The job never ends for fantasy football managers in dynasty leagues. Jacksonville Jaguars TE Evan Engram has seen a resurgence in his dynasty value over the past two seasons. Where do things stand heading into the 2024 offseason?
Evan Engram’s Dynasty Outlook
It’s been quite the wild ride for Engram over these past seven years. He’s established himself as a quality NFL tight end, but his path to that point has been anything but conventional.
Engram posted one of the greatest rookie tight end seasons of all time with the New York Giants in 2017. Over the next two seasons, he struggled to stay healthy.
In 2020 and 2021, Engram finally got his health issues under control but was wholly ineffective on the field. He averaged 8.8 and 6.8 fantasy points per game in those two seasons.
In 2022, Engram desperately needed a fresh start. Not every player gets one. Fortunately, Engram had shown enough promise early in his career to justify a second chance with a new team.
For the past two years, Engram has been the Jaguars’ primary TE. He’s continued to be able to stay on the field, playing in all 17 games each year. That’s now a total of two games missed in his last four seasons.
More importantly, Engram has been an effective fantasy asset, averaging 10.4 and 13.6 fantasy points per game during his two years with the Jaguars. In 2023, he finished as the overall TE4.
With the Jaguars bringing in Calvin Ridley last year to be their WR1, combined with Christian Kirk already being an established go-to target, Engram was not viewed favorably heading into last season.
However, the combination of Ridley’s struggles, plus injuries to Zay Jones and Kirk, allowed Engram to see a 23.8% target share, the second-highest in the league.
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While it’s unlikely Engram can repeat his 23.8% target share from last season, he can make up for a dip in volume with an increase in touchdowns. Engram scored just four times last year. Based on his yardage total (963), he should’ve scored about seven times.
Fantasy managers should expect Engram’s receptions and yardage to decrease a bit going forward. But he should score more. I see no reason he can’t maintain being a 12-13 points per game tight end for the foreseeable future.
Engram is not the greatest blocker, which is good for fantasy purposes. He ran a route on 97.2% of Jacksonville’s pass plays and spent 45% of his time in the slot. Engram may not be the most talented tight end on the planet, but his role is one of the best.
Engram’s Dynasty Ranking
Where does Engram land in the dynasty TE landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Katz’s latest rankings, featuring where Engram lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
Jason Katz’s Top 25 Dynasty TE Rankings
1) Sam LaPorta | DET
2) Trey McBride | ARI
3) Mark Andrews | BAL
4) T.J. Hockenson | MIN
5) Dalton Kincaid | BUF
6) Travis Kelce | KC
7) George Kittle | SF
8) David Njoku | CLE
9) Evan Engram | JAX
10) Jake Ferguson | DAL
11) Dallas Goedert | PHI
12) Kyle Pitts | ATL
13) Cole Kmet | CHI
14) Pat Freiermuth | PIT
15) Isaiah Likely | BAL
16) Michael Mayer | LV
17) Tucker Kraft | GB
18) Dalton Schultz | HOU
19) Luke Musgrave | GB
20) Darren Waller | NYG
21) Chigoziem Okonkwo | TEN
22) Cade Otton | TB
23) Hunter Henry | NE
24) Juwan Johnson | NO
25) Gerald Everett | LAC
Should You Trade Engram in Dynasty?
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It is quite refreshing to see the tight-end position gain an influx of talent over the past two years. There are at least five newcomers to the dynasty top 12 that weren’t here last year.
The scoring in 2023 was also flatter than in recent years, with no truly dominant option. Engram’s 13.6 points per game put him just 1.0 PPG behind the overall TE1.
There’s value in upgrading your tight-end position to get that true difference-making option. I would not call Engram that type of player. I also don’t envision him doing much better than he did last year.
With that said, I’m not sure that Rob Gronkowski/Travis Kelce-level dominant tight end exists. Sam LaPorta looks like the closest thing, but it would surprise me if he didn’t top out at 15-16 points per game. You are not at a disadvantage if your TE1 is Engram. If anything, you should relish the fact that you have the tight-end position solved.
Engram will be 30 years old this year, but tight ends can often remain effective into their mid-30s. I am not worried about Engram falling off for at least another three years.
It is worth noting that Engram’s contract with the Jaguars expires after the 2025 season. However, if he continues to play well, there’s no reason he wouldn’t either keep his job or get a starting job with another team at that time.
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If you can turn Engram into one of the younger tight ends with a higher upside, like LaPorat, Trey McBride, or Dalton Kincaid, that’s a move worth making. But if it’s too expensive, just hang tight, as Engram is a very solid mid-TE1.
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