If you’re looking for early Week 11 DFS targets before crafting your lineups, then you’ve come to the right place. We’ve analyzed each team’s highest-probability game scripts to assess which player on each team has a great shot at outproducing expectations. Some of these guys will be pricey for good reasons. Others might be cheap, high-upside bargains.
Favorite Week 11 Undervalued DFS Targets
This week, I’m going to approach things a little differently. No more high-priced “bargains.” Yes, I pushed Justin Fields last week, despite how expensive he’d be. But that’s not enough value added. Recommending guys like a medium-priced George Pickens — or as I shared over the weekend, the ultra-cheap Christian Watson — is more useful.
So if you’re wondering whether to put Saquon Barkley or Lamar Jackson in your DFS lineup, you don’t need any words of non-wisdom from me. But including the next potential breakout star? That’s what we’re pursuing . . .
Thursday Night Football
Packers vs. Titans. Tennessee is vulnerable against the pass, and fortunately for Green Bay, the previously mentioned Watson is healthy. While I don’t expect another blowup game, his price should still be reasonable enough (i.e. lower than Allen Lazard’s) to invest in.
And aside from Derrick Henry, which Titans can we trust? I hate chasing points. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine thrived last weekend, in part, because Denver’s elite pass defense shut down Treylon Burks and Robert Woods. This week, I’d target the still cheap Burks in the belief he’ll hit double-digit points.
Sunday 1 p.m. ET Games
Falcons vs. Bears
I expect Chicago to maul Atlanta’s porous defense, forcing Marcus Mariota to throw early and often. He suddenly has five semi-consistent targets, and Drake London and Kyle Pitts will be too expensive to trust as bargains.
KhaDarel Hodge probably will be 2x or 3x cheaper. I recommended him last week in a TD-anytime article (+2200 odds). He’s worth a DFS flier.
For Chicago, Fields is too obvious, while Cole Kmet will skyrocket in price — and I doubt he dominates for the second straight week (week by week, defenses learn and adjust). Let’s go instead with Darnell Mooney for a fairly safe 11+ points in a fantastic matchup.
Bills vs. Browns
Dawson Knox. A great bargain if he scores. And yes, I believe he’ll score against a beatable Browns D that could surrender 37+ points next weekend.
And I’m eyeing Kareem Hunt getting a lot of receiving work with Cleveland down 14+ points in the second half. A low floor these days, but a surprisingly good ceiling if game script follows expectations.
Colts vs. Eagles
A great win for Indy in Jeff Saturday’s coaching debut. But the Raiders are not the same as the Eagles.
Pay close attention to 2021 fourth-round draft pick Kylen Granson. While rookie Jelani Woods was supposed to be their future franchise TE, Granson has collected multiple targets in every game started by Matt Ryan — including 4+ targets four times. He’s a terrific Week 11 bargain.
And Quez Watkins. I wrote those previous three words shortly before Monday night’s game. So . . . not the shock it might have been had I written this a day earlier. But still, he’s super cheap and super speedy, and he fits snugly inside any top-heavy DFS lineup.
Patriots vs. Jets
Gimme the Patriots D/ST in this one; 20+ point potential against a hit-or-miss Zach Wilson, and facing a backfield they recently shut down.
MORE: Early NFL Week 11 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread
For New York, it’s Denzel Mims or bust. Not reliable at all. But aside from Garrett Wilson (recently), who is? The Jets need more answers at wideout, especially in the midst of the Elijah Moore drama. Mims will cost a tiny fraction of what we’d pay for, say, Zach Wilson. He’s worth a flier.
Saints vs. Rams
Wil Lutz. Kicker. George State University. Yes, I believe the beautifully cost-effective Lutz will eclipse nine points, making him perhaps a top-three DFS bargain for the Saints.
With Cooper Kupp expected to be sidelined, my money’s on Van Jefferson to score more points per $1,000 than Allen Robinson II or any other Rams wide receiver. Jefferson has the athleticism and opportunity to shine, without costing you too much.
Giants vs. Lions
I recommended Tanner Hudson as a deep DFS flier last week on the PFN fantasy football Facebook page. As long as Daniel Bellinger’s out, the incredibly cheap Hudson could be one of Daniel Jones’s top three targets.
And did somebody say “Kalif Raymond”? He’s caught 74% of his targets and hasn’t dropped a pass. In a wide-open receiving corps (behind Amon-Ra St. Brown), Raymond should provide double-digit upside at a low price.
Ravens vs. Panthers
A lot of Ravens are going up in price, including guys like Kenyan Drake and Isaiah Likely. What’s a bettor to do? Find the next bargain.
Demarcus Robinson was No. 2 in targets when they last played in Week 9. The numbers don’t highlight how valuable he is to this receiving corps. He’s one big play away from being the ultimate bargain.
And between DJ Moore and the presumably slightly cheaper Terrace Marshall Jr., I’d go Moore as Carolina plays catch-up. D’Onta Foreman is too expensive to be called a bargain, and I don’t think he’ll top 15 points regardless.
Texans vs. Commanders
Interesting happenings with the Texans, who now have four WRs in their rotation. I’d opt for the recently heavily targeted Nico Collins, who’s ramping up to serve as Houston’s WR1 next year.
For Washington, Jahan Dotson for the home run. Cheaper than his WR counterparts, but with proven, massive upside.
Sunday 4 p.m. ET Games
There are three games on this docket featuring, yes, six teams. Here’s the rundown of the best DFS bargains, focusing more on true bargains rather than the best player on each team.
Broncos vs. Raiders
Kendall Hinton. I pushed him five or six weeks ago, and he didn’t do much. But my reasoning was clear-cut: no other Denver wideout had stepped up as the No. 3 WR. I believed Hinton had the best chance of filling that vacuum. With Jerry Jeudy banged up, the inexpensive Hinton brings surprisingly good upside in a fantastic matchup.
MORE: Buy Low, Sell High Week 11
Let’s also chase Ameer Abdullah’s points, because it appears rookie Zamir White isn’t ready. With Denver largely shutting down opposing passing attacks, Vegas will need to do much of its damage on the ground — and a little through the air, thanks to more dump-offs to Abdullah.
Vikings vs. Cowboys
What a game! Not many bargains to choose from, and I’m not trusting K.J. Osborn, despite his 11 targets. Instead, let’s go with T.J. Hockenson, in the belief he’ll find the end zone with Dallas trying desperately to cover a range of talented playmakers near the goal line.
Tony Pollard is too pricey these days, but not Dalton Schultz, who should hit 12+ points again.
Steelers vs. Bengals
I assume George Pickens will be a bit too expensive. So let’s roll with the more affordable Pat Freiermuth: 5+ catches for 47+ yards and a score.
For Cincy, the reliable Hayden Hurst, as I often do. Nothing flashy. Nothing pricey. Just good ol’ fashioned 8-14 point potential.
Sunday Night Football
For the Chargers vs. Chiefs, an injury to Gerald Everett elevated Tre’ McKitty. I’d go with the fairly cheap Everett if he’s back. Otherwise, I’d reach for basement-bargain McKitty.
How inexpensive is Jerick McKinnon these days? He’s been my favorite Chiefs RB for weeks. Let’s keep it rolling before he gets too costly.
Monday Night Football
Finally, for the Cardinals vs. 49ers, Eno Benjamin has been released! More room for James Conner to lead this backfield. But with Zach Ertz out for the season, rookie Trey McBride has huge bargain potential and should cost little compared to Arizona’s big-time playmakers.
Elijah Mitchell should be markedly more affordable than Christian McCaffrey. But both have comparable ceilings in this one. Keep in mind, Mitchell nearly scored at the end of Sunday’s contest. He looks primed to finish the season strong.
Good luck with all of your DFS selections this week.