New York Giants QB Daniel Jones’ dynasty value profile has some good aspects to it, but consistency has been a major issue, and there always seems to be a counterargument that is stronger than the initial positive position.
Jones threw for 24 scores in 13 games as a rookie, yet he hasn’t thrown more than 15 in a season since. Jones ran for 708 yards and seven touchdowns in 2022, but that’s his only season with more than two rushing scores, and now he is coming off of a torn ACL. We are again at a dip in the Jones rollercoaster; does that make now the time to invest in fantasy football?
Daniel Jones’ Dynasty Outlook
Jones was the No. 6 overall pick in 2019 and is entering his age-27 season as a complicated player to evaluate. His mobility has proven to be a calling card when it comes to his fantasy value (career: 5.8 yards per carry and 5.5 carries per game), but there is concern that his best days in that regard are in the past.
#NYGiants QB Daniel Jones goes down with a non-contact injury on this play.
Tommy DeVito is in the game.
— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) November 5, 2023
A neck injury cost Jones three games in 2023 before his season came to an end in November when he tore his ACL. We’ve seen more than a few running backs struggle to return to their athletic form from serious knee injuries in the year following the major setback, and nothing Jones has done up to this point suggests that he can give us the production we need without significant gains on the ground.
Of course, there are two components to every fantasy football asset: the player himself combined with the situation he is in. As worrisome as Jones’ profile is from what he has shown up to this point (64.3% completion, 6.6 yards per pass, 1.55 touchdowns-per-interception), his support is even more of a concern.
The Giants didn’t have one of the 69 players in 2023 that earned 80 targets. Not one! They own the No. 6 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, and that would allow them access to one of the elite receivers in this loaded class if they so choose, but investing in a quarterback isn’t at all out of the question either.
That’s a risk to take — either the Giants improve around Jones or outright dismiss him as their future option. When it comes to the short-term outlook, it’s not pretty, even in the best-case scenario.
Giants RB Saquon Barkley (88.7 yards per game with 12 scores in 14 games) appears destined to leave, thus leaving the Giants without a bona fide rock to build their offense around.
Jones’ production has been unsteady with the All-Pro behind him to attract defenders, making it difficult to project any level of optimism his way as he recovers from injury and, if he retains his starting role, is leading an offense without a proven star.
Jones’ Dynasty Ranking
Where does Jones land in the dynasty QB landscape going into the 2024 offseason? Here are Soppe’s latest rankings, featuring where Jones lands in comparison to other top names at the position.
1) Patrick Mahomes | KC
2) Jalen Hurts | PHI
3) Josh Allen | BUF
4) Anthony Richardson | IND
5) Joe Burrow | CIN
6) Lamar Jackson | BAL
7) C.J. Stroud | HOU
8) Justin Herbert | LAC
9) Trevor Lawrence | JAX
10) Dak Prescott | DAL
11) Justin Fields | CHI
12) Tua Tagovailoa | MIA
13) Kyler Murray | ARI
14) Brock Purdy | SF
15) Jordan Love | GB
16) Deshaun Watson | CLE
17) Jared Goff | DET
18) Kirk Cousins | MIN
19) Will Levis | TEN
20) Sam Howell | WAS
21) Geno Smith | SEA
22) Aaron Rodgers | NYJ
23) Bryce Young | CAR
24) Daniel Jones | NYG
25) Derek Carr | NO
26) Baker Mayfield | TB
27) Kenny Pickett | PIT
28) Matthew Stafford | LAR
29) Desmond Ridder | ATL
30) Russell Wilson | DEN
31) Trey Lance | DAL
32) Mac Jones | NE
33) Jimmy Garoppolo | LV
34) Ryan Tannehill | TEN
35) Jacoby Brissett | WAS
36) Andy Dalton | CAR
Should You Trade Jones in Dynasty?
Are you considering trading Jones? Our free PFN Trade Analyzer allows you to find the best trade offer to make in seconds!
The Jones profile isn’t completely void of optimism. There’s a world in which the rushing numbers return to form, and that gives him fantasy potential, even if the wins don’t pile up on the field. He has also been better than you think in scoring position.
Over the past two years, Jones ranks second among qualified QBs (minimum 50 red-zone pass attempts) in red-zone completion percentage (62.3%, only San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy has been better).
Pulling on that thread, he has a red-zone touchdown rate (26.4%) that isn’t far behind the two-time reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes (27%).
But, as has been the case with Jones since he entered the league, the negatives continue to outweigh the positives and are why I’d be looking to recoup any value in the trade market, if possible.
In 2023, 48 quarterbacks threw at least 100 passes from the pocket. Here is the very bottom of the yards-per-attempt leaderboard in such spots:
41. New England Patriots QB Mac Jones: 6.1
42. Free Agent QB Mitchell Trubisky: 6.1
43. Minnesota Vikings QB Joshua Dobbs: 5.9
44. New York Giants QB Daniel Jones: 5.9
45. Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young: 5.7
46. Chicago Bears QB Tyson Bagent: 5.5
47. New York Jets QB Trevor Siemian: 4.8
48. Cleveland Browns QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 4.1
I’m not optimistic. One-quarterback leagues need not worry about Jones; even the upside case isn’t worth waiting on. In two-QB or Superflex formats, you probably don’t have much of a choice, as any quarterback even in the proximity of a starting job is stashed.
KEEP READING: Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart
If that’s the case, you’re pulling hard for QBs to dominate the top five picks of the 2024 NFL Draft and for us to get positive rehab reports sooner rather than later. This Giants team doesn’t appear close to competing at a high level, and that is going to limit what Jones can do for fantasy managers.
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