Week 10 concludes on Monday night with the Los Angeles Rams hosting the Miami Dolphins. Both teams are getting healthier on offense after some rough early-season patches, leading to more exciting daily fantasy football (DFS) lineup combinations.
Below we take a look at my top recommendations for DFS in this game using DraftKings salaries.
Week 10 Monday Night DFS Showdown Picks
- CPT: Cooper Kupp ($14,700)
- FLEX: Kyren Williams ($10,800)
- FLEX: De’Von Achane ($9,400)
- FLEX: Demarcus Robinson ($5,600)
- FLEX: Jason Sanders ($5,000)
- FLEX: Jonnu Smith ($4,400)
Week 10 DFS: Cooper Kupp as Captain, Kyren Williams, and Demarcus Robinson
Williams has the best matchup in this game, as the Dolphins rank 28th in PPR points per game allowed to running backs. Miami has given up 12 touchdowns to running backs, tied for second-most behind only the Carolina Panthers (15). With Williams having scored in all but one game this season, he’s as strong a bet as any player in Week 10 to find the end zone.
However, his exorbitant captain salary ($16,200) would make it tough to fill out the rest of your lineup if you made Williams the captain. Kupp comes at a slightly more reasonable price and has a favorable matchup as well.
Miami’s defense has been below average at defending slot receivers, ranking 17th in both yards per attempt and EPA per play allowed. Kupp has lined up in the slot on 69% of his snaps this season, meaning he should get to exploit that matchup.
Robinson is the type of boom-or-bust play worth a flier in DFS formats. Robinson will see a reliable share of the snaps, having run a team-high 265 routes this season. His meager 14% target rate only ranks seventh on the team, but he does have the deepest aDOT at 16.1 air yards.
That makes Robinson a prime candidate for a one-play deep shot that could deliver surplus value, such as the walk-off 39-yarder to win last week’s game against the Seattle Seahawks in overtime.
MATTHEW STAFFORD TO DEMARCUS ROBINSON ONE-HANDED TD TO WIN THE GAME FOR THE @RAMSNFL! pic.twitter.com/xqFG6xQ4eS
— NFL (@NFL) November 4, 2024
De’Von Achane, Jonnu Smith, and Jason Sanders
Achane scored for the first time since the season opener last week versus the Buffalo Bills. It’s a little tough to tell who Miami’s preferred goal-line back is because the Dolphins have just nine rush attempts all season from the five-yard line or closer.
However, Achane does have five of those nine attempts, as well as 10 of the team’s 19 rush attempts from the 10-yard line or closer. Last week also saw Achane assume more of a solidified RB1 role, taking 68% of the snaps compared to 23% for Raheem Mostert. It was Mostert’s lowest snap share of the season and Achane’s highest in a game where Mostert played.
Smith is one of the more obvious DFS matchup plays in this game. Los Angeles is horrendous against tight ends, ranking 30th in PPR points per game allowed to the position. Smith has at least six targets in four consecutive games and ranks sixth in target rate (28%) among tight ends since Week 5.
Finally, Sanders is a decent play given that the Rams are the ninth-ranked red-zone defense. Even isolating only games with Tua Tagovailoa as the starter, Miami has scored a touchdown on 57% of its red-zone drives, which would rank 15th.