu Smith | ATL
44) Albert Okwuegbunam | PHI
45) Zach Ertz | DET
46) Adam Trautman | DEN
47) Noah Gray | KC
48) Mo Alie-Cox | IND
49) Robert Tonyan | CHI
50) Foster Moreau | NO
Should You Trade Dulcich in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Dulcich? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
We are fresh off of a season in which a pair of young tight ends not only produced but were able to impress at such a level that we are considering them Tier 1 options in both redraft and dynasty formats.
That’s how fast things can move at a fickle position like TE, which is the primary reason why I am 100% holding onto Dulcich for at least another season. In 2022, there were 29 players at the position that saw at least 50 targets, and Dulcich ranked second in average depth of target (11.4 yards, trailing only the ever-frustrating Atlanta Falcons TE Kyle Pitts).
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That tells me that the Broncos are interested in the mismatches he creates vertically, and that is all the hope I need in keeping him stashed as a non-starter.
Does he break out in a major way for an offense that is likely to struggle? We will see, but holding onto him now is a cheap way to find out, whereas selling him at his current value only leaves you vulnerable to regret down the road.
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