The Philadelphia Eagles and New York Jets will face off in a matchup of two struggling teams. Philadelphia owns a 5-7 record, failing to find any sustained success through 12 games. New York, meanwhile, enters this game with a 3-8 record, surprising everyone with wins over the Tennessee Titans and Cincinnati Bengals. Let’s take a look at the NFL odds along with my pick and prediction for the Eagles vs Jets.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets pick, prediction | Week 13
- Spread: Eagles -6.5 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Moneyline: Eagles -265, Jets +215
- Over/Under: 45
Jalen Hurts came out of the Eagles’ loss to the New York Giants with left ankle soreness. He’s currently listed as questionable this weekend, and Philadelphia is in a peculiar position with their quarterback.
They get a matchup against a bad Jets team, and their bye week is coming up next week. As such, the Eagles could choose to get Hurts two weeks’ worth of rest for a playoff run. The concern is Philadelphia likely won’t be in a position to make a true postseason push if they lose to New York this weekend.
[bet-bonus id=”164810″ ]Fan-favorite Gardner Minshew would take over as the starting quarterback if Hurts isn’t able to suit up this weekend. Minshew flashed with the Jaguars before being traded after Jacksonville drafted Trevor Lawrence.
It’s clear Minshew has the upside to lead an offense, especially against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. With that being said, he’s also quite risky, making the Eagles’ most important decision of the season that much more difficult.
One interesting thing to note here is that Vegas currently has Philadelphia as a near-touchdown favorite on the road. This suggests they either feel Hurts will play or Minshew isn’t a big downgrade.
Eagles vs. Jets betting trends
Philadelphia’s been a neutral team in terms of the spread. Through 12 games, they own a 6-6 record against the spread (ATS).
The Eagles have been slightly better on the road, though, where they’ve posted a 4-3 ATS record this season.
New York hasn’t performed as well, recording a league-worst 3-8 ATS record in 2021. They’re losing their games by an average of 12.3 points while failing to cover the spread by more than 5 points per game.
Similar to their spread trends, Philadelphia has posted a 6-6 over/under record this season. Surprisingly, New York, which features arguably the worst defense in the NFL, leans more toward the over. They’ve found it in 54.6% of their games thus far.
Eagles vs. Jets prediction
This game is difficult to predict because of the massive differences in play between Hurts and Minshew. If Hurts and Miles Sanders are healthy, Philadelphia can control the clock with their run game against a weak Jets defense.
Although I also believe Minshew can find plenty of success through the air against the Jets, it’s a significantly riskier game plan.
Ultimately, Philadelphia’s offense hasn’t been lighting the league on fire in recent games anyway. But I believe either quarterback will find success against the many holes the Jets feature in their defense.
As long as the spread stays under a touchdown, I’m willing to back the Eagles. I much prefer them if Hurts and Sanders are in the lineup, though, as I expect them to find plenty of rushing success this weekend.
Eagles vs. Jets Prediction: Eagles 24, Jets 17