Facebook Pixel

    DFS Thursday Night Football Picks for NFL Week 14: Jahmyr Gibbs, David Montgomery, Jordan Love, and Others

    Week 14 kicks off on Thursday night with the 11-1 Detroit Lions hosting the 9-3 Green Bay Packers at Ford Field.

    Ahead of this Thursday Night Football showdown, who are the best players to plug in your DFS lineup? Using DraftKings’ prices, let’s build a lineup that could win big on Thursday!

    Pro Football Network Mock Draft Simulator
    Take control of your favorite team's salary cap and manage the roster through free agency!

    Week 14 TNF DFS Picks

    DFS Strategy: Rolling With Sonic and Knuckles

    Trying to decide between Gibbs and Montgomery is a headache, so why not play both?!

    Gibbs’ efficiency is nothing short of amazing and splash plays have become the expectation, not the exception. He’s averaging 6.0 yards per carry over his past three games (246 yards on 41 attempts) and has a 15+ yard run in 11 straight games — the only player to have a streak longer than that before the age of 25 was Adrian Peterson, who did so bridging the 2008 and 2009 seasons.

    Factoring into that streak was a 15-yard score against Green Bay in Week 9. While the Packers run defense has looked good in consecutive weeks (Christian McCaffrey and De’Von Achane totaled just 45 rushing yards on 18 carries against them), I’m attributing much of that success to a positive game script that I find unlikely to be in effect on Thursday night.

    As for Montgomery, he notched his first 20-carry effort since September and once again caught all three of his targets, something he has done in four of five games. As long as this offense is averaging north of four red-zone trips per game and six yards per play, his role as the drive finisher makes him a locked-in fantasy asset that you can bank on.

    Montgomery turned 19 touches into 96 yards in the first meeting with the Packers. Asking for double-digit PPR points again on Thursday is plenty fair.

    Sonic and Knuckles, do your thing.

    Stacking the Packers’ Passing Attack

    While DFS is about predicting which players will produce at a high level, it’s also about predicting how the game script will unfold. With this lineup, we’re projecting that the Lions take a significant lead early with multiple scores on the ground and then try to kill the clock with Gibbs and Montgomery, while the Packers pass to try to get back in the game.

    If there’s one way to attack the Lions, it’s through the air. Against wide receivers, Detroit is allowing 15.2 receptions per game (which ranks last in the NFL) and 187.8 receiving yards per game (which ranks last in the NFL). Again, a lot of this is due to game scripts: teams are typically trailing against Detroit and pass the ball a ton to try to get back in the game.

    Last week on Thanksgiving, Detroit’s defense was lit up by Caleb Williams in the second half, as he totaled 15 completions for 222 yards and three scores. Can Love have similar success against his NFC North rival?

    Typically, it’s pretty difficult to predict which Packers wide receivers to play, but the fact that Romeo Doubs is out with a concussion makes this passing attack easier to project.

    Reed is the most trustworthy, especially since he posted five catches for 113 yards last time the Lions and Packers faced off. Watson has posted an aDOT of 20+ yards in each of his past four games, so the hope is that he can catch some deep shots. As for Wicks, he was on the field for 88.7% of Green Bay’s snaps last week with Doubs out, and he’ll once again have an opportunity to produce on Thursday night.

    Why aren’t we playing Tucker Kraft in this lineup? Well, the Lions have done a terrific job defending tight ends this season.

    Against TEs this season, Detroit is allowing the fewest receptions per game (3.5), receiving yards per game (31.2), and touchdowns per game (0.08) of any team in the league. As a result, tight ends are averaging a league-low 3.33 fantasy points per game against the Lions.

    2025 NFL Mock Draft Simulator

    The PFN Mock Draft Simulator features hundreds of prospects, scouting reports, and free trades -- jump into the FREE mock draft machine and get ready for the 2025 NFL Draft.

    2025 NFL Season & Playoff Predictor

    PFSN's 2025 NFL Season and Playoff Predictor is a tool that allows you to play out various weekly scenarios to see how the NFL playoff picture changes with each scenario.

    NFL Offseason Manager: Salary Cap, Free Agency, and More

    Do you think you can manage your favorite team’s roster better than the real-life general managers? PFN's Offseason Manager is here to help you prove it.

    Guess the NFL Player

    Test your NFL knowledge with PFSN's Guess the NFL Player game, the ultimate NFL player guessing game for football fans!

    ‘He Does Not Look Well’ — NFL Fans Can’t Believe How Exhausted Ben Johnson Looks In Viral Photo 49 Days Into Bears’ HC Gig

    Chicago Bears head coach Ben Johnson appeared tired and disheveled during a recent press conference, prompting varying reactions from fans.

    Legendary Coach Urban Meyer Makes Feelings Known On Why Shedeur Sanders’ Draft Stock is ‘Slipping’

    Shedeur Sanders' NFL Draft stock appears to be slipping. Former college and NFL head coach, Urban Meyer, shares why.

    Milton Williams Make Bold Admission That Becoming Patriots’ Highest-Paid Player of All-Time Tops Super Bowl Win

    Milton Williams makes a surprising admission that his record deal with the New England Patriots is a feeling that tops his recent Super Bowl victory.

    Top 121 NFL Free Agent Rankings: Tyron Smith, J.K. Dobbins, and Cooper Kupp Lead List of Top Free Agents Available

    After the flurry of re-signings took top talents off the market, who is still available in time for the legal tampering period and the start of free agency?
    Join the Conversation!

    LEAVE A REPLY

    Please enter your comment!
    Please enter your name here