In the one year in which Devin Singletary spent with the Houston Texans, he quietly produced one of the best final stat lines of his career. Yet, Singletary is joining a New York Giants offense that has prevented even Saquon Barkley from being a consistent top fantasy football producer over the last five years.
Can Singletary outperform his modest fantasy projections entering the 2024 NFL season?
Devin Singletary’s 2024 Fantasy Outlook
- Total Fantasy Points: 177.3
- Rushing Yards: 821
- Rushing TDs: 5
- Receptions: 34
- Receiving Yards: 223
- Receiving TDs: 1
These are PFN’s consensus projections, correct as of August 15. The most up-to-date projections can be found in our Who Should I Draft Tool.
Should You Draft Singletary This Year?
One thing that fantasy managers should know about Singletary’s fantasy production throughout his career is his consistency. Throughout his five NFL seasons, the Florida Atlantic product has finished between 900 to 1,100 total yards every year.
Unfortunately, this has put Singletary firmly in the “solid but unspectacular” range as a fantasy asset given his time with the Texans and Buffalo Bills.
Oddly enough, Singletary’s 216 carries and 898 rushing yards marked a career high in both categories. This came after Dameon Pierce lost his leading role in large part due to a lack of efficiency while struggling with minor injuries throughout the 2023 season.
On the flip side of the coin, Singletary’s efficiency wasn’t exactly great either — which is evident by his 4.16 yards per carry mark from last year (lowest of his career). Yet, I wouldn’t go as far as to say he was clearly a substandard back during his lone year in Houston. Singletary actually ranked 10th amongst running backs across the NFL with 24 carries that went for 10+ yards.
After managing to steal the leading role from Pierce in the middle of the season, Singletary was actually the RB9 in full-PPR formats from Week 10 through the rest of the regular season, averaging 14.3 fantasy points per game.
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If Singletary was slated to remain the leading back again for the Texans in 2024, then I would probably be a bit more optimistic about his fantasy outlook entering his sixth season. Unfortunately, he’s joining a Giants offense that finished 30th in scoring, 29th in total offense, and 27th in red-zone scoring attempts per game in 2023.
The reason Singletary is still in the RB3 conversation entering the 2024 campaign is his familiarity with Giants head coach Brian Daboll’s offensive scheme after they spent time together in Buffalo. That does give Singletary the inside track to leading this backfield in total touches this year.
Personally, I’m very high on rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. because of his great athletic profile and plus-level ability in the passing game due to his previous time spent at wide receiver in college. But by all accounts, Singletary should be the first man up to start the season.
Singletary’s ADP — RB34, No. 103 overall — feels appropriately priced for a back who has never rushed for 1,000 yards in a season and entering one of the NFL’s weakest offensive units. Yet, his volume alone projects him to be a reliable Flex option at a bare minimum with some upside if Daniel Jones can revert back to his 2022 level of play.
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For some additional context, Singletary is currently selected ahead of Ezekiel Elliott, Gus Edwards, and Tyjae Spears. Ultimately, Singletary showcased he still has something left in the tank with his production in Houston last year. However, New York’s offense probably doesn’t present enough scoring opportunity upside to give him legitimate top-20 upside at the RB position in 2024.
Kyle Soppe’s Fantasy Insight on Devin Singletary
Singletary is flirting with the top 100 in fantasy drafts, and I think that’s about where he should be going. The upside is limited, but, at least to open the season, so is his floor because of the available touches. The value of each touch can be debated, but at this point in the proceedings, opportunity is currency.
Singletary is the RB1 on his team entering the summer, something we can’t say with confidence about a promising talent like Tyjae Spears, who is also going in this range. Both running backs in the Washington Commanders backfield are in this tier, and I very much would invest there insted.
Both Austin Ekeler and Brian Robinson Jr.’s roles are in question, but that offense has some upside through an exciting athlete under center. How much better can the Giants realistically get? Robinson showcased enough versatility last season to have my interest, and when paired with Ekeler’s declining metrics, he is a steal at his current cost.
I’m not targeting Singletary at cost in any format, and it would take at least a round discount on his current ADP to have my interest. Tracy looms, and the threat of him seeing increased usage only increases as the season progresses — this team figures to be looking ahead to 2025 as the weather turns and Singletary isn’t part of the long-term plan.
