This week, six NFL teams are on bye — the Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, and Washington Commanders — so the Week 14 slate features 13 games.
Who are the best players to plug in your DFS lineup in Week 14? Using DraftKings’ prices, let’s build a daily fantasy football lineup that could win big this weekend!
Week 14 DFS Picks
- QB: Caleb Williams, $5,600
- RB: Bijan Robinson, $7,500
- RB: Bucky Irving, $6,600
- WR: Cooper Kupp, $7,000
- WR: DJ Moore, $6,100
- WR: Jaylen Waddle, $5,400
- TE: Juwan Johnson, $3,400
- FLEX: Isaac Guerendo, $5,400
- DST: Titans, $2,800
DFS Strategy: Rolling With Bijan Robinson
Robinson opened last week with a 15-yard run on Atlanta’s first snap and, by the end of two drives, he already had 10 touches and a score on the stat sheet. He finished with a season-high 32 touches against a strong Los Angeles Chargers defense, recording a 10+ yard rush and catch for the fourth time in his past five games.
It’s happening.
The usage and the production. The Falcons are leaning into their game-changing talent, and Robinson has rewarded them with six top-10 finishes over his past seven games. Imagine if the passing game demands respect! Kirk Cousins has five interceptions and zero touchdown passes over Atlanta’s past two games, a pair of games in which the star running back has averaged under one yard per carry before contact in both of those contests.
There are few players I fear more in space than Robinson and Minnesota’s aggressive style of defense leaves them open to some spots where they will need to get him on the ground in space.
Good luck with that.
Cooper Kupp Is an Interesting Contrarian Play
Kupp averaged 0.71 yards per route on Sunday, his first game this season under 1.54. It was certainly an underwhelming performance, and a matchup with the Buffalo Bills doesn’t initially seem like a great rebound spot.
After all, only twice this season has a receiver reached 18.5 PPR fantasy points against the Bills this season, and both came in the same week (Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard in Week 6). That’s it — outside of that game, this defense hasn’t been victimized at all.
Those are accurate numbers, but it’s also worth noting that Buffalo’s success is a result of shutting down perimeter receivers and encouraging defenses to take their medicine in the middle of the field.
Percentage of PPR points scored out wide among Rams WRs, 2024:
- Cooper Kupp: 24.7%
- Puka Nacua: 75.7%
It’s no lock that any receiver in Los Angeles exploits this stingy Bills unit, but Kupp’s projectable ceiling holds the edge over Nacua’s if the trends hold, something that isn’t reflected in the DFS pricing as Kupp can be had at a 10% discount.
Jaylen Waddle > Tyreek Hill This Week?
I think the Dolphins can have plenty of success in this spot and, on a per-dollar basis, I find myself leaning Jaylen Waddle over Tyreek Hill in the DFS streets. Efficiency hasn’t been the issue lately for Miami’s WR2 (14 catches on 16 targets over the past three weeks), and we saw Waddle produce at a high level (8-114-0) in New York last season during the one matchup in which Hill was active.
From a matchup standpoint, there is a path to this setting up better for Waddle. Seven of the top eight producing receivers against the Jets this season spent under 32% of their time in the slot.
Dolphins WR slot rates, 2024:
- Waddle: 19.4% of routes
- Hill: 32.1% of routes
New York allows the ninth-most yards per completion this season (11.5), giving me confidence that Waddle’s recent efficiency results in a strong week. Maybe he records his third 100-yard game of the season?
Bears Stack: Trusting Caleb Williams and DJ Moore
Caleb Williams has 250+ passing yards in consecutive games for the first time in his young career, benefiting greatly from the volume that has occurred with Chicago playing catch-up (86 pass attempts).
There continue to be breadcrumbs that foreshadow a strong 2025 season, and the Black Friday firing of Matt Eberflus certainly doesn’t back me off of my loving Williams as a future asset. After all, during Eberflus’ tenure, Chicago’s wide receivers underachieved fantasy football expectations by 8.7%.
The rookie hasn’t thrown a pick since Week 6. While that was fueled by a conservative game plan before Thanksgiving with an average depth of throw no higher than seven yards in any of his three games prior, Williams wasn’t shy about challenging a strong Detroit Lions secondary vertically (13.4 aDOT).
If you like the San Francisco 49ers to take control of this game early, you’re going to want to bump Williams up your DFS rankings. He’s thrown for 376 yards, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions in second halves over the past two games.
With Lamar Jackson, Jayden Daniels, C.J. Stroud, Jordan Love, Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes, and Joe Burrow all being off the main slate, Williams is an intriguing bargain option.
As for Moore, he earned 44.4% of the targets on Thanksgiving on his way to an ultra-impressive 8-97-1 stat line. He’s caught at least seven passes in three straight games, the type of streak that can be sustained for extended periods of time when you flash the type of versatility that Moore has recently.
- Previous two weeks: 14 targets and 26 air yards
- Thanksgiving: 16 targets and 168 air yards
He’s trending in a great direction with consecutive top-10 finishes (after only posting one top-20 finish before this run). Of course, Moore isn’t free of risk since this Chicago offense remains spotty. But if we’re betting on Williams, it makes sense to bet on his WR1, too.